Trading Signals: ERX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Oct. 17, 2017

Trading Signals: ERX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 6, 2008 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Energy Bull 3X ETF)
ERX latest price $297.5000 (0.2%) ($292.6900 - $299.2600) on Tue. Oct. 17, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2% (three month average)
RSI   46
Latest Price   $297.5000(0.2%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Weekly Trend   ERX declines -0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock rally for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ERX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLE(92%)    OIH(90%)    XOP(86%)    IWD(74%)    IVE(73%)
Factors Impacting ERX price   ERX will decline at least -1% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-23%)    VIXM(-22%)    UUP(-19%)    IGOV(-5%)    SHY(-2%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1% (StdDev 2%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0%

5 Day Moving Average   $296.72(0.26%)
10 Day Moving Average   $297.09(0.14%)
20 Day Moving Average   $295.42(0.7%)
To recent high   -1.5%
To recent low   38%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0%

$. ERX is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0% a day on average for holding it.$. ERX price fluctuates within 2.58% (three month std-dev: 2%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 0.58%(25%) Average negative next day return: -1.23%(75%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 2.32%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -0.67%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 1.19%(75%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.24%(25%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20171117

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_17_2017	258.2	295.42	297.09	296.72	296.89	297.67	297.5(0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-21	20	-21	-22	0.08	59%	0.16	90.3	2%	0	0.3	46	0
2	Oct_16_2017	257.8	294.34	297.21	296.6	296.88	298.54	296.9(0.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	45	40	56	11	0.11	59%	0.11	87.7	2%	0	0.3	55	0
3	Oct_13_2017	257.51	293.13	297.46	296.5	297.23	296.11	295.3(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	25	-20	32	3	0.12	59%	0.11	86.6	2.01%	0	0.2	49	0
4	Oct_12_2017	257.23	291.85	297.92	296.3	296.6	295.22	295.1(-1.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-71	-30	-85	-30	0.12	59%	0.04	87.7	2.01%	0	0.3	68	0
5	Oct_11_2017	257.12	290.46	298.42	297.66	296.8	298.35	298.8(0.64%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	3	30	-5	28	0.09	59%	0.04	88.6	2%	0	0.6	76	0

6	Oct_10_2017	257.01	288.7	298.47	297.54	297.74	297.99	296.9(0.17%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0	74	10	73	77	0.12	59%	0.04	83	2.01%	0	0.5	76	0
7	Oct_9_2017	256.91	286.59	298.36	297.94	297.35	295.25	296.4(0.71%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-43	-60	-71	43	0.1	59%	0.04	80.1	2.01%	0	0.6	79	0
8	Oct_6_2017	256.82	284.3	298.42	298.58	298.19	297.5	294.3(-2.52%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-19	-20	-52	81	0.17	56%	0.07	77.5	2.01%	0	0.5	80	0
9	Oct_5_2017	256.65	281.79	297.55	299.7	298.2	299.45	301.9(1.24%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	53	10	25	136	0.13	52%	0.09	80.1	2.04%	0	1	94	0
10	Oct_4_2017	256.42	279.17	295.46	299.3	297.5	298.89	298.2(-0.23%)	TP	CloseLong	-10	-0.1	62	10	34	146	0.16	52%	0.04	85.5	2.18%	0	0.9	93	0

11	Oct_3_2017	256.31	276.67	293.74	299.56	298.19	296.95	298.9(-0.23%)	TP	CloseLong	-10	-0	64	-40	30	166	0.1	57%	0.03	88.4	2.2%	0	1	95	0
12	Oct_2_2017	256.23	273.6	291.36	298.82	297.59	296.11	299.6(-0.1%)	CR	OpenShort	-55	0	-18	-50	-70	138	0.17	57%	0.06	92.7	2.32%	0	1.2	97	0
13	Sep_29_2017	256.08	270.27	288.56	298.22	297.6	299.43	299.9(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	76	40	33	203	0.14	57%	0.05	91	2.32%	0	1.3	98	0
14	Sep_28_2017	255.96	266.61	285.35	294.98	296.37	299.07	299.9(0.13%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	176	80	147	261	0.2	57%	0.04	85.5	2.32%	0	1.5	98	0
15	Sep_27_2017	255.85	262.75	281.88	290.96	291.42	295.78	299.5(1.46%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	147	110	114	246	0.2	57%	0.08	79.4	2.33%	0	1.6	85	0

16	Sep_26_2017	255.64	258.85	278.07	287.02	286.95	293.68	295.2(-0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	228	160	209	283	0.14	57%	0.04	76	2.32%	0	1.6	84	0
17	Sep_25_2017	255.54	255.2	273.79	282.76	282.84	287.06	296.6(4.55%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	243	110	228	288	0.33	57%	0.07	74.6	2.32%	0	1.9	88	0
18	Sep_22_2017	255.37	251.59	268.87	277.58	277.83	280.22	283.7(1.39%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	124	60	89	229	0.16	53%	0.07	74.9	2.27%	0	1.5	88	0
19	Sep_21_2017	255.2	248.5	264.66	274.28	274.54	278.63	279.8(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	154	110	124	245	0.13	49%	-0.02	75.2	2.27%	0	1.6	88	0
20	Sep_20_2017	255.24	245.6	261.51	271.34	271.21	275.44	279.8(2.15%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	185	110	158	267	0.24	47%	-0	73.9	2.36%	0	1.8	89	0

21	Sep_19_2017	255.25	242.54	258.17	267.72	268.02	270.46	273.9(1.18%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	166	70	133	264	0.17	47%	-0.04	69.7	2.4%	0	1.7	88	0
22	Sep_18_2017	255.36	239.58	254.4	263.34	264.3	266.98	270.7(1.31%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	134	80	98	243	0.16	47%	-0.07	60.6	2.41%	0	1.8	86	0
23	Sep_15_2017	255.53	236.92	250.53	258.76	259.98	265.58	267.2(0.79%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	180	160	158	245	0.14	50%	-0.08	51.8	2.49%	0	1.9	80	0
24	Sep_14_2017	255.73	234.27	246.42	253.48	254.85	261.62	265.1(1.3%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	228	200	222	247	0.22	47%	-0.13	37.6	2.5%	0	2	81	0
25	Sep_13_2017	256.06	232.15	242.13	250.2	249.27	254.38	261.7(3.85%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	171	130	160	203	0.24	47%		27.3	2.59%	0	2.2	80	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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