Trading Signals: ERX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ERX: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Aug. 4, 2015

Trading Signals: ERX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 6, 2008 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Energy Bull 3X ETF)
ERX latest price $361.4000 (-1.07%) ($356.7000 - $378.2000) on Tue. Aug. 4, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.03% (three month average)
RSI   26
Latest Price   $361.4000(-1.07%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ERX declines -2.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ERX declines -6.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ERX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLE(93%)    OIH(89%)    XOP(87%)    IVE(73%)    VYM(70%)
Factors Impacting ERX price   ERX will decline at least -1.515% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-28%)    TLT(-25%)    UUP(-13%)    IGOV(-6%)    SHY(-5%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.515% (StdDev 3.03%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.3%

Resistance Level   $426.01
5 Day Moving Average   $391.94(-7.79%)
10 Day Moving Average   $397.02(-8.97%)
20 Day Moving Average   $426.01(-15.17%)
To recent high   -45.6%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. ERX is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. ERX price fluctuates within 8.77% (three month std-dev: 3.03%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 18 Average positive next day return: 5.37%(44%) Average negative next day return: -2.06%(56%) Sample size 18 Average positive next three day return: 9.98%(72%) Average negative next three day return: -7.95%(28%) Sample size 18 Average positive next weekly return: 7.11%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -17.46%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150904

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_4_2015	545.76	426.01	397.02	391.94	389.47	369.53	361.4(-1.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-374	-380	-403	-287	0.19	23%	-0.27	-59.6	3.03%	0	-1.7	26	0
2	Aug_3_2015	547.23	432.2	404.03	401.54	401.67	385.68	365.3(-6.33%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-417	-280	-453	-307	0.25	23%	-0.23	-58.8	3.03%	0	-1.9	23	0
3	Jul_31_2015	548.47	437.66	410.66	404	407.46	409.4	390(-6.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-114	60	-92	-178	0.19	24%	-0.19	-69.6	2.97%	0	-1.5	30	0
4	Jul_30_2015	549.51	442.63	416.38	404.86	402.68	417.65	417.2(-2.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	172	240	247	-53	0.18	26%	-0.16	-74.2	2.89%	0	-0.8	38	0
5	Jul_29_2015	550.38	445.9	420.63	405.1	399.07	405.53	425.8(4.01%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.6	218	70	301	-31	0.35	26%	-0.13	-80	2.88%	0	-0.6	41	0

6	Jul_28_2015	551.11	449.53	423.9	403.82	400.05	387.72	409.4(8.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-180	-240	-166	-222	0.28	23%	-0.2	-82.7	2.84%	0	-1.2	39	0
7	Jul_27_2015	552.23	453.71	431.33	408	406.94	392.62	377.6(-4.24%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-505	-250	-548	-376	0.22	16%	-0.28	-86.7	2.62%	0	-2.3	21	0
8	Jul_24_2015	553.8	460.98	441.49	418.32	420.21	412.39	394.3(-5.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-275	-120	-286	-243	0.2	16%	-0.31	-85.7	2.58%	0	-2.2	30	0
9	Jul_23_2015	555.5	467.26	449.12	429.12	428.34	421.26	418.4(-0.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-246	-120	-256	-216	0.15	18%	-0.28	-85.6	2.5%	0	-1.7	30	0
10	Jul_22_2015	557.06	472.95	453.67	438.32	437.03	428.03	419.4(-2.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-274	-150	-293	-216	0.15	18%	-0.28	-76.9	2.53%	0	-1.8	33	0

11	Jul_21_2015	558.63	479.1	457.59	447.06	448.14	435.43	430.3(0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-318	-190	-346	-235	0.12	18%	-0.25	-67.9	2.54%	0	-1.6	31	0
12	Jul_20_2015	560.03	484.48	462.97	458.6	458.06	446.03	429.2(-4.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-388	-190	-436	-245	0.16	18%	-0.27	-57.2	2.55%	0	-1.8	35	0
13	Jul_17_2015	561.57	489.15	467.42	468.1	469.09	460.86	448.3(-3.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-230	-120	-250	-169	0.15	19%	-0.25	-55.3	2.52%	0	-1.4	32	0
14	Jul_16_2015	562.98	493.47	471.51	471.86	474.19	470.1	464.4(0.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-142	-50	-146	-131	0.08	20%	-0.28	-55.3	2.5%	0	-1	36	0
15	Jul_15_2015	564.58	496.97	473.39	471.18	474.38	477.32	463.1(-5.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-27	60	-3	-98	0.16	27%	-0.27	-58.7	2.5%	0	-1.2	33	0

16	Jul_14_2015	566.11	500.73	477.08	469.42	473.27	478.29	488(2.37%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.7	127	100	183	-42	0.13	34%	-0.22	-60.7	2.61%	0	-0.4	34	0
17	Jul_13_2015	567.34	502.63	477.25	468.46	468.92	471.44	476.7(2.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	26	40	70	-105	0.12	34%	-0.25	-63.1	2.68%	0	-0.9	33	0
18	Jul_10_2015	568.75	505.37	481.26	467.16	468.18	468.25	467.1(1.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-20	10	17	-131	0.1	34%	-0.28	-67.5	2.68%	0	-1.3	37	0
19	Jul_9_2015	570.35	509.52	486.16	471.54	469.12	466.4	461(1.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-119	-60	-100	-175	0.11	37%	-0.31	-62.4	2.68%	0	-1.7	32	0
20	Jul_8_2015	572.11	514.32	493.22	476.04	474.56	468.11	454.3(-5.98%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-166	-100	-159	-187	0.17	37%	-0.36	-60.9	2.75%	0	-2.2	30	0

21	Jul_7_2015	574.16	518.69	502.11	485.48	481.62	471.84	483.2(2.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-247	-170	-260	-209	0.23	40%	-0.16	-65.9	2.67%	0	-1.5	34	0
22	Jul_6_2015	575.1	521.52	507.5	487.32	489.27	481	470.2(-3.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-272	-110	-291	-215	0.14	42%	-0.38	-72.4	2.64%	0	-2.2	34	0
23	Jul_2_2015	577.31	525.51	512.79	497.46	496.15	491.4	489(1.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-187	-70	-197	-158	0.09	44%	-0.18	-75.3	2.69%	0	-1.9	37	0
24	Jul_1_2015	578.34	528.01	517.42	503.22	502.83	497.54	483.5(-3.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-161	-80	-168	-140	0.18	44%	-0.21	-78.7	2.69%	0	-2.4	30	0
25	Jun_30_2015	579.54	531.78	522.84	513.1	511.03	500.9	501.5(1.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-229	-150	-252	-160	0.09	50%		-74.4	2.65%	0	-1.8	32	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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