Trading Signals: ERY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ERY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Jun. 6, 2014

Trading Signals: ERY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(Direxion Daily Energy Bear 3X ETF)
ERY latest price $70.7240 (-2.52%) ($70.5267 - $72.1542) on Fri. Jun. 6, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2% (three month average)
RSI   15
Latest Price   $70.7240(-2.52%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ERY declines -1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ERY declines -3.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ERY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VIXM(37%)    TLT(31%)    UUP(15%)    SHY(8%)    IGOV(6%)
Factors Impacting ERY price   ERY will decline at least -1% in a week (0% probabilities).
XLE(-98%)    XOP(-90%)    OIH(-89%)    XLB(-73%)    VT(-72%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1% (StdDev 2%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.8%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $68.13(-3.67%)
Resistance Level   $75.84
5 Day Moving Average   $73.1(-3.25%)
10 Day Moving Average   $74.25(-4.75%)
20 Day Moving Average   $75.84(-6.75%)
To recent high   -31.8%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0%

$. ERY is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0% a day on average for holding it.$. ERY price fluctuates within 2.91% (three month std-dev: 2%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 15 Average positive next day return: 3.04%(47%) Average negative next day return: -1.25%(53%) Sample size 15 Average positive next three day return: 2.24%(60%) Average negative next three day return: -2.56%(40%) Sample size 15 Average positive next weekly return: 5.05%(40%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.62%(60%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140706

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_6_2014	89.63	75.84	74.25	73.1	73.3	72.37	70.72(-2.52%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.1	-71	-80	-55	-117	0.07	38%	-0.26	-50.5	2%	0	-2.3	15	INF
2	Jun_5_2014	89.86	76.23	74.87	73.8	74.06	73.74	72.55(-1.87%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-41	-20	-22	-97	0.09	42%	-0.23	-51	1.99%	0	-1.9	23	INF
3	Jun_4_2014	90.07	76.39	75.28	74.13	74.36	74.24	73.93(0.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-31	-0	-13	-85	0.04	41%	-0.23	-60.2	2.02%	0	-1.4	44	INF
4	Jun_3_2014	90.28	76.57	75.77	74.56	74.59	74.38	73.73(-1.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-29	-20	-16	-67	0.03	41%	-0.22	-60.6	2.05%	0	-1.7	44	INF
5	Jun_2_2014	90.48	76.77	76.24	75.11	75.04	74.49	74.57(0.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-30	-50	-22	-53	0.05	41%	-0.23	-62.6	2.06%	0	-1.5	42	INF

6	May_30_2014	90.69	76.97	76.69	75.61	75.61	74.81	74.23(0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-36	-70	-33	-46	0.09	41%	-0.23	-60.1	2.07%	0	-1.9	35	INF
7	May_29_2014	90.9	77.22	77.13	76.11	76.12	75.6	74.18(-2.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-31	-50	-30	-34	0.13	41%	-0.24	-52.5	2.09%	0	-2.2	37	INF
8	May_28_2014	91.12	77.45	77.35	76.58	76.47	76.41	76.1(-0.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-17	-10	-17	-17	0.05	42%	-0.22	-49.7	2.09%	0	-1.1	56	INF
9	May_27_2014	91.32	77.57	77.36	77.17	76.76	76.63	76.49(-0.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-9	-30	-10	-6	0.05	42%	-0.22	-43	2.1%	0	-0.9	49	INF
10	May_23_2014	91.52	77.72	77.41	77.54	77.28	76.54	77.04(0.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-17	-80	-21	-5	0.05	39%	-0.22	-32.5	2.13%	0	-0.5	49	INF

11	May_22_2014	91.72	77.85	77.56	77.96	77.86	76.88	76.74(0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-31	-90	-40	-4	0.09	39%	-0.23	-27.6	2.15%	0	-0.9	45	INF
12	May_21_2014	91.93	77.95	77.71	78.32	78.53	78.03	76.54(-3.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.4	-12	-40	-19	9	0.08	41%	-0.24	-37.5	2.16%	0	-1.1	43	INF
13	May_20_2014	92.15	78.05	77.62	78.19	78.67	78.84	79.01(0.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	12	30	13	9	0.06	42%	-0.19	-68.3	2.16%	0	0.8	51	INF
14	May_19_2014	92.33	78.08	77.42	77.57	77.94	79.04	78.37(-1%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	18	110	25	-3	0.06	42%	-0.23	-116.5	2.17%	0	0.2	50	INF
15	May_16_2014	92.54	78.13	77.32	77.26	77.28	78.5	79.16(0.82%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.5	33	110	46	-7	0.11	42%	-0.2	-168.5	2.15%	0	0.8	48	INF

16	May_15_2014	92.73	78.2	77.22	77.15	76.82	76.84	78.52(3.44%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	6	-10	17	-27	0.15	42%	-0.24	-193.5	2.16%	0	0.2	44	INF
17	May_14_2014	92.95	78.42	77.25	77.09	76.97	76.06	75.9(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.7	-25	-90	-19	-42	0.05	37%	-0.27	-169.4	2.12%	0	-1.4	41	INF
18	May_13_2014	93.2	78.93	77.52	76.95	77.23	76.8	75.9(-1.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-31	-30	-26	-47	0.04	37%	-0.29	-135.8	2.17%	0	-1.2	41	INF
19	May_12_2014	93.47	79.6	77.78	77.19	77.23	77.88	76.84(-2.2%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-6	70	4	-35	0.06	37%	-0.28	-102.6	2.17%	0	-0.8	39	INF
20	May_9_2014	93.73	80.4	78.05	77.34	77.23	77.65	78.57(0.44%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.3	16	40	29	-23	0.1	37%	-0.26	-72.2	2.19%	0	-0.4	46	NAN

21	May_8_2014	93.97	81.09	78.16	77.32	77.12	76.37	78.22(4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-21	-80	-13	-44	0.11	37%	-0.27	-58.4	2.2%	0	-0.5	39	NAN
22	May_7_2014	94.22	81.62	78.19	77.51	77.57	76.58	75.21(-2.49%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-55	-90	-49	-71	0.09	34%	-0.34	-56.2	2.14%	0	-1.2	19	NAN
23	May_6_2014	94.54	82.4	78.55	78.18	78.36	77.88	77.14(-0.57%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-38	-40	-25	-75	0.06	35%	-0.31	-52.7	2.14%	0	-0.9	17	NAN
24	May_5_2014	94.83	83.19	78.83	78.44	78.77	78.57	77.58(-1.13%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-31	-10	-9	-95	0.04	35%	-0.3	-48.5	2.16%	0	-1	13	NAN
25	May_2_2014	95.12	83.78	79.03	78.82	78.62	78.84	78.47(-0.87%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-41	10	-10	-132	0.07	35%		-50.4	2.18%	0	-0.9	11	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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