Trading Signals: ERY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ERY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Nov. 19, 2014

Trading Signals: ERY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(Direxion Daily Energy Bear 3X ETF)
ERY latest price $87.9365 (-1.6%) ($86.9994 - $91.2408) on Wed. Nov. 19, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.86% (three month average)
RSI   55
Latest Price   $87.9365(-1.6%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ERY advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ERY advances 0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ERY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VIXM(36%)    TLT(32%)    UUP(16%)    SHY(8%)    IGOV(6%)
Factors Impacting ERY price   ERY will decline at least -1.93% in a week (0% probabilities).
XLE(-98%)    XOP(-90%)    OIH(-89%)    XLB(-73%)    VT(-72%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.93% (StdDev 3.86%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.3%

Resistance Level   $89.13
5 Day Moving Average   $89.22(-1.44%)
10 Day Moving Average   $87.66(0.32%)
20 Day Moving Average   $89.13(-1.34%)
To recent high   -23.4%
To recent low   37.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. ERY is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. ERY price fluctuates within 4.07% (three month std-dev: 3.86%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20141219

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_19_2014	77.14	89.13	87.66	89.22	89.26	89.05	87.94(-1.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-7	-20	-9	-2	0.53	64%	0.33	-62.7	3.86%	0	-0.3	55	0
2	Nov_18_2014	76.89	89.52	87.86	89.14	89.79	89.45	89.37(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	8	-0	9	5	0.49	64%	0.35	-82.5	3.87%	0	-0	49	0
3	Nov_17_2014	76.62	89.62	88.37	88.34	89.14	89.47	89.56(1.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	2	50	2	1	0.56	64%	0.35	-97.9	3.87%	0	-0	48	0
4	Nov_14_2014	76.35	90.1	88.35	87.65	88.27	90.13	88.13(-3.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	23	170	33	-6	0.4	64%	0.34	-94.9	3.88%	0	-0.4	39	0
5	Nov_13_2014	76.09	90.8	88.13	86.78	86.89	88.8	91.09(4.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	32	160	49	-18	1.14	64%	0.37	-84.4	3.86%	0	0	50	0

6	Nov_12_2014	75.81	91.46	87.55	85.93	85.29	86.4	87.54(2.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-6	70	10	-52	0.67	63%	0.3	-67	3.84%	0	-0.5	48	0
7	Nov_11_2014	75.58	92.61	87.8	86.48	86.01	84.98	85.37(-0.86%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-26	-100	-12	-66	0.82	63%	0.33	-44.6	3.84%	0	-0.8	40	0
8	Nov_10_2014	75.33	94.02	88.36	88.48	87.34	84.19	86.11(2.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-65	-290	-63	-69	0.74	63%	0.33	-25.9	3.83%	0	-0.9	47	0
9	Nov_7_2014	75.08	95.2	89.48	89.19	90.04	87.04	83.79(-3.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-54	-200	-51	-61	0.75	61%	0.28	-12.9	3.88%	0	-1.3	38	0
10	Nov_6_2014	74.87	96.11	90.34	89.55	90.66	90.49	86.85(-3.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-39	20	-30	-67	0.77	61%	0.29	-5.1	3.86%	0	-1.1	38	0

11	Nov_5_2014	74.65	96.69	90.79	89.26	90.46	93.05	90.25(-5.38%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	14	240	40	-64	0.92	62%	0.34	-0.5	3.82%	0	-0.8	38	0
12	Nov_4_2014	74.4	96.64	91.36	89.25	89.13	90.83	95.38(6.38%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	21	130	55	-81	0.68	62%	0.39	0.8	3.82%	0	-0.1	36	0
13	Nov_3_2014	74.11	96.42	90.92	88.38	87.77	87.87	89.66(4.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-51	-10	-18	-151	0.61	61%	0.31	3.1	3.82%	0	-0.8	29	0
14	Oct_31_2014	73.88	96.37	91.92	90.04	89.53	87.42	85.62(0.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-61	-180	-29	-158	0.32	62%	0.22	13.2	3.79%	0	-1.2	30	0
15	Oct_30_2014	73.72	96.55	93.64	91.31	91.81	87.67	85.37(-5.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-93	-300	-70	-160	0.82	62%	0.22	22.9	3.86%	0	-1.3	41	0

16	Oct_29_2014	73.56	96.73	95.67	92.42	93.38	91.63	90.21(-0.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-87	-100	-68	-142	0.51	64%	0.27	30.3	3.8%	0	-0.7	47	0
17	Oct_28_2014	73.36	96.57	97.79	93.67	93.9	95.94	91.04(-7.05%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-8	160	12	-68	0.5	64%	0.27	37.4	3.79%	0	-0.6	57	0
18	Oct_27_2014	73.16	96.16	100.09	93.75	93.68	95.13	97.95(6.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	32	110	49	-21	0.99	67%	0.38	37	3.67%	0	0.2	59	0
19	Oct_24_2014	72.88	95.21	101.28	94.24	92.76	91.85	91.98(1.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-33	-120	-38	-18	0.8	66%	0.26	37.2	3.6%	0	-0.3	58	0
20	Oct_23_2014	72.69	94.58	102.32	96.47	95.19	92.23	90.94(-5.68%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.5	-39	-260	-58	17	1.03	66%	0.25	44.3	3.6%	0	-0.3	58	0

21	Oct_22_2014	72.51	94.12	103.16	99.45	97.73	93.67	96.42(5.45%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-81	-340	-121	40	0.98	68%	0.32	53.8	3.53%	0	0.2	62	0
22	Oct_21_2014	72.28	93.2	102.5	102.62	102.48	98.14	91.44(-8.94%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.9	-75	-300	-126	79	0.78	67%	0.24	63	3.5%	0	-0.1	61	0
23	Oct_20_2014	72.11	92.55	102.63	107.3	108.15	101.78	100.41(-2.63%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-38	-390	-108	173	0.83	72%	0.36	76.6	3.29%	0	0.6	73	0
24	Oct_17_2014	71.85	91.37	101.44	109.33	110.39	106.82	103.13(-2.56%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-38	-200	-125	222	1.35	73%	0.41	81.9	3.27%	0	0.9	78	0
25	Oct_16_2014	71.56	89.87	99.93	108.94	111.37	114.52	105.84(-5.75%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	115	260	47	319	1.44	70%		80.5	3.28%	0	1.2	82	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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