Trading Signals: ERX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ERX: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Apr. 25, 2017

Trading Signals: ERX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 6, 2008 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Energy Bull 3X ETF)
ERX latest price $300.0000 (2.85%) ($291.8000 - $301.7000) on Tue. Apr. 25, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.75% (three month average)
RSI   38
Latest Price   $300.0000(2.85%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ERX declines -0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ERX declines -5.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ERX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLE(92%)    OIH(90%)    XOP(86%)    IWD(74%)    IVE(72%)
Factors Impacting ERX price   ERX will decline at least -1.375% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-23%)    VIXM(-22%)    UUP(-17%)    IGOV(-5%)    SHY(-3%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.375% (StdDev 2.75%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.9%

Resistance Level   $310.88
5 Day Moving Average   $291.72(2.84%)
10 Day Moving Average   $302.36(-0.78%)
20 Day Moving Average   $310.88(-3.5%)
To recent high   -23.4%
To recent low   4.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. ERX is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. ERX price fluctuates within 4.39% (three month std-dev: 2.75%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 6.87%(25%) Average negative next day return: -1.33%(75%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 3.06%(25%) Average negative next three day return: -2.08%(75%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 1.95%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -6.23%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170525

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_25_2017	355.47	310.88	302.36	291.72	292.38	294.88	300(2.85%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	49	70	90	-76	0.17	34%	-0.29	-25.3	2.75%	0	-0.8	38	INF
2	Apr_24_2017	356.49	310.79	305.1	291.92	291.93	290.15	291.7(1.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-56	-40	-35	-119	0.17	31%	-0.28	-31.1	2.73%	0	-1.4	38	INF
3	Apr_21_2017	357.49	311.35	308.15	295.46	294.74	289.88	287.8(-1.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-138	-120	-136	-143	0.23	31%	-0.28	-30.8	2.76%	0	-1.8	35	INF
4	Apr_20_2017	358.51	312.28	312.09	299.32	299.99	293.71	291.1(1.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-174	-140	-184	-145	0.31	31%	-0.26	-30	2.78%	0	-1.7	35	INF
5	Apr_19_2017	359.45	313.2	315.04	306.18	305.76	299.59	288(-4.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-207	-150	-229	-140	0.38	31%	-0.13	-23	2.78%	0	-2.2	32	INF

6	Apr_18_2017	359.9	314.38	318.69	314.46	314.12	306.28	301(-2.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-156	-180	-181	-82	0.17	34%	-0.12	-2.2	2.74%	0	-1.3	50	INF
7	Apr_17_2017	360.34	315.17	320.34	320.2	319.99	311.94	309.4(0.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-203	-180	-246	-74	0.18	34%	-0.14	14.6	2.73%	0	-0.6	63	INF
8	Apr_13_2017	360.85	315.56	321.27	322.72	325.14	321.97	307.1(-5.62%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-112	-50	-145	-12	0.3	34%	-0.17	24.2	2.74%	0	-0.9	58	INF
9	Apr_12_2017	361.45	316.09	322.73	326.56	327.47	328.05	325.4(-1.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	28	20	10	80	0.24	37%	-0.1	36.8	2.65%	0	1	66	INF
10	Apr_11_2017	361.8	315.89	322.23	325.2	326.43	328.3	329.4(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	50	50	35	96	0.23	37%	-0.09	39.3	2.65%	0	1.4	65	INF

11	Apr_10_2017	362.12	314.59	320.11	323.66	325.98	326.9	329.7(2.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	92	40	85	111	0.17	37%	-0.02	21.2	2.69%	0	1.7	64	INF
12	Apr_7_2017	362.19	313.77	316.77	320.7	322.92	324.55	322(-1.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	32	60	22	61	0.14	34%	-0.03	-3.8	2.72%	0	1	54	INF
13	Apr_6_2017	362.3	313.32	314.6	319.7	320.29	325.06	326.3(2.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	88	110	92	75	0.12	34%	-0.03	-23	2.74%	0	1.6	55	INF
14	Apr_5_2017	362.42	312.67	312.22	318.42	318.47	321.29	318.6(-0.96%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	104	60	115	71	0.34	34%	-0.08	-47.5	2.71%	0	0.8	50	INF
15	Apr_4_2017	362.7	312.2	310.98	318.82	317.66	315.51	321.7(2.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	15	-60	13	21	0.22	34%	0.01	-61.8	2.71%	0	1.1	47	INF

16	Apr_3_2017	362.68	312.72	309.5	316	316.84	315.65	314.9(-0.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-28	-20	-35	-6	0.24	38%	0	-56.1	2.69%	0	0.2	58	INF
17	Mar_31_2017	362.68	314.08	309.42	312.04	313.88	319.81	317(-0.91%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	88	150	106	35	0.22	38%	-0.04	-56.3	2.74%	0	0.2	51	INF
18	Mar_30_2017	362.83	315.19	309.23	308.5	307.96	318.04	319.9(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	206	220	248	79	0.22	38%	-0.02	-53.9	2.76%	0	0.3	53	INF
19	Mar_29_2017	362.91	316.26	308.72	305.08	302.77	307.94	320.6(4.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	172	100	212	52	0.25	38%	0.02	-51	2.76%	0	0.3	53	INF
20	Mar_28_2017	362.83	317.78	308.71	302.26	300.63	297.89	307.6(4.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-13	-80	-5	-38	0.19	34%	-0.01	-49.5	2.7%	0	-0.6	50	INF

21	Mar_27_2017	362.87	319.14	308.41	302.34	301.54	297.6	295.1(-1.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-162	-100	-174	-127	0.18	28%	0.01	-53.3	2.65%	0	-1.4	29	INF
22	Mar_24_2017	362.84	321.37	310.51	306.4	306.4	303.38	299.3(-1.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-84	-70	-81	-94	0.18	28%	0.01	-51.6	2.65%	0	-1.4	27	INF
23	Mar_23_2017	362.82	322.96	312.09	309.9	309.26	305.48	302.8(-1.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-119	-90	-120	-114	0.15	28%	0.03	-53.8	2.67%	0	-1.3	31	INF
24	Mar_22_2017	362.72	324.79	313.4	312.72	312.73	309.43	306.5(-0.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-117	-70	-116	-121	0.18	28%	0.01	-59	2.67%	0	-1.2	31	INF
25	Mar_21_2017	362.7	326.27	313.84	316.08	316.35	313.04	308(-2.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-77	-70	-64	-117	0.22	28%		-62.3	2.68%	0	-1.2	28	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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