Trading Signals: ERY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ERY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Jul. 30, 2014

Trading Signals: ERY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(Direxion Daily Energy Bear 3X ETF)
ERY latest price $64.8057 (1.94%) ($62.1424 - $65.3482) on Wed. Jul. 30, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.95% (three month average)
RSI   51
Latest Price   $64.8057(1.94%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ERY advances 1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ERY declines -0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ERY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VIXM(36%)    TLT(32%)    UUP(15%)    SHY(8%)    IGOV(6%)
Factors Impacting ERY price   ERY will decline at least -0.975% in a week (0% probabilities).
XLE(-98%)    XOP(-90%)    OIH(-89%)    XLB(-73%)    VT(-72%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.975% (StdDev 1.95%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $63.12(2.67%)
10 Day Moving Average   $63.32(2.35%)
20 Day Moving Average   $63.49(2.07%)
To recent high   -18.1%
To recent low   6.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0%

$. ERY is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0% a day on average for holding it.$. ERY price fluctuates within 1.91% (three month std-dev: 1.95%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140830

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_30_2014	76.98	63.49	63.32	63.12	63.14	63.51	64.81(1.94%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	16	40	27	-16	0.11	42%	-0.48	3.7	1.95%	0	1.1	51	0
2	Jul_29_2014	77.35	63.37	63.04	62.46	62.53	63.26	63.57(0.7%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	5	90	20	-40	0.05	42%	-0.44	-18.6	1.93%	0	0.2	54	0
3	Jul_28_2014	77.69	63.34	63.16	62.28	62.23	62.77	63.13(0.63%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	8	60	23	-39	0.05	42%	-0.46	-16	1.93%	0	-0.2	49	0
4	Jul_25_2014	78.05	63.33	63.25	62.49	62.16	61.8	62.73(2.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-20	-60	-11	-45	0.04	42%	-0.46	-5.3	1.93%	0	-0.5	49	0
5	Jul_24_2014	78.41	63.34	63.54	62.83	62.7	61.7	61.35(-0.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-43	-120	-46	-35	0.05	40%	-0.51	1.6	1.92%	0	-1.7	50	0

6	Jul_23_2014	78.81	63.44	63.87	63.55	63.52	62.52	61.5(-1.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-30	-110	-38	-6	0.05	40%	-0.48	14.3	1.92%	0	-1.7	48	0
7	Jul_22_2014	79.19	63.6	64.02	63.66	63.87	63.7	62.68(-2.31%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.9	-22	-10	-30	1	0.07	40%	-0.49	10.4	1.91%	0	-0.9	52	0
8	Jul_21_2014	79.58	63.52	64.16	63.66	63.9	64.53	64.16(-0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	17	60	11	36	0.02	41%	-0.45	1.1	1.9%	0	0.5	55	0
9	Jul_18_2014	79.94	63.39	64.1	64.13	64.03	64.03	64.46(-0.76%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	22	-0	16	41	0.08	41%	-0.46	-20.1	1.91%	0	0.8	56	0
10	Jul_17_2014	80.31	63.32	63.88	64.39	64	63.27	64.95(4.69%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	-12	-100	-25	29	0.13	39%	-0.46	-37.1	1.92%	0	1.3	57	0

11	Jul_16_2014	80.68	63.29	63.67	64.29	64.45	64.02	62.04(-4.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.9	-13	-40	-27	28	0.07	32%	-0.47	-60.2	1.84%	0	-1	47	0
12	Jul_15_2014	81.06	63.49	63.76	64.4	64.8	64.73	65(1.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	15	10	8	37	0.05	33%	-0.43	-68.4	1.81%	0	1.1	51	0
13	Jul_14_2014	81.41	63.51	63.53	64.17	64.33	64.87	64.16(-2.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	14	70	5	39	0.04	31%	-0.5	-83.3	1.85%	0	0.5	63	0
14	Jul_11_2014	81.82	63.65	63.4	64.05	64.19	64.86	65.79(2.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	53	80	50	60	0.08	32%	-0.44	-84	1.89%	0	1.3	67	0
15	Jul_10_2014	82.18	63.78	63.09	63.32	63.62	63.78	64.46(2.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	23	30	21	27	0.15	34%	-0.48	-85.7	1.86%	0	0.3	54	0

16	Jul_9_2014	82.58	64.02	62.93	63	63.1	63.52	62.59(-2.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	4	50	3	5	0.07	31%	-0.52	-82.4	1.91%	0	-0.6	43	0
17	Jul_8_2014	83.01	64.41	63.11	63.01	63	63.47	63.87(0.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	25	50	30	8	0.09	31%	-0.23	-76.4	1.91%	0	-0.2	40	0
18	Jul_7_2014	83.2	64.71	62.82	62.79	63	62.69	63.52(2.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-3	-0	6	-30	0.07	36%	-0.83	-77.8	1.93%	0	-0.4	40	0
19	Jul_3_2014	83.9	65.05	62.61	62.66	62.62	62.53	62.14(-1.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-20	-10	-5	-63	0.03	34%	-0.6	-72.5	2.01%	0	-0.8	31	0
20	Jul_2_2014	84.41	65.55	62.72	62.81	62.81	62.54	62.88(0.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-27	-30	-7	-86	0.05	34%	-0.57	-67.7	2.02%	0	-0.7	28	0

21	Jul_1_2014	84.89	66.07	62.86	62.85	62.95	62.7	62.64(-0.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-45	-20	-22	-114	0.05	34%	-0.63	-66.5	2.02%	0	-0.8	26	0
22	Jun_30_2014	85.43	66.61	63.19	63.23	63.41	63.08	62.78(-0.08%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-26	-30	4	-115	0.13	34%	-0.61	-64.2	2.01%	0	-0.9	24	0
23	Jun_27_2014	85.95	67.18	63.49	62.84	63.35	63.21	62.83(-0.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-36	10	0	-143	0.03	31%	-0.27	-67.5	2.04%	0	-1	26	0
24	Jun_26_2014	86.18	67.74	63.91	62.55	62.77	63.74	62.93(-0.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-33	120	10	-160	0.1	31%	-0.29	-71.5	2.05%	0	-1.1	26	0
25	Jun_25_2014	86.43	68.3	64.51	62.6	62.47	63.49	63.08(-2.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-12	110	37	-160	0.15	30%		-71.9	2.07%	0	-1.1	23	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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