Trading Signals: ERX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ERX: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Dec. 14, 2015

Trading Signals: ERX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 6, 2008 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Energy Bull 3X ETF)
ERX latest price $236.5000 (1.15%) ($222.7000 - $240.7000) on Mon. Dec. 14, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.34% (three month average)
RSI   27
Latest Price   $236.5000(1.15%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ERX declines -1.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ERX declines -14.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ERX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLE(93%)    OIH(89%)    XOP(87%)    IWD(74%)    IVE(73%)
Factors Impacting ERX price   ERX will decline at least -2.67% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-26%)    TLT(-25%)    UUP(-16%)    IGOV(-5%)    SHY(-4%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.67% (StdDev 5.34%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.2%

Resistance Level   $303.67
5 Day Moving Average   $247.92(-4.61%)
10 Day Moving Average   $272.21(-13.12%)
20 Day Moving Average   $303.67(-22.12%)
To recent high   -40.5%
To recent low   1.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.03%

$. ERX is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.03% a day on average for holding it.$. ERX price fluctuates within 13.33% (three month std-dev: 5.34%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 10 Average positive next day return: 5.76%(60%) Average negative next day return: -2.55%(40%) Sample size 10 Average positive next three day return: 8.16%(60%) Average negative next three day return: -6.03%(40%) Sample size 10 Average positive next weekly return: 10.04%(70%) Average negative next weekly return: -15.07%(30%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160114

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_14_2015	325.7	303.67	272.21	247.92	248.92	237.78	236.5(1.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-176	-300	-159	-227	0.42	51%	-0.49	-54.2	5.34%	0	-1.7	27	INF
2	Dec_11_2015	327.29	307.79	282.28	251.88	251.91	252.39	233.8(-11.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-133	10	-112	-195	0.54	51%	-0.57	-63.1	5.34%	0	-2	29	INF
3	Dec_10_2015	329.15	312.29	292.51	263.08	256.14	260.06	263.2(2.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	1	30	40	-118	0.39	55%	-0.48	-71.1	5.17%	0	-1.5	32	INF
4	Dec_9_2015	330.73	316.22	300.33	269.56	262.09	251.43	257.9(3.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-111	-370	-94	-161	0.54	53%	-0.52	-76.8	5.17%	0	-1.9	27	INF
5	Dec_8_2015	332.47	321.56	309.76	280.86	274.35	252.22	248.2(-3.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-315	-630	-342	-234	0.36	53%	-0.55	-77.6	5.19%	0	-2.5	31	INF

6	Dec_7_2015	334.3	327.34	318.55	300.5	294.93	272.75	256.3(-11.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-328	-580	-367	-212	0.44	53%	-0.58	-75	5.21%	0	-2.8	30	INF
7	Dec_4_2015	336.24	333.23	325.94	317.04	315.66	296.47	289.8(-1.96%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-261	-440	-297	-152	0.36	55%	-0.52	-67.2	5.04%	0	-2.1	48	INF
8	Dec_3_2015	338.01	337.59	330.71	326.08	329.32	317.11	295.6(-5.98%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-195	-230	-226	-100	0.37	55%	-0.5	-50.3	5.08%	0	-2.1	48	INF
9	Dec_2_2015	339.7	342.12	336.21	335.44	336.24	334.85	314.4(-9.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-81	-20	-99	-28	0.31	57%	-0.51	-26.6	5.02%	0	-1.4	46	INF
10	Dec_1_2015	341.45	346.16	338.2	342.88	340.25	341.53	346.4(2.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	40	0	42	35	0.16	57%	-0.39	2.2	4.88%	0	0	46	INF

11	Nov_30_2015	342.77	347.19	337.66	339.64	340.55	337.63	339(1.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	12	-50	12	11	0.19	57%	-0.37	7.4	5.04%	0	-0.4	45	INF
12	Nov_27_2015	344.06	347.57	335.14	336.4	336.9	338.97	335(-2.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-35	50	-36	-33	0.13	63%	-0.68	2.5	5.11%	0	-0.6	42	INF
13	Nov_25_2015	346.42	347.85	333.38	336.14	335.52	343.48	342.4(-2.62%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	64	160	86	-1	0.17	63%	-0.41	-0.6	5.5%	0	-0.2	42	INF
14	Nov_24_2015	347.83	347.49	332.84	337.26	333.93	334.84	351.6(6.48%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.6	51	-10	74	-18	0.3	58%	-0.34	0.4	5.53%	0	0.2	41	INF
15	Nov_23_2015	349.02	345.68	333.4	333.16	333.23	327.56	330.2(2.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-67	-120	-61	-85	0.23	56%	-0.05	-10.7	5.86%	0	-0.6	32	INF

16	Nov_20_2015	349.21	345.55	336.06	335.62	335.58	333.01	322.8(-3.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-51	-50	-43	-76	0.2	52%	-0.48	-11.8	5.99%	0	-1	40	INF
17	Nov_19_2015	350.89	347.02	340.63	333.34	334.89	338.9	333.7(-4.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	22	100	42	-40	0.34	50%	-0.43	-17.8	6.04%	0	-0.6	50	INF
18	Nov_18_2015	352.4	347.99	344.64	329.7	328.48	338.14	348(5.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	60	190	86	-19	0.33	50%	-0.44	-24.8	6.11%	0	0	55	INF
19	Nov_17_2015	353.95	347.38	348.04	327.84	323.48	330.89	331.1(-3.33%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	53	120	75	-14	0.23	50%	-0.46	-29.3	6.08%	0	-0.7	53	INF
20	Nov_16_2015	355.58	348.25	354.43	334.1	327.21	318.81	342.5(9.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-23	-240	-22	-24	0.35	50%	-0.5	-20.7	6.06%	0	-0.3	61	INF

21	Nov_13_2015	357.38	348.38	357.15	337.38	335.67	316.06	311.4(-1.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-208	-420	-245	-96	0.35	46%	-0.58	-17.6	5.94%	0	-1.6	51	INF
22	Nov_12_2015	359.47	351.21	361.23	349.14	349.31	335.61	315.5(-6.85%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-193	-270	-233	-74	0.29	48%	-0.61	-3.2	5.96%	0	-1.6	45	INF
23	Nov_11_2015	361.66	353.82	364.26	361.3	360.66	355.27	338.7(-6.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-86	-110	-112	-9	0.16	49%	-0.57	12	5.94%	0	-0.7	49	INF
24	Nov_10_2015	363.73	354.27	364.31	370.84	368.18	363	362.4(0.98%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-47	-120	-71	25	0.24	53%	-0.48	24.6	5.88%	0	0.4	59	INF
25	Nov_9_2015	365.5	353.05	359.79	377.86	375.8	366.04	358.9(-3.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-64	-200	-92	20	0.19	53%		35.3	6%	0	0.3	54	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.