Trading Signals: ERY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ERY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Mar. 19, 2015

Trading Signals: ERY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(Direxion Daily Energy Bear 3X ETF)
ERY latest price $106.7765 (4.69%) ($104.4831 - $107.6642) on Thu. Mar. 19, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.39% (three month average)
RSI   65
Latest Price   $106.7765(4.69%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ERY declines -1.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ERY advances 4.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ERY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VIXM(35%)    TLT(32%)    UUP(16%)    SHY(7%)    IGOV(6%)
Factors Impacting ERY price   ERY will decline at least -2.195% in a week (0% probabilities).
XLE(-98%)    XOP(-90%)    OIH(-89%)    IVE(-78%)    VYM(-76%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.195% (StdDev 4.39%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1%

5 Day Moving Average   $109.27(-2.28%)
10 Day Moving Average   $109.89(-2.83%)
20 Day Moving Average   $103.41(3.26%)
To recent high   -17.9%
To recent low   23.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.02%

$. ERY is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.02% a day on average for holding it.$. ERY price fluctuates within 7.8% (three month std-dev: 4.39%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 1.89%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 3.55%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150419

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_19_2015	102.95	103.41	109.89	109.27	110.07	106.95	106.78(4.69%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-35	-180	-59	38	0.4	40%	0.18	62.9	4.39%	0	0.4	65	INF
2	Mar_18_2015	102.77	102.65	109.4	110.7	112.63	110.05	101.99(-8.86%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-23	-110	-50	58	1.02	35%	0.11	62.3	4.52%	0	-0.1	63	INF
3	Mar_17_2015	102.66	102.1	109.28	112.68	113.74	113.19	111.91(1.29%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	7	-10	-23	97	0.63	34%	0.15	62.8	4.44%	0	1.1	83	INF
4	Mar_16_2015	102.51	100.86	108	112.91	113.71	115.21	110.48(-4.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	41	110	15	119	0.7	34%	0.19	60.6	4.73%	0	1.1	78	INF
5	Mar_13_2015	102.32	99.72	106.95	112.47	113.09	114.29	115.21(1.13%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	69	90	45	140	0.55	34%	0.24	54.5	4.69%	0	1.7	85	INF

6	Mar_12_2015	102.07	98.57	105.16	110.61	110.62	112.22	113.93(1.81%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	53	100	27	129	0.34	37%	0.18	51.9	4.73%	0	1.9	85	INF
7	Mar_11_2015	101.89	97.65	103.37	107.94	108.61	111.89	111.91(-1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	78	230	60	131	0.71	37%	0.22	45.8	4.78%	0	1.9	85	INF
8	Mar_10_2015	101.67	96.74	101.31	105.33	105.56	109.02	113.04(4.42%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	82	240	69	120	0.48	42%	0.13	40.4	4.78%	0	2.5	88	INF
9	Mar_9_2015	101.54	95.76	99.2	102.41	102.54	105.33	108.26(2.19%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	64	190	52	100	0.37	42%	0.05	26.6	4.89%	0	2.3	89	INF
10	Mar_6_2015	101.49	95.05	97.65	100.65	100.6	102.1	105.94(5.35%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	50	100	37	88	0.53	47%	0	2.3	5.09%	0	2.4	85	INF

11	Mar_5_2015	101.49	94.47	96.23	98.96	99.4	99.75	100.56(1.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	28	40	15	67	0.31	44%	-0.12	-35.2	5.09%	0	1.6	61	INF
12	Mar_4_2015	101.61	94.36	95.24	98.1	98.47	99.09	98.84(0.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	23	60	13	54	0.67	44%	-0.17	-64.2	5.1%	0	1.2	51	INF
13	Mar_3_2015	101.78	94.15	94.34	96.58	97.3	99.06	98.44(-1.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	30	150	26	42	0.35	44%	-0.12	-91.1	5.12%	0	1.2	54	INF
14	Mar_2_2015	101.9	94.34	93.19	95.41	95.64	97.85	99.48(2.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	35	170	37	29	0.45	44%	-0.02	-91.2	5.14%	0	1.3	55	INF
15	Feb_27_2015	101.92	94.95	91.97	94.18	93.93	95.55	97.5(1.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	21	110	26	7	0.4	51%	0	-66.5	5.63%	0	0.4	52	INF

16	Feb_26_2015	101.92	95.81	91.48	93.11	93.3	93.43	96.22(5.46%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	12	20	17	-5	0.52	51%	0.09	-50.4	5.68%	0	0.1	50	INF
17	Feb_25_2015	101.83	96.81	91.46	92.02	92.65	92.32	91.24(-1.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-12	-0	-8	-25	0.41	53%	0.01	-42.3	5.65%	0	-0.6	33	INF
18	Feb_24_2015	101.82	97.54	91.83	91.71	92.88	93.17	92.62(-0.74%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	3	60	11	-20	0.31	53%	0.07	-48.1	5.68%	0	-0.5	46	INF
19	Feb_23_2015	101.75	98.19	92.04	90.54	92.05	92.98	93.31(1.23%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	4	120	16	-34	0.54	53%	0.06	-56.5	5.68%	0	-0.5	36	INF
20	Feb_20_2015	101.69	99.02	92.22	89.38	90.6	92.59	92.18(1.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-3	190	16	-58	0.58	52%	0.06	-66.9	5.71%	0	-0.7	27	INF

21	Feb_19_2015	101.63	99.82	92.53	89.63	89.86	91.12	90.75(1.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-7	110	16	-77	1.01	52%	0.06	-73.9	5.73%	0	-1	23	INF
22	Feb_18_2015	101.57	100.79	93.39	90.94	90	91.12	89.71(3.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-37	-140	-16	-100	0.73	52%	0.1	-78.4	5.73%	0	-1.2	21	INF
23	Feb_17_2015	101.47	102.13	93.96	92.04	92.22	88.6	86.75(-0.85%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-60	-270	-42	-115	0.71	52%	0.34	-77.6	5.72%	0	-1.6	36	INF
24	Feb_13_2015	101.13	103.68	95.66	93.72	94.28	91.4	87.49(-6.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-67	-200	-52	-113	0.81	53%	0.08	-74.4	5.69%	0	-1.7	36	INF
25	Feb_12_2015	101.05	105.77	98.26	95.34	95.55	95.85	93.46(-3.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-33	30	-15	-87	0.82	55%		-58.2	5.65%	0	-1.2	37	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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