Trading Signals: ERX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ERX: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Jul. 15, 2015

Trading Signals: ERX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 6, 2008 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Energy Bull 3X ETF)
ERX latest price $463.1000 (-5.1%) ($457.4800 - $487.7900) on Wed. Jul. 15, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.5% (three month average)
RSI   33
Latest Price   $463.1000(-5.1%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ERX advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ERX declines -4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ERX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLE(93%)    OIH(89%)    XOP(87%)    IVE(73%)    VYM(70%)
Factors Impacting ERX price   ERX will decline at least -1.25% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-28%)    TLT(-25%)    UUP(-13%)    IGOV(-7%)    SHY(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.25% (StdDev 2.5%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -3.9%

Resistance Level   $496.97
5 Day Moving Average   $471.18(-1.71%)
10 Day Moving Average   $473.39(-2.17%)
20 Day Moving Average   $496.97(-6.82%)
To recent high   -31%
To recent low   1.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. ERX is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. ERX price fluctuates within 5.74% (three month std-dev: 2.5%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -7.68%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -6.94%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -8.47%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150815

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_15_2015	564.58	496.97	473.39	471.18	474.38	477.32	463.1(-5.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-27	60	-3	-98	0.16	27%	-0.27	-58.7	2.5%	0	-1.2	33	INF
2	Jul_14_2015	566.11	500.73	477.08	469.42	473.27	478.29	488(2.37%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.7	127	100	183	-42	0.13	34%	-0.22	-60.7	2.61%	0	-0.4	34	INF
3	Jul_13_2015	567.34	502.63	477.25	468.46	468.92	471.44	476.7(2.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	26	40	70	-105	0.12	34%	-0.25	-63.1	2.68%	0	-0.9	33	INF
4	Jul_10_2015	568.75	505.37	481.26	467.16	468.18	468.25	467.1(1.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-20	10	17	-131	0.1	34%	-0.28	-67.5	2.68%	0	-1.3	37	INF
5	Jul_9_2015	570.35	509.52	486.16	471.54	469.12	466.4	461(1.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-119	-60	-100	-175	0.11	37%	-0.31	-62.4	2.68%	0	-1.7	32	INF

6	Jul_8_2015	572.11	514.32	493.22	476.04	474.56	468.11	454.3(-5.98%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-166	-100	-159	-187	0.17	37%	-0.36	-60.9	2.75%	0	-2.2	30	INF
7	Jul_7_2015	574.16	518.69	502.11	485.48	481.62	471.84	483.2(2.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-247	-170	-260	-209	0.23	40%	-0.16	-65.9	2.67%	0	-1.5	34	INF
8	Jul_6_2015	575.1	521.52	507.5	487.32	489.27	481	470.2(-3.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-272	-110	-291	-215	0.14	42%	-0.38	-72.4	2.64%	0	-2.2	34	INF
9	Jul_2_2015	577.31	525.51	512.79	497.46	496.15	491.4	489(1.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-187	-70	-197	-158	0.09	44%	-0.18	-75.3	2.69%	0	-1.9	37	INF
10	Jul_1_2015	578.34	528.01	517.42	503.22	502.83	497.54	483.5(-3.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-161	-80	-168	-140	0.18	44%	-0.21	-78.7	2.69%	0	-2.4	30	INF

11	Jun_30_2015	579.54	531.78	522.84	513.1	511.03	500.9	501.5(1.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-229	-150	-252	-160	0.09	50%	-0.18	-74.4	2.65%	0	-1.8	32	INF
12	Jun_29_2015	580.58	535.14	526.65	521.44	520.16	508.13	492.4(-5.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-318	-170	-362	-184	0.18	50%	-0.19	-66.8	2.74%	0	-2.6	38	INF
13	Jun_26_2015	581.67	538.63	530.52	530.56	530.33	521.16	520.9(0.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-224	-120	-256	-126	0.09	54%	-0.14	-75.7	2.67%	0	-1.3	45	INF
14	Jun_25_2015	582.48	540.71	531.66	530.28	534.79	532.2	517.8(-2.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-125	-10	-138	-86	0.1	54%	-0.1	-90.1	2.67%	0	-1.6	41	INF
15	Jun_24_2015	583.07	543.07	534.87	533.58	534.49	539.5	532.9(-1.9%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	28	70	38	-3	0.08	56%	-0.13	-92	2.69%	0	-0.7	50	INF

16	Jun_23_2015	583.81	544.92	536.98	534.02	534.52	537.38	543.2(0.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	120	40	146	41	0.08	56%	-0.03	-91.5	2.7%	0	-0.1	45	INF
17	Jun_22_2015	583.97	546.36	536.27	533.06	534.69	529.49	538(3.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-34	-60	-31	-44	0.14	56%	0.04	-103.1	2.7%	0	-0.5	39	INF
18	Jun_19_2015	583.71	549.38	536.17	530.84	534.11	531.67	519.5(-2.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-141	-10	-152	-106	0.18	53%	0.04	-88.9	2.72%	0	-1.5	37	INF
19	Jun_18_2015	583.5	553.77	538.97	533.18	533.91	539.89	534.3(-0.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	45	80	66	-19	0.11	60%	0.07	-76.4	2.77%	0	-0.9	39	INF
20	Jun_17_2015	583.12	556.62	539.19	536.32	532.97	536.55	535.1(-0.61%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	77	30	104	-5	0.13	60%	-0.05	-73.4	2.98%	0	-0.9	39	INF

21	Jun_16_2015	583.39	559.35	541.22	540.46	536.46	527.92	538.4(2.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-83	-130	-85	-78	0.1	60%	-0.04	-72.6	2.98%	0	-0.9	38	INF
22	Jun_15_2015	583.63	563.08	544.05	540.14	542.49	529.4	526.9(-0.81%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-278	-160	-313	-172	0.1	60%	-0.02	-65.3	3.01%	0	-1.4	31	INF
23	Jun_12_2015	583.75	567.46	547.37	542.2	547.62	545	531.2(-3.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-178	-0	-193	-134	0.15	60%	-0.03	-66.2	3.02%	0	-1.4	26	INF
24	Jun_11_2015	583.95	571.38	550.59	545.24	549.01	555.59	550(-1.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	93	100	129	-15	0.08	62%	0.01	-64.6	2.99%	0	-0.8	27	INF
25	Jun_10_2015	583.87	574.24	551.95	542.36	545.46	550.24	555.8(3.54%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.5	118	80	163	-17	0.1	62%		-70.8	2.99%	0	-0.7	37	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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