Trading Signals: ERY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ERY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Sep. 15, 2014

Trading Signals: ERY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(Direxion Daily Energy Bear 3X ETF)
ERY latest price $73.0420 (-2.11%) ($72.5488 - $76.0978) on Mon. Sep. 15, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.57% (three month average)
RSI   69
Latest Price   $73.0420(-2.11%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ERY advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ERY advances 5.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ERY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VIXM(36%)    TLT(32%)    UUP(15%)    SHY(8%)    IGOV(6%)
Factors Impacting ERY price   ERY will decline at least -1.285% in a week (0% probabilities).
XLE(-98%)    XOP(-90%)    OIH(-89%)    XLB(-73%)    VT(-72%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.285% (StdDev 2.57%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $72.36(0.94%)
10 Day Moving Average   $70.11(4.18%)
20 Day Moving Average   $68.06(7.32%)
To recent high   -2.1%
To recent low   20%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. ERY is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. ERY price fluctuates within 4.39% (three month std-dev: 2.57%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 9 Average positive next day return: 2.47%(22%) Average negative next day return: -3.23%(78%) Sample size 9 Average positive next three day return: 2.23%(33%) Average negative next three day return: -5.12%(67%) Sample size 9 Average positive next weekly return: 2.64%(56%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.97%(44%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_15_2014	69.34	68.06	70.11	72.36	73.09	73.86	73.04(-2.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	61	100	32	149	0.05	58%	-0.1	31.2	2.57%	0	1.7	69	INF
2	Sep_12_2014	69.41	67.82	69.21	71.78	72.23	73.05	74.62(4.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	66	100	43	133	0.06	56%	-0.06	29	2.59%	0	2.5	65	INF
3	Sep_11_2014	69.45	67.56	68.22	70.26	71.14	72.33	71.46(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	54	150	38	101	0.06	54%	-0.1	12.9	2.53%	0	1.7	64	INF
4	Sep_10_2014	69.52	67.42	67.56	69.66	70.01	71.41	71.61(0.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	66	160	57	94	0.07	54%	-0.11	3	2.54%	0	1.9	64	INF
5	Sep_9_2014	69.6	67.29	66.84	68.48	68.78	69.96	71.07(1.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	57	130	54	64	0.06	54%	-0.13	-15.4	2.54%	0	1.8	61	INF

6	Sep_8_2014	69.69	67.14	66.25	67.52	67.43	68.6	70.13(4.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	43	120	46	33	0.07	54%	0.01	-27.5	2.53%	0	1.5	53	INF
7	Sep_5_2014	69.68	67.03	65.93	66.27	66.49	67.59	67.03(-2.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	33	130	43	2	0.06	50%	-0.21	-53.1	2.48%	0	0	42	INF
8	Sep_4_2014	69.83	67.26	65.83	65.85	65.58	66.27	68.46(4.13%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.2	18	60	32	-25	0.07	50%	-0.21	-45.1	2.48%	0	0.6	41	INF
9	Sep_3_2014	69.98	67.35	65.58	65.16	65.11	65.38	65.74(-0.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-3	30	15	-57	0.03	47%	-0.31	-40.1	2.42%	0	-0.7	38	INF
10	Sep_2_2014	70.2	67.62	65.66	64.93	64.96	64.9	66.24(3.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-16	-10	5	-77	0.08	47%	-0.69	-26.9	2.43%	0	-0.6	37	INF

11	Aug_29_2014	70.69	67.67	65.84	64.82	64.79	64.83	63.87(-1.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-38	0	-19	-94	0.02	43%	-0.42	-21.2	2.36%	0	-1.6	34	INF
12	Aug_28_2014	70.99	68.02	66.35	65.55	65.24	65.03	64.95(-0.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-20	-40	-3	-72	0.04	43%	-0.35	2.5	2.37%	0	-1.4	37	INF
13	Aug_27_2014	71.24	68.24	66.88	65.79	65.72	64.74	65(0.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-38	-110	-24	-81	0.04	43%	-0.36	21.4	2.37%	0	-1.5	28	INF
14	Aug_26_2014	71.5	68.24	67.3	66.05	66.12	65.46	64.61(-1.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-51	-70	-38	-88	0.09	43%	-0.42	30.2	2.37%	0	-1.6	33	INF
15	Aug_25_2014	71.8	68.26	67.84	66.46	66.62	66.7	65.64(-2.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-28	20	-12	-74	0.06	43%	-0.33	35.6	2.38%	0	-1.1	34	INF

16	Aug_22_2014	72.04	68.18	68.15	67.01	66.88	66.77	67.52(2.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-16	-20	-2	-57	0.06	45%	-0.29	37.5	2.36%	0	-0.3	54	INF
17	Aug_21_2014	72.25	67.97	68.25	67.3	67.17	66.54	66.19(-0.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-41	-70	-31	-71	0.05	43%	-0.33	33.6	2.35%	0	-0.6	41	INF
18	Aug_20_2014	72.49	67.77	68.83	68.17	67.99	66.99	66.29(-0.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-37	-110	-34	-45	0.06	43%	-0.34	34	2.37%	0	-0.5	46	INF
19	Aug_19_2014	72.74	67.57	69.29	68.75	68.76	67.8	66.68(-2.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-33	-100	-38	-16	0.13	43%	-0.37	37.1	2.38%	0	-0.3	57	INF
20	Aug_18_2014	73.01	67.4	69.76	69.39	69.23	68.98	68.36(-0.93%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-7	-30	-20	31	0.03	44%	-0.33	39.3	2.36%	0	0.3	62	INF

21	Aug_15_2014	73.25	67.2	69.68	69.42	69.54	69.72	69(-2.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	25	20	13	59	0.07	47%	-0.38	39.5	2.36%	0	0.5	64	INF
22	Aug_14_2014	73.53	66.98	69.84	69.31	69.07	69.47	70.53(1.92%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	17	30	-3	78	0.06	47%	-0.39	37.3	2.39%	0	1	68	INF
23	Aug_13_2014	73.82	66.69	69.69	69.63	69.13	69.37	69.2(-0.99%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	32	0	4	117	0.07	47%	-0.38	40.8	2.38%	0	0.7	69	INF
24	Aug_12_2014	74.1	66.34	69.3	69.94	69.64	68.68	69.89(2.02%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	24	-110	-12	133	0.1	46%	-0.42	43.7	2.38%	0	1	70	INF
25	Aug_11_2014	74.41	66.08	68.72	70.23	69.95	68.89	68.5(0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	5	-120	-39	136	0.07	46%		49.2	2.38%	0	0.7	64	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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