Trading Signals: ERX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ERX: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Sat. May. 20, 2017

Trading Signals: ERX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 6, 2008 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Energy Bull 3X ETF)
ERX latest price $288.2000 (3.86%) ($280.5000 - $290.2000) on Sat. May. 20, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.77% (three month average)
RSI   52
Latest Price   $288.2000(3.86%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ERX advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ERX advances 0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ERX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)
Factors Impacting ERX price   ERX will decline at least -1.385% in a week (0% probabilities).
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.385% (StdDev 2.77%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.8%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $284.4(-1.32%)
5 Day Moving Average   $284.6(1.26%)
10 Day Moving Average   $284.95(1.14%)
20 Day Moving Average   $285.29(1.02%)
To recent high   -18.9%
To recent low   7.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. ERX is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. ERX price fluctuates within 2.41% (three month std-dev: 2.77%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 8 Average positive next day return: 0.59%(50%) Average negative next day return: -1.42%(50%) Sample size 8 Average positive next three day return: 0.94%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -2.79%(50%) Sample size 8 Average positive next weekly return: 2.31%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.57%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170620

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_19_2017	332.2	285.29	284.95	284.6	283.59	281.09	288.2(3.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	11	-70	7	22	0.3	45%	-0.35	-36.1	2.77%	0	0.4	52	0
2	May_18_2017	333.37	285.24	284.15	283.98	285.78	279.46	277.5(-0.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-125	-140	-151	-48	0.21	43%	-0.4	-50.8	2.74%	0	-1.1	45	0
3	May_17_2017	334.7	285.94	283.37	286.06	288.08	286.09	279(-2.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-114	-30	-136	-47	0.19	43%	-0.43	-67.2	2.76%	0	-1	46	0
4	May_16_2017	336.14	286.42	283.81	288.16	290.11	292.1	287.1(-1.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	43	70	48	26	0.16	42%	-0.15	-80.2	2.75%	0	0.1	44	0
5	May_15_2017	336.65	287.03	283.18	286.5	289.43	290.08	291.2(2.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	56	50	70	15	0.25	42%	-0.38	-87.3	2.79%	0	0.5	44	0

6	May_12_2017	337.94	287.8	282.47	285.38	286.39	288.13	285.1(-0.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-7	50	-1	-23	0.13	42%	-0.41	-95.8	2.73%	0	-0.3	46	0
7	May_11_2017	339.33	288.82	282.58	284.38	285.64	288.79	287.9(-0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	104	90	130	24	0.22	42%	-0.38	-98.8	2.76%	0	-0.1	50	0
8	May_10_2017	340.63	290.52	282.37	280.24	281.59	284.65	289.5(3.84%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.7	61	90	86	-14	0.33	42%	-0.37	-84.4	2.78%	0	-0.1	49	0
9	May_9_2017	341.88	292.32	282.88	278.92	277.53	282.49	278.8(-2.38%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	49	110	72	-21	0.19	39%	-0.41	-71	2.75%	0	-0.9	45	0
10	May_8_2017	343.28	294.76	284.88	279.34	277.39	278.53	285.6(1.96%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.4	78	10	106	-6	0.2	39%	-0.4	-60.7	2.77%	0	-0.6	41	0

11	May_5_2017	344.67	296.5	285.43	279.3	277.53	272.56	280.1(4.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-103	-140	-103	-102	0.34	37%	-0.4	-57.4	2.77%	0	-0.9	34	0
12	May_4_2017	346.05	298.76	286.25	280.68	280.57	276.26	267.2(-5.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-170	-110	-179	-142	0.5	33%	-0.42	-52.6	2.72%	0	-1.8	26	0
13	May_3_2017	347.51	301.42	288.83	284.62	285.45	282.51	282.9(0.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-76	-60	-66	-106	0.33	35%	-0.46	-51.4	2.66%	0	-1.1	24	0
14	May_2_2017	349.11	303.37	289.42	287.4	286.7	284.87	280.9(-1.58%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-125	-50	-119	-143	0.27	35%	-0.42	-44.2	2.68%	0	-1.4	21	0
15	May_1_2017	350.57	305.15	291.42	291.22	290.63	288.39	285.4(-0.56%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-56	-60	-36	-114	0.16	35%	-0.38	-35	2.69%	0	-1.2	22	0

16	Apr_28_2017	351.91	306.79	293.72	292.48	293.31	288.54	287(0.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-99	-110	-86	-137	0.27	33%	-0.37	-29.3	2.73%	0	-1.3	30	0
17	Apr_27_2017	353.21	308.49	295.69	292.64	293.88	292.88	286.9(-3.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-113	-10	-99	-154	0.42	33%	-0.35	-25.3	2.75%	0	-1.5	29	0
18	Apr_26_2017	354.44	310.24	299.36	293.48	294.11	298.08	296.8(-1.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	42	100	81	-76	0.33	34%	-0.29	-21.1	2.75%	0	-1	38	0
19	Apr_25_2017	355.47	310.88	302.36	291.72	292.38	294.88	300(2.85%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	49	70	90	-76	0.17	34%	-0.29	-25.3	2.75%	0	-0.8	38	0
20	Apr_24_2017	356.49	310.79	305.1	291.92	291.93	290.15	291.7(1.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-56	-40	-35	-119	0.17	31%	-0.28	-31.1	2.73%	0	-1.4	38	0

21	Apr_21_2017	357.49	311.35	308.15	295.46	294.74	289.88	287.8(-1.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-138	-120	-136	-143	0.23	31%	-0.28	-30.8	2.76%	0	-1.8	35	0
22	Apr_20_2017	358.51	312.28	312.09	299.32	299.99	293.71	291.1(1.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-174	-140	-184	-145	0.31	31%	-0.26	-30	2.78%	0	-1.7	35	0
23	Apr_19_2017	359.45	313.2	315.04	306.18	305.76	299.59	288(-4.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-207	-150	-229	-140	0.38	31%	-0.13	-23	2.78%	0	-2.2	32	0
24	Apr_18_2017	359.9	314.38	318.69	314.46	314.12	306.28	301(-2.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-156	-180	-181	-82	0.17	34%	-0.12	-2.2	2.74%	0	-1.3	50	0
25	Apr_17_2017	360.34	315.17	320.34	320.2	319.99	311.94	309.4(0.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-203	-180	-246	-74	0.18	34%		14.6	2.73%	0	-0.6	63	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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