Trading Signals: ERY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ERY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Jul. 31, 2014

Trading Signals: ERY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(Direxion Daily Energy Bear 3X ETF)
ERY latest price $68.9978 (6.47%) ($65.8907 - $69.0950) on Thu. Jul. 31, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.12% (three month average)
RSI   56
Latest Price   $68.9978(6.47%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ERY advances 2.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ERY advances 0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ERY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VIXM(36%)    TLT(32%)    UUP(15%)    SHY(8%)    IGOV(6%)
Factors Impacting ERY price   ERY will decline at least -1.06% in a week (0% probabilities).
XLE(-98%)    XOP(-90%)    OIH(-89%)    XLB(-73%)    VT(-72%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.06% (StdDev 2.12%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 4.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $64.65(6.73%)
10 Day Moving Average   $63.8(8.15%)
20 Day Moving Average   $63.82(8.11%)
To recent high   -12.8%
To recent low   13.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0%

$. ERY is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0% a day on average for holding it.$. ERY price fluctuates within 2.65% (three month std-dev: 2.12%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -2.15%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -7.88%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -6.52%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140831

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_31_2014	76.66	63.82	63.8	64.65	64.43	65.59	69(6.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.6	80	120	90	48	0.14	47%	-0.42	28.3	2.12%	0	3.1	56	0
2	Jul_30_2014	76.98	63.49	63.32	63.12	63.14	63.51	64.81(1.94%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	16	40	27	-16	0.11	42%	-0.48	3.7	1.95%	0	1.1	51	0
3	Jul_29_2014	77.35	63.37	63.04	62.46	62.53	63.26	63.57(0.7%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	5	90	20	-40	0.05	42%	-0.44	-18.6	1.93%	0	0.2	54	0
4	Jul_28_2014	77.69	63.34	63.16	62.28	62.23	62.77	63.13(0.63%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	8	60	23	-39	0.05	42%	-0.46	-16	1.93%	0	-0.2	49	0
5	Jul_25_2014	78.05	63.33	63.25	62.49	62.16	61.8	62.73(2.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-20	-60	-11	-45	0.04	42%	-0.46	-5.3	1.93%	0	-0.5	49	0

6	Jul_24_2014	78.41	63.34	63.54	62.83	62.7	61.7	61.35(-0.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-43	-120	-46	-35	0.05	40%	-0.51	1.6	1.92%	0	-1.7	50	0
7	Jul_23_2014	78.81	63.44	63.87	63.55	63.52	62.52	61.5(-1.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-30	-110	-38	-6	0.05	40%	-0.48	14.3	1.92%	0	-1.7	48	0
8	Jul_22_2014	79.19	63.6	64.02	63.66	63.87	63.7	62.68(-2.31%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.9	-22	-10	-30	1	0.07	40%	-0.49	10.4	1.91%	0	-0.9	52	0
9	Jul_21_2014	79.58	63.52	64.16	63.66	63.9	64.53	64.16(-0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	17	60	11	36	0.02	41%	-0.45	1.1	1.9%	0	0.5	55	0
10	Jul_18_2014	79.94	63.39	64.1	64.13	64.03	64.03	64.46(-0.76%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	22	-0	16	41	0.08	41%	-0.46	-20.1	1.91%	0	0.8	56	0

11	Jul_17_2014	80.31	63.32	63.88	64.39	64	63.27	64.95(4.69%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	-12	-100	-25	29	0.13	39%	-0.46	-37.1	1.92%	0	1.3	57	0
12	Jul_16_2014	80.68	63.29	63.67	64.29	64.45	64.02	62.04(-4.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.9	-13	-40	-27	28	0.07	32%	-0.47	-60.2	1.84%	0	-1	47	0
13	Jul_15_2014	81.06	63.49	63.76	64.4	64.8	64.73	65(1.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	15	10	8	37	0.05	33%	-0.43	-68.4	1.81%	0	1.1	51	0
14	Jul_14_2014	81.41	63.51	63.53	64.17	64.33	64.87	64.16(-2.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	14	70	5	39	0.04	31%	-0.5	-83.3	1.85%	0	0.5	63	0
15	Jul_11_2014	81.82	63.65	63.4	64.05	64.19	64.86	65.79(2.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	53	80	50	60	0.08	32%	-0.44	-84	1.89%	0	1.3	67	0

16	Jul_10_2014	82.18	63.78	63.09	63.32	63.62	63.78	64.46(2.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	23	30	21	27	0.15	34%	-0.48	-85.7	1.86%	0	0.3	54	0
17	Jul_9_2014	82.58	64.02	62.93	63	63.1	63.52	62.59(-2.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	4	50	3	5	0.07	31%	-0.52	-82.4	1.91%	0	-0.6	43	0
18	Jul_8_2014	83.01	64.41	63.11	63.01	63	63.47	63.87(0.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	25	50	30	8	0.09	31%	-0.23	-76.4	1.91%	0	-0.2	40	0
19	Jul_7_2014	83.2	64.71	62.82	62.79	63	62.69	63.52(2.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-3	-0	6	-30	0.07	36%	-0.83	-77.8	1.93%	0	-0.4	40	0
20	Jul_3_2014	83.9	65.05	62.61	62.66	62.62	62.53	62.14(-1.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-20	-10	-5	-63	0.03	34%	-0.6	-72.5	2.01%	0	-0.8	31	0

21	Jul_2_2014	84.41	65.55	62.72	62.81	62.81	62.54	62.88(0.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-27	-30	-7	-86	0.05	34%	-0.57	-67.7	2.02%	0	-0.7	28	0
22	Jul_1_2014	84.89	66.07	62.86	62.85	62.95	62.7	62.64(-0.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-45	-20	-22	-114	0.05	34%	-0.63	-66.5	2.02%	0	-0.8	26	0
23	Jun_30_2014	85.43	66.61	63.19	63.23	63.41	63.08	62.78(-0.08%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-26	-30	4	-115	0.13	34%	-0.61	-64.2	2.01%	0	-0.9	24	0
24	Jun_27_2014	85.95	67.18	63.49	62.84	63.35	63.21	62.83(-0.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-36	10	0	-143	0.03	31%	-0.27	-67.5	2.04%	0	-1	26	0
25	Jun_26_2014	86.18	67.74	63.91	62.55	62.77	63.74	62.93(-0.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-33	120	10	-160	0.1	31%		-71.5	2.05%	0	-1.1	26	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.