Trading Signals: ERY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ERY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Mar. 10, 2015

Trading Signals: ERY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(Direxion Daily Energy Bear 3X ETF)
ERY latest price $113.0400 (4.42%) ($109.0945 - $113.0400) on Tue. Mar. 10, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.78% (three month average)
RSI   88
Latest Price   $113.0400(4.42%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ERY advances 2.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ERY advances 7.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ERY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VIXM(35%)    TLT(31%)    UUP(16%)    SHY(7%)    IGOV(6%)
Factors Impacting ERY price   ERY will decline at least -2.39% in a week (0% probabilities).
XLE(-98%)    XOP(-90%)    OIH(-89%)    IVE(-78%)    VYM(-76%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.39% (StdDev 4.78%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $105.33(7.32%)
10 Day Moving Average   $101.31(11.58%)
20 Day Moving Average   $96.74(16.85%)
To recent high   -17%
To recent low   30.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.02%

$. ERY is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.02% a day on average for holding it.$. ERY price fluctuates within 6.83% (three month std-dev: 4.78%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 7 Average positive next day return: 4.02%(43%) Average negative next day return: -1.82%(57%) Sample size 7 Average positive next three day return: 0.3%(14%) Average negative next three day return: -5.34%(86%) Sample size 7 Average positive next weekly return: 18.01%(29%) Average negative next weekly return: -6.5%(71%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150410

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_10_2015	101.67	96.74	101.31	105.33	105.56	109.02	113.04(4.42%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	82	240	69	120	0.48	42%	0.13	40.4	4.78%	0	2.5	88	INF
2	Mar_9_2015	101.54	95.76	99.2	102.41	102.54	105.33	108.26(2.19%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	64	190	52	100	0.37	42%	0.05	26.6	4.89%	0	2.3	89	INF
3	Mar_6_2015	101.49	95.05	97.65	100.65	100.6	102.1	105.94(5.35%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	50	100	37	88	0.53	47%	0	2.3	5.09%	0	2.4	85	INF
4	Mar_5_2015	101.49	94.47	96.23	98.96	99.4	99.75	100.56(1.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	28	40	15	67	0.31	44%	-0.12	-35.2	5.09%	0	1.6	61	INF
5	Mar_4_2015	101.61	94.36	95.24	98.1	98.47	99.09	98.84(0.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	23	60	13	54	0.67	44%	-0.17	-64.2	5.1%	0	1.2	51	INF

6	Mar_3_2015	101.78	94.15	94.34	96.58	97.3	99.06	98.44(-1.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	30	150	26	42	0.35	44%	-0.12	-91.1	5.12%	0	1.2	54	INF
7	Mar_2_2015	101.9	94.34	93.19	95.41	95.64	97.85	99.48(2.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	35	170	37	29	0.45	44%	-0.02	-91.2	5.14%	0	1.3	55	INF
8	Feb_27_2015	101.92	94.95	91.97	94.18	93.93	95.55	97.5(1.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	21	110	26	7	0.4	51%	0	-66.5	5.63%	0	0.4	52	INF
9	Feb_26_2015	101.92	95.81	91.48	93.11	93.3	93.43	96.22(5.46%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	12	20	17	-5	0.52	51%	0.09	-50.4	5.68%	0	0.1	50	INF
10	Feb_25_2015	101.83	96.81	91.46	92.02	92.65	92.32	91.24(-1.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-12	-0	-8	-25	0.41	53%	0.01	-42.3	5.65%	0	-0.6	33	INF

11	Feb_24_2015	101.82	97.54	91.83	91.71	92.88	93.17	92.62(-0.74%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	3	60	11	-20	0.31	53%	0.07	-48.1	5.68%	0	-0.5	46	INF
12	Feb_23_2015	101.75	98.19	92.04	90.54	92.05	92.98	93.31(1.23%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	4	120	16	-34	0.54	53%	0.06	-56.5	5.68%	0	-0.5	36	INF
13	Feb_20_2015	101.69	99.02	92.22	89.38	90.6	92.59	92.18(1.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-3	190	16	-58	0.58	52%	0.06	-66.9	5.71%	0	-0.7	27	INF
14	Feb_19_2015	101.63	99.82	92.53	89.63	89.86	91.12	90.75(1.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-7	110	16	-77	1.01	52%	0.06	-73.9	5.73%	0	-1	23	INF
15	Feb_18_2015	101.57	100.79	93.39	90.94	90	91.12	89.71(3.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-37	-140	-16	-100	0.73	52%	0.1	-78.4	5.73%	0	-1.2	21	INF

16	Feb_17_2015	101.47	102.13	93.96	92.04	92.22	88.6	86.75(-0.85%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-60	-270	-42	-115	0.71	52%	0.34	-77.6	5.72%	0	-1.6	36	INF
17	Feb_13_2015	101.13	103.68	95.66	93.72	94.28	91.4	87.49(-6.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-67	-200	-52	-113	0.81	53%	0.08	-74.4	5.69%	0	-1.7	36	INF
18	Feb_12_2015	101.05	105.77	98.26	95.34	95.55	95.85	93.46(-3.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-33	30	-15	-87	0.82	55%	0.18	-58.2	5.65%	0	-1.2	37	INF
19	Feb_11_2015	100.87	107.34	100.53	95.77	95.81	97.17	97.26(2.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-3	100	18	-64	1	55%	0.21	-53.4	5.63%	0	-1	42	INF
20	Feb_10_2015	100.66	108.77	102.53	96.27	95.28	95.25	95.24(0.1%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-13	-30	3	-61	1.03	55%	0.2	-48.4	5.63%	0	-1.2	38	INF

21	Feb_9_2015	100.46	110.19	103.67	96.25	96.09	94.46	95.14(-0.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-33	-120	-18	-79	0.78	55%	0.23	-46.2	5.64%	0	-1.4	34	INF
22	Feb_6_2015	100.23	111.18	104.83	97.98	96.83	95.3	95.63(0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-62	-150	-51	-93	0.83	55%	0.23	-40.4	5.66%	0	-1.5	34	INF
23	Feb_5_2015	100	112.04	106.39	101.72	100.03	97.73	95.58(-4.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-58	-210	-47	-89	1.34	53%	0.25	-30.3	5.68%	0	-1.7	28	INF
24	Feb_4_2015	99.75	113.28	107.77	106.1	105.21	98.36	99.77(4.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-77	-480	-72	-91	1.31	55%	0.3	-11.2	5.7%	0	-1.5	34	INF
25	Feb_3_2015	99.45	114.35	108.87	109.83	109.95	102.33	95.14(-8.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-110	-480	-112	-102	1.11	56%		11.7	5.72%	0	-2.3	29	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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