Trading Signals: ERX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Nov. 6, 2015

Trading Signals: ERX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 6, 2008 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Energy Bull 3X ETF)
ERX latest price $370.2000 (-1.62%) ($354.1000 - $375.0000) on Fri. Nov. 6, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   6.03% (three month average)
RSI   58
Latest Price   $370.2000(-1.62%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ERX advances 1.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ERX advances 5.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ERX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLE(93%)    OIH(89%)    XOP(87%)    IWD(74%)    IVE(73%)
Factors Impacting ERX price   ERX will decline at least -3.015% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-26%)    TLT(-25%)    UUP(-15%)    IGOV(-5%)    SHY(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.015% (StdDev 6.03%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1%

5 Day Moving Average   $379.96(-2.57%)
10 Day Moving Average   $356.59(3.82%)
20 Day Moving Average   $352.52(5.02%)
To recent high   -9%
To recent low   57.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.04%

$. ERX is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.04% a day on average for holding it.$. ERX price fluctuates within 5.76% (three month std-dev: 6.03%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151206

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_6_2015	367.12	352.52	356.59	379.96	381.67	373.36	370.2(-1.62%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-56	-140	-82	23	0.21	53%	-0.45	46	6.03%	0	0.9	58	0
2	Nov_5_2015	368.78	351.93	354.43	374.96	378.74	385.56	376.3(-2.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	25	160	16	51	0.25	53%	-0.43	56	6.05%	0	1.2	52	0
3	Nov_4_2015	370.38	351.38	351.74	367.26	369.58	389.98	386.4(-2.79%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	201	410	228	120	0.27	53%	-0.41	74.5	6.05%	0	1.8	54	0
4	Nov_3_2015	371.92	349.33	346.25	356.58	355.8	371.91	397.5(7.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.3	244	310	284	123	0.3	51%	-0.35	88.6	6.04%	0	2.7	62	0
5	Nov_2_2015	373.23	346.07	340.51	339.46	339.85	349.18	369.4(7.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	119	200	144	42	0.23	50%	-0.43	99.6	6.02%	0	1.5	59	0

6	Oct_30_2015	374.86	343.43	337.59	330.26	328.69	339.68	345.2(2.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	64	220	85	2	0.24	47%	-0.55	89.6	6.02%	0	0.1	50	0
7	Oct_29_2015	376.93	340.92	339.27	331.22	326.63	330.51	337.8(1.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	67	40	87	5	0.17	47%	-0.58	70.5	6.01%	0	-0.1	44	0
8	Oct_28_2015	379.13	337.38	341.76	334.08	330.04	317.7	333(6.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-65	-300	-68	-55	0.25	49%	-0.54	60.2	6.03%	0	-0.1	40	0
9	Oct_27_2015	381.19	333.97	343.08	334.32	335.33	322.74	311.9(-3.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-181	-250	-205	-110	0.19	47%	-0.59	49.9	6.07%	0	-0.6	42	0
10	Oct_26_2015	383.47	330.97	346.06	341.24	342.62	342.39	323.4(-7.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-56	10	-60	-42	0.19	47%	-0.58	45.7	6.07%	0	-0.2	49	0

11	Oct_23_2015	385.72	327.34	348.82	345.36	344.76	347.93	350(-0.6%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	33	60	40	12	0.17	47%	-0.48	42.1	6.04%	0	0.5	63	0
12	Oct_22_2015	387.59	323.63	349.85	348.5	344.48	342.85	352.1(5.36%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-7	-70	-14	15	0.19	47%	-0.53	42.9	6.04%	0	0.7	70	0
13	Oct_21_2015	389.66	319.67	351.42	351.06	348.88	341.59	334.2(-3.55%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.4	-34	-160	-56	34	0.18	47%	-0.6	40.5	6.01%	0	0.3	74	0
14	Oct_20_2015	392.03	316.52	353.18	353.28	352.13	346.12	346.5(0.73%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-44	-130	-78	58	0.13	46%	-0.55	37.7	5.99%	0	0.7	78	0
15	Oct_19_2015	394.18	313.11	352.43	351.42	351.3	356.17	344(-5.93%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	23	100	-8	114	0.23	46%	-0.56	36.5	6.02%	0	0.7	80	0

16	Oct_16_2015	396.39	310.26	350.08	352.32	349.47	358.15	365.7(0.22%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	133	150	112	194	0.22	45%	-0.51	39.5	5.99%	0	1.3	86	0
17	Oct_15_2015	398.41	305.95	342.87	351.52	346.87	346.44	364.9(5.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	66	-50	30	173	0.27	44%	-0.52	41.5	5.99%	0	1.4	70	0
18	Oct_14_2015	400.49	302.7	332.72	352.54	350.17	340.79	345.3(2.4%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-23	-210	-77	138	0.25	44%	-0.58	47.4	5.97%	0	1.1	69	0
19	Oct_13_2015	402.81	300.53	324.36	353.36	354.46	347.31	337.2(-3.24%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-50	-130	-110	132	0.3	44%	-0.17	52.9	5.97%	0	1	68	0
20	Oct_12_2015	403.48	297.72	315.23	353.22	356.04	359.55	348.5(-3.65%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	60	90	20	179	0.27	44%	-0.64	52	5.97%	0	1.3	67	0

21	Oct_9_2015	406.08	293.83	304.74	346.72	349.78	361.62	361.7(-2.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	175	260	162	212	0.48	44%	-0.62	47.6	5.96%	0	1.9	66	0
22	Oct_8_2015	408.61	289.5	295.44	332.3	335.55	352.53	370(5.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	249	380	259	220	0.51	43%	-0.55	36.4	5.95%	0	2.5	69	0
23	Oct_7_2015	410.89	285.01	284.84	309.88	313.32	337.95	349.4(3.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	263	580	292	174	0.55	44%	-0.6	17.9	5.95%	0	2.4	57	0
24	Oct_6_2015	413.35	281.42	276.06	291.18	292.04	318.58	336.5(6.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	319	650	373	155	0.43	43%	-0.68	-3.5	5.94%	0	2.4	55	0
25	Oct_5_2015	416.2	279.25	269.46	271.78	272.73	288.69	316(9.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.2	247	420	301	84	0.44	42%		-36.1	5.89%	0	1.8	58	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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