Trading Signals: ERY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ERY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Mar. 19, 2014

Trading Signals: ERY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(Direxion Daily Energy Bear 3X ETF)
ERY latest price $101.6472 (2.59%) ($98.9840 - $103.2255) on Wed. Mar. 19, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.21% (three month average)
RSI   51
Latest Price   $101.6472(2.59%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ERY advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ERY advances 1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ERY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(31%)    UUP(15%)    SHY(8%)    IGOV(5%)    BNDX(3%)
Factors Impacting ERY price   ERY will decline at least -1.105% in a week (0% probabilities).
XLE(-98%)    XOP(-90%)    OIH(-89%)    XLB(-73%)    XLF(-71%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.105% (StdDev 2.21%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $101.85(-0.2%)
10 Day Moving Average   $100.53(1.11%)
20 Day Moving Average   $100.52(1.12%)
To recent high   -11.7%
To recent low   4.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0%

$. ERY is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0% a day on average for holding it.$. ERY price fluctuates within 1.9% (three month std-dev: 2.21%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140419

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_19_2014	103	100.52	100.53	101.85	101.51	100.32	101.65(2.59%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-7	-90	-16	20	0.14	44%	-0.05	-56.3	2.21%	0	0.6	51	0
2	Mar_18_2014	103.05	100.59	100.42	101.67	101.91	100.88	99.08(-2.43%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-38	-60	-51	3	0.09	40%	-0.15	-70.9	2.17%	0	-0.7	46	0
3	Mar_17_2014	103.2	100.84	100.36	102	102.35	102.71	101.55(-1.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	17	30	12	31	0.06	43%	-0.07	-90.1	2.18%	0	0.3	55	0
4	Mar_14_2014	103.27	101.01	100.29	101.17	101.66	102.94	103.23(-0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	46	100	49	38	0.09	43%	0	-105.7	2.21%	0	1	59	0
5	Mar_13_2014	103.27	101.29	99.88	100.11	100.34	101.99	103.77(3.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	49	120	60	15	0.11	43%	0.02	0	2.26%	0	0.8	48	0

6	Mar_12_2014	103.25	101.6	99.56	100.11	99.22	100.38	100.71(-0.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	33	90	46	-8	0.12	37%	-0.11	0	2.18%	0	-0.2	48	0
7	Mar_11_2014	103.36	102.06	99.58	99.05	98.67	98.69	100.76(3.44%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	6	-10	16	-26	0.12	37%	-0.13	0	2.23%	0	-0.3	44	0
8	Mar_10_2014	103.49	102.71	99.42	98.52	98.87	98.06	97.41(-0.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-32	-50	-21	-64	0.09	27%	-0.29	0	2.1%	0	-1.1	36	0
9	Mar_7_2014	103.79	103.49	99.63	99.26	98.89	98.64	97.9(-0.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-46	-30	-37	-74	0.11	27%	-0.3	0	2.15%	0	-1.1	35	0
10	Mar_6_2014	104.1	103.49	100.22	99.58	99.58	99.68	98.49(-2.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	5	10	6	2	0.12	27%	-0.3	0	2.21%	0	18.8	30	0

11	Mar_5_2014	104.41	103.49	100.53	100.11	99.71	99.14	100.71(2.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-12	-50	-14	-6	0.09	27%	-0.21	0	2.25%	0	19.4	30	0
12	Mar_4_2014	104.63	103.49	100.78	100.2	100.14	99.49	98.1(-2.98%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-23	-50	-27	-11	0.13	18%	-0.39	0	2.15%	0	18.7	26	0
13	Mar_3_2014	105.04	103.49	101.39	100.43	100.64	100.28	101.1(1.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-5	-20	-6	-2	0.15	21%	-0.25	0	2.15%	0	19.6	24	0
14	Feb_28_2014	105.3	103.49	101.8	100.06	100.46	100.8	99.48(-1.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-13	40	-15	-6	0.16	21%	-0.4	0	2.13%	0	19.1	25	0
15	Feb_27_2014	105.72	103.49	102.8	100.96	100.61	100.99	101.15(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	14	20	16	6	0.06	21%	-0.33	0	2.2%	0	19.6	50	0

16	Feb_26_2014	106.07	103.49	103.76	101.03	100.83	100.13	101.15(1.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-12	-50	-14	-6	0.07	21%	-0.39	0	2.27%	0	19.5	50	0
17	Feb_25_2014	106.48	103.49	104.68	101.52	101.41	100.22	99.28(0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-43	-90	-51	-20	0.13	21%	-0.61	0	2.2%	0	19.1	50	0
18	Feb_24_2014	107.13	103.49	106.23	102.5	102.34	101.53	99.23(-4.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-41	-60	-48	-19	0.21	21%	-0.73	0	2.27%	0	20.1	50	0
19	Feb_21_2014	107.92	103.49	107.66	103.76	103.35	102.6	103.97(2.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-35	-60	-41	-16	0.07	28%	-0.41	0	2.11%	0	23.3	50	0
20	Feb_20_2014	108.36	103.49	107.66	104.96	104.58	103.15	101.5(-2.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-70	-110	-82	-33	0.1	13%	-0.79	0	1.84%	0	22.6	50	0

21	Feb_19_2014	109.22	103.49	107.66	106.94	106.79	104.11	103.62(-0.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-75	-180	-88	-35	0.19	16%	-0.73	0	1.95%	0	25.8	50	0
22	Feb_18_2014	110.02	103.49	107.66	108.34	108.48	106	104.16(-1.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-111	-160	-131	-52	0.08	16%	-0.87	0	2.08%	0	28.5	50	0
23	Feb_14_2014	110.99	103.49	107.66	110.52	110.45	109.48	105.54(-4.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-58	-60	-68	-27	0.08	16%	-0.97	0	2.28%	0	35.5	50	0
24	Feb_13_2014	112.08	103.49	107.66	112.08	112.24	110.97	109.98(-1.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-1.1	181	-70	213	85	0.1	28%	-0.47	0	2.08%	0	58.8	50	0
25	Feb_12_2014	112.61	103.49	107.66	90.09	113.01	111.42	111.41(0.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	12.3	236	660	277	111	0.05	28%		0	2.37%	0	64.4	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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