Trading Signals: ERX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ERX: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Jan. 12, 2016

Trading Signals: ERX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 6, 2008 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Energy Bull 3X ETF)
ERX latest price $175.6000 (0.52%) ($161.5000 - $184.3600) on Tue. Jan. 12, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.17% (three month average)
RSI   37
Latest Price   $175.6000(0.52%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ERX declines -6.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ERX declines -11.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Growth stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ERX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLE(93%)    OIH(89%)    XOP(87%)    IWD(74%)    IVE(73%)
Factors Impacting ERX price   ERX will decline at least -2.585% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-25%)    TLT(-25%)    UUP(-16%)    IGOV(-5%)    SHY(-4%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.585% (StdDev 5.17%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -3.7%

Resistance Level   $224.02
5 Day Moving Average   $188.18(-6.69%)
10 Day Moving Average   $210.46(-16.56%)
20 Day Moving Average   $224.02(-21.61%)
To recent high   -55.8%
To recent low   0.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.03%

$. ERX is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.03% a day on average for holding it.$. ERX price fluctuates within 11.03% (three month std-dev: 5.17%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 12 Average positive next day return: 4.92%(58%) Average negative next day return: -5.6%(42%) Sample size 12 Average positive next three day return: 9.2%(42%) Average negative next three day return: -9.84%(58%) Sample size 12 Average positive next weekly return: 5.53%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -11.85%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160212

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_12_2016	296.38	224.02	210.46	188.18	187	178.15	175.6(0.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-169	-350	-160	-194	0.84	36%	-0.25	-62.8	5.17%	0	-2	37	INF
2	Jan_11_2016	297.11	227.17	216.74	200.52	196.49	186.54	174.7(-6.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-184	-410	-189	-167	0.69	36%	-0.41	-67.7	5.18%	0	-2.4	37	INF
3	Jan_8_2016	298.34	231.72	224.53	212.56	209.84	195.86	186.4(-4.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-165	-500	-178	-124	0.54	38%	-0.49	-74	5.14%	0	-2.5	36	INF
4	Jan_7_2016	299.8	235.43	231.72	222.14	219.78	206.45	194.9(-6.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-200	-460	-228	-115	0.54	38%	-0.54	-82.8	5.19%	0	-2.5	34	INF
5	Jan_6_2016	301.42	238.27	235.47	229.44	228.09	223.83	209.3(-11.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-114	-150	-129	-67	0.72	42%	-0.59	-112	5.16%	0	-2.1	36	INF

6	Jan_5_2016	303.22	240.7	237	235.76	233.07	233.11	237.3(1.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-9	-30	-8	-10	0.36	49%	-0.51	-142.1	5.04%	0	-0.3	52	INF
7	Jan_4_2016	304.77	243.09	235.37	235.58	235.7	232.35	234.9(0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-19	-100	-18	-20	0.53	49%	-0.78	-152.1	5.17%	0	-0.6	52	INF
8	Dec_31_2015	307.17	245.9	235.14	238.72	236.8	233.03	234.3(1.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-83	-140	-92	-54	0.22	53%	-0.57	-105	5.4%	0	-0.6	42	INF
9	Dec_30_2015	308.93	249.63	236.56	243.18	242.13	239.04	231.4(-3.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-31	-100	-34	-23	0.15	55%	-0.51	-87.4	5.4%	0	-0.7	43	INF
10	Dec_29_2015	310.5	254.99	238.73	242.36	245.83	240.58	240.9(1.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-11	-110	-10	-14	0.22	55%	-0.46	-66.9	5.44%	0	-0.4	49	INF

11	Dec_28_2015	311.95	259.55	238.28	238.14	241.04	245.23	236.4(-5.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-28	160	-25	-38	0.19	51%	-0.55	-60.3	5.44%	0	-0.6	45	INF
12	Dec_24_2015	313.68	264.24	238.09	234.72	236.75	251.08	250.6(-2.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	131	450	171	11	0.18	53%	-0.33	-58.5	5.55%	0	-0.3	40	INF
13	Dec_23_2015	314.71	268.52	238.95	231.06	229.8	236.85	256.6(12.89%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.6	101	200	142	-22	0.44	53%	-0.34	-57.3	5.55%	0	-0.3	40	INF
14	Dec_22_2015	315.77	272.93	238.69	229.72	228	222.42	227.3(3.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-68	-190	-49	-126	0.3	49%	-0.44	-52.7	5.32%	0	-1	26	INF
15	Dec_21_2015	317.17	278.07	240.83	235.1	234.55	222.75	219.8(0.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-162	-360	-152	-191	0.4	49%	-0.54	-51.5	5.32%	0	-1.3	20	INF

16	Dec_18_2015	318.88	283.35	244.6	238.44	242.46	233.58	219.3(-5.6%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-152	-210	-134	-204	0.41	47%	-0.62	-51	5.33%	0	-1.5	22	INF
17	Dec_17_2015	320.88	289.21	251.52	241.34	244.22	246.36	232.3(-7.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-89	100	-58	-180	0.31	48%	-0.61	-50.2	5.37%	0	-1.3	25	INF
18	Dec_16_2015	322.84	295.04	257.66	247.52	244.56	251.34	249.9(-1.69%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	19	160	70	-133	0.38	53%	-0.5	-47.1	5.3%	0	-1.1	26	INF
19	Dec_15_2015	324.45	299.2	263.67	249.12	247.23	242.08	254.2(7.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-14	-170	32	-153	0.36	53%	-0.38	-50.7	5.4%	0	-1.1	26	INF
20	Dec_14_2015	325.7	303.67	272.21	247.92	248.92	237.78	236.5(1.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-176	-300	-159	-227	0.42	51%	-0.49	-54.2	5.34%	0	-1.7	27	INF

21	Dec_11_2015	327.29	307.79	282.28	251.88	251.91	252.39	233.8(-11.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-133	10	-112	-195	0.54	51%	-0.57	-63.1	5.34%	0	-2	29	INF
22	Dec_10_2015	329.15	312.29	292.51	263.08	256.14	260.06	263.2(2.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	1	30	40	-118	0.39	55%	-0.48	-71.1	5.17%	0	-1.5	32	INF
23	Dec_9_2015	330.73	316.22	300.33	269.56	262.09	251.43	257.9(3.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-111	-370	-94	-161	0.54	53%	-0.52	-76.8	5.17%	0	-1.9	27	INF
24	Dec_8_2015	332.47	321.56	309.76	280.86	274.35	252.22	248.2(-3.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-315	-630	-342	-234	0.36	53%	-0.55	-77.6	5.19%	0	-2.5	31	INF
25	Dec_7_2015	334.3	327.34	318.55	300.5	294.93	272.75	256.3(-11.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-328	-580	-367	-212	0.44	53%		-75	5.21%	0	-2.8	30	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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