Trading Signals: ERY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ERY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Aug. 14, 2014

Trading Signals: ERY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(Direxion Daily Energy Bear 3X ETF)
ERY latest price $70.5267 (1.92%) ($68.7512 - $70.7733) on Thu. Aug. 14, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.39% (three month average)
RSI   68
Latest Price   $70.5267(1.92%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ERY declines -0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ERY advances 3.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ERY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VIXM(36%)    TLT(32%)    UUP(15%)    SHY(8%)    IGOV(6%)
Factors Impacting ERY price   ERY will decline at least -1.195% in a week (0% probabilities).
XLE(-98%)    XOP(-90%)    OIH(-89%)    XLB(-73%)    VT(-72%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.195% (StdDev 2.39%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $69.31(1.76%)
10 Day Moving Average   $69.84(0.98%)
20 Day Moving Average   $66.98(5.3%)
To recent high   -10.9%
To recent low   15.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. ERY is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. ERY price fluctuates within 5.2% (three month std-dev: 2.39%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 6.92%(50%) Average negative next day return: -1.06%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 3.08%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -6.38%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 3.52%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.32%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140914

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_14_2014	73.53	66.98	69.84	69.31	69.07	69.47	70.53(1.92%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	17	30	-3	78	0.06	47%	-0.39	37.3	2.39%	0	1	68	INF
2	Aug_13_2014	73.82	66.69	69.69	69.63	69.13	69.37	69.2(-0.99%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	32	0	4	117	0.07	47%	-0.38	40.8	2.38%	0	0.7	69	INF
3	Aug_12_2014	74.1	66.34	69.3	69.94	69.64	68.68	69.89(2.02%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	24	-110	-12	133	0.1	46%	-0.42	43.7	2.38%	0	1	70	INF
4	Aug_11_2014	74.41	66.08	68.72	70.23	69.95	68.89	68.5(0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	5	-120	-39	136	0.07	46%	-0.43	49.2	2.38%	0	0.7	64	INF
5	Aug_8_2014	74.73	65.85	68.24	69.93	70.48	70.6	68.46(-5.06%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	28	40	-10	142	0.09	48%	-0.43	48.9	2.38%	0	0.8	60	INF

6	Aug_7_2014	75.05	65.7	67.72	70.38	70.17	71.01	72.1(1.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	60	70	24	166	0.12	49%	-0.4	59.7	2.36%	0	2	66	INF
7	Aug_6_2014	75.35	65.29	66.65	69.76	69.97	70.36	70.77(-0.76%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	73	50	47	152	0.09	49%	-0.38	62.7	2.36%	0	1.9	63	INF
8	Aug_5_2014	75.64	64.86	65.72	68.56	69.13	69.34	71.32(6.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	56	50	34	121	0.15	49%	-0.41	56.9	2.36%	0	2.4	70	INF
9	Aug_4_2014	75.95	64.46	64.81	67.02	67.59	69.59	67.03(-5.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	56	230	45	89	0.1	45%	-0.48	50.7	2.22%	0	1.1	54	INF
10	Aug_1_2014	76.32	64.27	64.5	66.24	66.21	68.91	70.67(2.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	121	280	126	106	0.17	48%	-0.44	43.2	2.13%	0	2.9	64	INF

11	Jul_31_2014	76.66	63.82	63.8	64.65	64.43	65.59	69(6.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.6	80	120	90	48	0.14	47%	-0.42	28.3	2.12%	0	3.1	56	INF
12	Jul_30_2014	76.98	63.49	63.32	63.12	63.14	63.51	64.81(1.94%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	16	40	27	-16	0.11	42%	-0.48	3.7	1.95%	0	1.1	51	INF
13	Jul_29_2014	77.35	63.37	63.04	62.46	62.53	63.26	63.57(0.7%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	5	90	20	-40	0.05	42%	-0.44	-18.6	1.93%	0	0.2	54	INF
14	Jul_28_2014	77.69	63.34	63.16	62.28	62.23	62.77	63.13(0.63%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	8	60	23	-39	0.05	42%	-0.46	-16	1.93%	0	-0.2	49	INF
15	Jul_25_2014	78.05	63.33	63.25	62.49	62.16	61.8	62.73(2.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-20	-60	-11	-45	0.04	42%	-0.46	-5.3	1.93%	0	-0.5	49	INF

16	Jul_24_2014	78.41	63.34	63.54	62.83	62.7	61.7	61.35(-0.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-43	-120	-46	-35	0.05	40%	-0.51	1.6	1.92%	0	-1.7	50	INF
17	Jul_23_2014	78.81	63.44	63.87	63.55	63.52	62.52	61.5(-1.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-30	-110	-38	-6	0.05	40%	-0.48	14.3	1.92%	0	-1.7	48	INF
18	Jul_22_2014	79.19	63.6	64.02	63.66	63.87	63.7	62.68(-2.31%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.9	-22	-10	-30	1	0.07	40%	-0.49	10.4	1.91%	0	-0.9	52	INF
19	Jul_21_2014	79.58	63.52	64.16	63.66	63.9	64.53	64.16(-0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	17	60	11	36	0.02	41%	-0.45	1.1	1.9%	0	0.5	55	INF
20	Jul_18_2014	79.94	63.39	64.1	64.13	64.03	64.03	64.46(-0.76%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	22	-0	16	41	0.08	41%	-0.46	-20.1	1.91%	0	0.8	56	INF

21	Jul_17_2014	80.31	63.32	63.88	64.39	64	63.27	64.95(4.69%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	-12	-100	-25	29	0.13	39%	-0.46	-37.1	1.92%	0	1.3	57	INF
22	Jul_16_2014	80.68	63.29	63.67	64.29	64.45	64.02	62.04(-4.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.9	-13	-40	-27	28	0.07	32%	-0.47	-60.2	1.84%	0	-1	47	INF
23	Jul_15_2014	81.06	63.49	63.76	64.4	64.8	64.73	65(1.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	15	10	8	37	0.05	33%	-0.43	-68.4	1.81%	0	1.1	51	INF
24	Jul_14_2014	81.41	63.51	63.53	64.17	64.33	64.87	64.16(-2.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	14	70	5	39	0.04	31%	-0.5	-83.3	1.85%	0	0.5	63	INF
25	Jul_11_2014	81.82	63.65	63.4	64.05	64.19	64.86	65.79(2.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	53	80	50	60	0.08	32%		-84	1.89%	0	1.3	67	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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