Trading Signals: ERY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ERY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Dec. 8, 2014

Trading Signals: ERY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(Direxion Daily Energy Bear 3X ETF)
ERY latest price $118.4651 (12.03%) ($108.6945 - $119.2543) on Mon. Dec. 8, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.84% (three month average)
RSI   72
Latest Price   $118.4651(12.03%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ERY advances 2.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ERY advances 10.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ERY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VIXM(36%)    TLT(32%)    UUP(16%)    SHY(8%)    IGOV(6%)
Factors Impacting ERY price   ERY will decline at least -2.42% in a week (0% probabilities).
XLE(-98%)    XOP(-90%)    OIH(-89%)    IVE(-78%)    VYM(-75%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.42% (StdDev 4.84%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 7.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $105.76(12.01%)
10 Day Moving Average   $100.98(17.32%)
20 Day Moving Average   $94.26(25.68%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   68.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.02%

$. ERY is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.02% a day on average for holding it.$. ERY price fluctuates within 10.61% (three month std-dev: 4.84%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 11 Average positive next day return: 3.5%(64%) Average negative next day return: -2.46%(36%) Sample size 11 Average positive next three day return: 6.06%(55%) Average negative next three day return: -2.53%(45%) Sample size 11 Average positive next weekly return: 13.73%(45%) Average negative next weekly return: -7.23%(55%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150108

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_8_2014	81.23	94.26	100.98	105.76	105.18	109.22	118.47(12.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	105	250	84	167	0.72	70%	0.68	47.2	4.84%	0	2.4	72	0
2	Dec_5_2014	80.68	92.44	97.23	103.42	102.98	103.32	105.74(3.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	41	10	14	122	0.62	68%	0.51	46.9	4.66%	0	1.6	67	0
3	Dec_4_2014	80.27	91.44	95.13	103.9	104.11	101.14	102.04(2.68%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	20	-190	-11	113	0.6	69%	0.5	53.4	4.66%	0	1.3	61	0
4	Dec_3_2014	79.87	90.8	93.7	101.59	104.76	102.64	99.38(-3.68%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	8	-50	-20	93	0.66	69%	0.44	47.7	4.67%	0	1.1	63	0
5	Dec_2_2014	79.52	90.52	92.66	99.15	102.16	107.08	103.18(-3.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	68	430	54	110	0.91	69%	0.51	42.2	4.64%	0	1.7	68	0

6	Dec_1_2014	79.12	89.77	91.19	95.16	97	106.88	106.78(-1.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.7	162	770	172	131	1.06	69%	0.52	23.3	4.62%	0	2.5	71	0
7	Nov_28_2014	78.71	88.64	89.16	90.05	90.44	97.23	108.11(19.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	3.3	153	540	172	95	0.6	69%	0.77	-2.9	4.63%	0	3.6	74	0
8	Nov_26_2014	78.11	87.4	87.21	85.35	84.44	87.12	90.5(3.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	43	190	53	13	0.45	66%	0.33	-54	3.96%	0	1	55	0
9	Nov_25_2014	77.85	87.35	86.87	84.84	83.63	83.65	87.2(4.8%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.7	8	-40	14	-12	0.47	64%	0.31	-66.9	3.95%	0	-0	45	0
10	Nov_24_2014	77.61	87.53	86.7	85.27	84.65	81.76	83.2(2.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-45	-260	-44	-46	0.64	63%	0.08	-53	3.94%	0	-1.1	33	0

11	Nov_21_2014	77.55	88.24	87.04	86.55	86.33	83.61	81.23(-4.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-69	-230	-74	-52	0.49	63%	0.25	-48.5	3.93%	0	-1.9	41	0
12	Nov_20_2014	77.36	88.8	87.4	87.93	88.49	87.54	84.63(-3.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-31	-60	-33	-26	0.46	65%	0.29	-57	3.9%	0	-1.2	51	0
13	Nov_19_2014	77.14	89.13	87.66	89.22	89.26	89.05	87.94(-1.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-7	-20	-9	-2	0.53	64%	0.33	-62.7	3.86%	0	-0.3	55	0
14	Nov_18_2014	76.89	89.52	87.86	89.14	89.79	89.45	89.37(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	8	-0	9	5	0.49	64%	0.35	-82.5	3.87%	0	-0	49	0
15	Nov_17_2014	76.62	89.62	88.37	88.34	89.14	89.47	89.56(1.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	2	50	2	1	0.56	64%	0.35	-97.9	3.87%	0	-0	48	0

16	Nov_14_2014	76.35	90.1	88.35	87.65	88.27	90.13	88.13(-3.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	23	170	33	-6	0.4	64%	0.34	-94.9	3.88%	0	-0.4	39	0
17	Nov_13_2014	76.09	90.8	88.13	86.78	86.89	88.8	91.09(4.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	32	160	49	-18	1.14	64%	0.37	-84.4	3.86%	0	0	50	0
18	Nov_12_2014	75.81	91.46	87.55	85.93	85.29	86.4	87.54(2.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-6	70	10	-52	0.67	63%	0.3	-67	3.84%	0	-0.5	48	0
19	Nov_11_2014	75.58	92.61	87.8	86.48	86.01	84.98	85.37(-0.86%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-26	-100	-12	-66	0.82	63%	0.33	-44.6	3.84%	0	-0.8	40	0
20	Nov_10_2014	75.33	94.02	88.36	88.48	87.34	84.19	86.11(2.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-65	-290	-63	-69	0.74	63%	0.33	-25.9	3.83%	0	-0.9	47	0

21	Nov_7_2014	75.08	95.2	89.48	89.19	90.04	87.04	83.79(-3.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-54	-200	-51	-61	0.75	61%	0.28	-12.9	3.88%	0	-1.3	38	0
22	Nov_6_2014	74.87	96.11	90.34	89.55	90.66	90.49	86.85(-3.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-39	20	-30	-67	0.77	61%	0.29	-5.1	3.86%	0	-1.1	38	0
23	Nov_5_2014	74.65	96.69	90.79	89.26	90.46	93.05	90.25(-5.38%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	14	240	40	-64	0.92	62%	0.34	-0.5	3.82%	0	-0.8	38	0
24	Nov_4_2014	74.4	96.64	91.36	89.25	89.13	90.83	95.38(6.38%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	21	130	55	-81	0.68	62%	0.39	0.8	3.82%	0	-0.1	36	0
25	Nov_3_2014	74.11	96.42	90.92	88.38	87.77	87.87	89.66(4.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-51	-10	-18	-151	0.61	61%		3.1	3.82%	0	-0.8	29	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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