Trading Signals: ERY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ERY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Jan. 14, 2015

Trading Signals: ERY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(Direxion Daily Energy Bear 3X ETF)
ERY latest price $125.4685 (-0.78%) ($124.7780 - $136.1215) on Wed. Jan. 14, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.49% (three month average)
RSI   78
Latest Price   $125.4685(-0.78%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ERY advances 1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ERY advances 9.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ERY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VIXM(36%)    TLT(32%)    UUP(17%)    SHY(8%)    IGOV(5%)
Factors Impacting ERY price   ERY will decline at least -2.745% in a week (0% probabilities).
XLE(-98%)    XOP(-90%)    OIH(-89%)    IVE(-78%)    VYM(-75%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.745% (StdDev 5.49%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -4%

5 Day Moving Average   $119.95(4.6%)
10 Day Moving Average   $116.38(7.81%)
20 Day Moving Average   $111.02(13.01%)
To recent high   -7.9%
To recent low   54.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.03%

$. ERY is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.03% a day on average for holding it.$. ERY price fluctuates within 8.74% (three month std-dev: 5.49%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150214

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_14_2015	93.66	111.02	116.38	119.95	121.98	126.88	125.47(-0.78%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	78	330	61	128	0.69	57%	0.67	-11.1	5.49%	0	1.5	78	0
2	Jan_13_2015	93.04	111.33	113.99	118.68	118.12	122.92	126.45(2.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	81	270	66	127	0.62	59%	0.68	-6.4	5.5%	0	1.4	72	0
3	Jan_12_2015	92.41	111.45	111.24	117.42	116.38	117.08	123.45(8.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	61	20	44	113	0.67	59%	0.63	1.5	5.61%	0	1.1	73	0
4	Jan_9_2015	91.83	111.41	108.85	115.7	115.45	113.31	113.48(2.31%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	10	-140	-12	77	0.72	61%	0.54	6.2	5.53%	0	0.2	54	0
5	Jan_8_2015	91.34	111.92	107.53	113.44	115.04	115.67	110.92(-6.87%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	14	80	1	53	0.54	60%	0.51	10.2	5.69%	0	-0.1	46	0

6	Jan_7_2015	90.88	112.11	106.28	111.97	112.56	117.58	119.11(-0.86%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	53	330	59	36	0.67	63%	0.6	11	5.63%	0	0.5	39	0
7	Jan_6_2015	90.34	112.01	104.39	108.39	108.98	114.41	120.14(4.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	74	370	98	1	1.05	63%	0.59	7.4	5.64%	0	0.6	38	0
8	Jan_5_2015	89.81	111.28	102.1	104.18	104.68	107.54	114.86(12.4%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	30	210	62	-66	1.24	63%	0.53	-2.5	5.62%	0	0.3	37	0
9	Jan_2_2015	89.34	110.67	101.25	101.22	101.61	103.55	102.19(-1.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-11	150	24	-115	0.63	60%	0.6	-4.9	5.42%	0	-0.7	33	0
10	Dec_31_2014	88.81	110.64	102.44	100.8	100.5	101.82	103.57(2.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-10	80	28	-124	0.88	61%	0.4	-1.6	5.42%	0	-0.6	34	0

11	Dec_30_2014	88.46	110.71	105.04	99.66	99.82	99.68	101.2(2.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-27	-10	6	-124	0.89	62%	0.37	2.9	5.46%	0	-0.7	43	0
12	Dec_29_2014	88.13	111.06	108.29	99.71	99.44	99.18	99.08(-0.99%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-37	-30	-11	-116	0.69	62%	0.35	12.4	5.47%	0	-0.9	39	0
13	Dec_26_2014	87.82	111.6	111.54	99.62	100.18	99.95	100.07(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-31	0	-9	-95	0.5	61%	0.53	21.5	5.47%	0	-0.9	51	0
14	Dec_24_2014	87.36	111.3	114.1	101.33	101.01	99.71	100.07(2.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-42	-100	-30	-78	0.36	62%	0.33	25.6	5.48%	0	-0.9	54	0
15	Dec_23_2014	87.07	110.85	116.71	104.44	103.35	100.4	97.9(-3.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-69	-230	-72	-59	0.47	62%	0.36	30.4	5.47%	0	-0.9	54	0

16	Dec_22_2014	86.76	110.33	118.66	111.39	109.14	102.31	101.45(2.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-83	-500	-102	-26	1.04	63%	0.36	41	5.45%	0	-0.6	53	0
17	Dec_19_2014	86.45	109.52	120.58	118.34	117.09	106.29	98.59(-9.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-111	-680	-149	4	0.95	63%	0.35	50	5.46%	0	-0.7	49	0
18	Dec_18_2014	86.15	109	121.72	125.15	124.37	115.97	108.65(-6.02%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1	-102	-490	-151	44	1.7	66%	0.51	59.7	5.32%	0	-0	54	0
19	Dec_17_2014	85.71	108.07	121.4	128.54	129.51	127.9	115.6(-12.86%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-10	-60	-54	121	1.19	68%	0.62	65.2	5.25%	0	0.4	70	0
20	Dec_16_2014	85.18	106.8	120.06	130.48	129.84	132.77	132.67(-2.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	84	140	44	203	0.91	71%	0.83	70	4.96%	0	1.5	81	0

21	Dec_15_2014	84.48	104.58	117.11	126.91	127.22	131.13	136.17(2.64%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	113	220	76	223	0.71	71%	0.88	68.2	4.97%	0	1.9	85	0
22	Dec_12_2014	83.74	102.07	114.02	123.37	123.53	126.9	132.67(5.66%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	119	190	79	239	1.1	72%	0.87	69.4	4.99%	0	2	85	0
23	Dec_11_2014	83.02	99.86	111.39	117.98	119.48	123.31	125.57(0.2%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	117	260	77	237	0.91	71%	0.79	67.4	4.97%	0	1.9	79	0
24	Dec_10_2014	82.37	97.86	107.9	113.28	114.69	120.15	125.32(9.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	127	370	96	221	1.01	71%	0.77	61.5	4.97%	0	2.2	74	0
25	Dec_9_2014	81.74	95.77	104.08	108.09	109.48	115.65	114.82(-3.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	125	430	102	193	0.65	69%		51.3	4.86%	0	1.8	69	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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