Trading Signals: ERY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ERY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Apr. 16, 2014

Trading Signals: ERY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(Direxion Daily Energy Bear 3X ETF)
ERY latest price $83.3497 (-3.81%) ($83.3497 - $85.4212) on Wed. Apr. 16, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.34% (three month average)
RSI   31
Latest Price   $83.3497(-3.81%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ERY declines -1.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ERY declines -1.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ERY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(31%)    UUP(15%)    SHY(8%)    IGOV(6%)    BNDX(3%)
Factors Impacting ERY price   ERY will decline at least -1.17% in a week (0% probabilities).
XLE(-98%)    XOP(-90%)    OIH(-89%)    XLB(-73%)    VT(-72%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.17% (StdDev 2.34%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.9%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $81.33(-2.42%)
Resistance Level   $92.59
5 Day Moving Average   $89.51(-6.88%)
10 Day Moving Average   $89.8(-7.18%)
20 Day Moving Average   $92.59(-9.98%)
To recent high   -27.6%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. ERY is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. ERY price fluctuates within 5.18% (three month std-dev: 2.34%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 13 Average positive next day return: 3.99%(69%) Average negative next day return: -3.33%(31%) Sample size 13 Average positive next three day return: 9.84%(69%) Average negative next three day return: -14.36%(31%) Sample size 13 Average positive next weekly return: 9.2%(77%) Average negative next weekly return: -17.59%(23%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140516

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_16_2014	98.76	92.59	89.8	89.51	89.52	86.44	83.35(-3.81%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-104	-240	-110	-85	0.14	37%	-0.33	-61	2.34%	0	-1.9	31	0
2	Apr_15_2014	99.09	93.51	90.55	90.74	91.35	89.93	86.65(-3.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-72	-90	-71	-73	0.21	39%	-0.27	-58.9	2.32%	0	-1.6	31	0
3	Apr_14_2014	99.36	94.15	91.02	91.58	91.76	92.59	90.21(-4.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-23	70	-12	-54	0.08	41%	-0.2	-56.7	2.29%	0	-0.9	38	0
4	Apr_11_2014	99.56	94.7	91.25	92.25	91.89	92.78	94(0.69%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	35	60	58	-36	0.12	44%	-0.13	-46.6	2.25%	0	-0.2	38	0
5	Apr_10_2014	99.69	95.12	91.07	91.27	91.34	90.94	93.36(4.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-5	-30	21	-83	0.21	44%	-0.15	-44.8	2.27%	0	-0.4	38	0

6	Apr_9_2014	99.84	95.61	91.27	90.23	90.39	91	89.47(-1.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-42	50	-13	-129	0.11	40%	-0.24	-45.6	2.17%	0	-1.2	28	0
7	Apr_8_2014	100.08	96.19	92.13	90.34	90.02	91.73	90.85(-2.9%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	8	120	48	-111	0.1	40%	-0.23	-46.8	2.19%	0	-1.1	28	0
8	Apr_7_2014	100.31	96.69	92.75	90.37	90.02	89.78	93.56(4.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-3	-20	36	-121	0.21	42%	-0.17	-46.4	2.19%	0	-0.7	39	0
9	Apr_4_2014	100.48	96.9	93.32	90.18	89.75	88.3	89.12(1.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-89	-130	-59	-179	0.14	35%	-0.29	-52.1	2.03%	0	-1.7	24	0
10	Apr_3_2014	100.77	97.38	94.33	90.89	90.82	89.73	88.18(-2.03%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-99	-90	-71	-184	0.11	35%	-0.33	-54.1	2.04%	0	-2.2	19	0

11	Apr_2_2014	101.1	97.95	95.55	92.47	92.09	91.2	90.01(-1.08%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-85	-80	-59	-163	0.1	35%	-0.3	-54	2.06%	0	-2.1	20	0
12	Apr_1_2014	101.4	98.52	96.73	94.18	93.75	91.91	90.99(-1.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-78	-150	-59	-135	0.1	35%	-0.29	-49.1	2.08%	0	-2.3	32	0
13	Mar_31_2014	101.69	98.92	97.59	95.46	95.15	92.98	92.57(-0.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-107	-170	-97	-135	0.1	35%	-0.26	-47	2.1%	0	-2.3	34	0
14	Mar_28_2014	101.95	99.37	98.51	96.94	96.6	95.59	92.67(-3.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-77	-80	-72	-92	0.18	35%	-0.26	-35.4	2.13%	0	-2.8	44	0
15	Mar_27_2014	102.22	99.75	99.59	98.26	97.9	97.33	96.12(-2.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-24	-50	-19	-38	0.17	39%	-0.18	-36.8	2.1%	0	-1.9	49	0

16	Mar_26_2014	102.4	100.02	100.36	99.08	98.23	97.6	98.54(1.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-37	-70	-42	-22	0.16	41%	-0.13	-28.3	2.1%	0	-0.9	52	0
17	Mar_25_2014	102.53	100.15	100.6	99.7	99.33	98.47	97.41(-2.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-18	-70	-23	-4	0.11	41%	-0.16	-25.9	2.12%	0	-1.6	44	0
18	Mar_24_2014	102.69	100.27	100.97	100.04	100.04	98.87	99.97(0.7%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	-27	-80	-37	3	0.1	44%	-0.09	-35.4	2.11%	0	-0.2	56	0
19	Mar_21_2014	102.78	100.24	100.77	100.36	100.25	100.19	99.28(-0.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-32	-10	-42	-3	0.13	44%	-0.12	-42.5	2.14%	0	-0.5	47	0
20	Mar_20_2014	102.9	100.46	100.67	101.14	101.05	101.21	100.22(-1.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	12	10	8	25	0.08	44%	-0.1	-46.1	2.18%	0	-0.1	52	0

21	Mar_19_2014	103	100.52	100.53	101.85	101.51	100.32	101.65(2.59%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-7	-90	-16	20	0.14	44%	-0.05	-56.3	2.21%	0	0.6	51	0
22	Mar_18_2014	103.05	100.59	100.42	101.67	101.91	100.88	99.08(-2.43%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-38	-60	-51	3	0.09	40%	-0.15	-70.9	2.17%	0	-0.7	46	0
23	Mar_17_2014	103.2	100.84	100.36	102	102.35	102.71	101.55(-1.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	17	30	12	31	0.06	43%	-0.07	-90.1	2.18%	0	0.3	55	0
24	Mar_14_2014	103.27	101.01	100.29	101.17	101.66	102.94	103.23(-0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	46	100	49	38	0.09	43%	0	-105.7	2.21%	0	1	59	0
25	Mar_13_2014	103.27	101.29	99.88	100.11	100.34	101.99	103.77(3.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	49	120	60	15	0.11	43%		0	2.26%	0	0.8	48	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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