Trading Signals: ERX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ERX: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. May. 4, 2016

Trading Signals: ERX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 6, 2008 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Energy Bull 3X ETF)
ERX latest price $265.6000 (-4.29%) ($261.1000 - $284.3000) on Wed. May. 4, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.76% (three month average)
RSI   55
Latest Price   $265.6000(-4.29%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ERX declines -3.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ERX advances 3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ERX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLE(92%)    OIH(90%)    XOP(86%)    IWD(74%)    IVE(72%)
Factors Impacting ERX price   ERX will decline at least -2.38% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-23%)    TLT(-23%)    UUP(-17%)    IGOV(-4%)    SHY(-3%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.38% (StdDev 4.76%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -4.7%

Resistance Level   $275.65
5 Day Moving Average   $288.88(-8.06%)
10 Day Moving Average   $291.96(-9.03%)
20 Day Moving Average   $275.65(-3.65%)
To recent high   -15.7%
To recent low   69.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.02%

$. ERX is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.02% a day on average for holding it.$. ERX price fluctuates within 9.18% (three month std-dev: 4.76%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -2.37%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: 0%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160604

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_4_2016	219.43	275.65	291.96	288.88	288.14	277.14	265.6(-4.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-162	-270	-201	-43	0.44	55%	0.05	64.6	4.76%	0	-0.4	55	INF
2	May_3_2016	219.31	274.11	294.55	298.78	296.96	289.63	277.5(-7.22%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.8	-109	-190	-151	16	0.51	59%	0.2	69.2	4.72%	0	0.1	59	INF
3	May_2_2016	218.88	271.28	295.17	303.04	303.96	299.15	299.1(-0.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-14	-100	-45	80	0.34	57%	0.31	67.2	4.78%	0	0.9	69	INF
4	Apr_29_2016	218.2	267.42	291.91	300.28	303.14	304.3	299.9(-0.79%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	6	60	-23	93	0.61	60%	0.17	62.3	4.99%	0	1.1	75	INF
5	Apr_28_2016	217.82	263.68	287.42	299.28	299.68	308.76	302.3(-4.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	109	220	97	146	0.5	63%	0.21	61.7	5.08%	0	1.3	74	INF

6	Apr_27_2016	217.36	260.23	283.53	295.54	295.43	301.98	315.1(5.46%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	158	150	152	177	0.56	63%	0.32	61.3	5.15%	0	1.9	82	INF
7	Apr_26_2016	216.66	256	277.92	290.08	289.59	290.6	298.8(4.73%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	64	20	39	137	0.36	64%	0.2	59.4	5.13%	0	1.6	77	INF
8	Apr_25_2016	216.22	252.59	273.75	286.38	286.71	288.89	285.3(-3.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	57	60	28	143	0.57	59%	-0.02	55.9	5.26%	0	1.3	79	INF
9	Apr_22_2016	216.27	249.77	269.07	282.12	283.4	288.58	294.9(3.98%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	118	140	102	167	0.46	62%	0	48	5.56%	0	1.9	79	INF
10	Apr_21_2016	216.27	246.52	263.48	273.58	273.26	284.53	283.6(-1.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	114	290	101	151	0.5	64%	-0.15	37.6	5.75%	0	1.7	74	INF

11	Apr_20_2016	216.59	243.75	257.78	269.46	265.35	278.23	287.8(2.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	172	290	173	168	0.5	61%	-0.28	32.3	5.83%	0	2.3	69	INF
12	Apr_19_2016	217.2	241.45	251.79	264.04	260.24	262	280.3(6.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	112	0	106	128	0.42	59%	-0.28	33.8	5.95%	0	2.3	67	INF
13	Apr_18_2016	217.82	239.67	245.32	259.56	256.3	252.48	264(4.68%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	-18	-140	-42	53	0.5	58%	-0.34	37.2	5.98%	0	1.7	64	INF
14	Apr_15_2016	218.56	238.93	240.92	254.02	256.01	258.49	252.2(-4.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	19	90	7	56	0.33	55%	0.16	33.6	6.01%	0	1	61	INF
15	Apr_14_2016	218.2	238.78	238.18	251.46	252.56	260.13	263(0.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	89	220	92	80	0.31	58%	-0.38	39.8	6.11%	0	1.8	65	INF

16	Apr_13_2016	219.04	237.58	235.11	243.96	246.83	253.53	260.7(1.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	105	230	115	73	0.43	56%	-0.43	35	6.3%	0	1.9	65	INF
17	Apr_12_2016	219.99	235.95	232.18	237.62	238.63	244.99	257.9(9.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	69	200	79	39	0.6	56%	-0.35	31.4	6.38%	0	2	53	INF
18	Apr_11_2016	220.76	234.52	229.41	229.16	232.41	240.13	236.3(-1.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	78	280	97	21	0.45	53%	-0.41	8.4	6.29%	0	0.2	41	INF
19	Apr_8_2016	221.67	234.5	228.77	225.9	226.19	232.26	239.4(6.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	62	190	83	0	0.51	53%	-0.44	5.1	6.34%	0	0.5	40	INF
20	Apr_7_2016	222.66	233.55	228.03	222.98	222.22	224.69	225.5(-1.53%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	18	70	35	-33	0.44	51%	-0.58	-1.8	6.33%	0	-0.8	31	INF

21	Apr_6_2016	223.95	233.35	228.58	224.92	221.83	220.11	229(6.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-21	-100	-11	-51	0.54	49%	-0.48	7.9	6.4%	0	-0.4	42	INF
22	Apr_5_2016	225.02	232.48	230.25	226.04	224.5	219.75	215.6(-2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-59	-170	-58	-61	0.38	49%	-0.59	15.9	6.53%	0	-1.4	44	INF
23	Apr_4_2016	226.36	233.69	233.71	229.62	229.71	223.54	220(-2.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-50	-190	-51	-45	0.41	49%	-0.42	48.9	6.53%	0	-1.2	46	INF
24	Apr_1_2016	227.32	233.98	237.05	231.8	230.68	229.25	224.8(-4.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-57	-60	-63	-40	0.4	49%	-0.42	71.7	6.52%	0	-0.8	45	INF
25	Mar_31_2016	228.28	233.74	239.8	233.58	232.73	235.89	235.2(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	33	80	39	16	0.41	49%		88.9	6.55%	0	0.1	63	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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