Trading Signals: ERX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jun. 22, 2015

Trading Signals: ERX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 6, 2008 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Energy Bull 3X ETF)
ERX latest price $538.0000 (3.56%) ($526.2000 - $539.3000) on Mon. Jun. 22, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.7% (three month average)
RSI   39
Latest Price   $538.0000(3.56%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ERX advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ERX declines -1.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ERX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLE(93%)    OIH(89%)    XOP(87%)    IVE(73%)    VYM(70%)
Factors Impacting ERX price   ERX will decline at least -1.35% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-28%)    TLT(-25%)    UUP(-13%)    IGOV(-7%)    SHY(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.35% (StdDev 2.7%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.7%

Resistance Level   $546.36
5 Day Moving Average   $533.06(0.93%)
10 Day Moving Average   $536.27(0.32%)
20 Day Moving Average   $546.36(-1.53%)
To recent high   -19.9%
To recent low   3.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. ERX is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. ERX price fluctuates within 2.88% (three month std-dev: 2.7%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150722

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_22_2015	583.97	546.36	536.27	533.06	534.69	529.49	538(3.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-34	-60	-31	-44	0.14	56%	0.04	-103.1	2.7%	0	-0.5	39	INF
2	Jun_19_2015	583.71	549.38	536.17	530.84	534.11	531.67	519.5(-2.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-141	-10	-152	-106	0.18	53%	0.04	-88.9	2.72%	0	-1.5	37	INF
3	Jun_18_2015	583.5	553.77	538.97	533.18	533.91	539.89	534.3(-0.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	45	80	66	-19	0.11	60%	0.07	-76.4	2.77%	0	-0.9	39	INF
4	Jun_17_2015	583.12	556.62	539.19	536.32	532.97	536.55	535.1(-0.61%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	77	30	104	-5	0.13	60%	-0.05	-73.4	2.98%	0	-0.9	39	INF
5	Jun_16_2015	583.39	559.35	541.22	540.46	536.46	527.92	538.4(2.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-83	-130	-85	-78	0.1	60%	-0.04	-72.6	2.98%	0	-0.9	38	INF

6	Jun_15_2015	583.63	563.08	544.05	540.14	542.49	529.4	526.9(-0.81%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-278	-160	-313	-172	0.1	60%	-0.02	-65.3	3.01%	0	-1.4	31	INF
7	Jun_12_2015	583.75	567.46	547.37	542.2	547.62	545	531.2(-3.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-178	-0	-193	-134	0.15	60%	-0.03	-66.2	3.02%	0	-1.4	26	INF
8	Jun_11_2015	583.95	571.38	550.59	545.24	549.01	555.59	550(-1.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	93	100	129	-15	0.08	62%	0.01	-64.6	2.99%	0	-0.8	27	INF
9	Jun_10_2015	583.87	574.24	551.95	542.36	545.46	550.24	555.8(3.54%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.5	118	80	163	-17	0.1	62%	0.08	-70.8	2.99%	0	-0.7	37	INF
10	Jun_9_2015	583.42	577.06	553.3	542.52	542.2	542.43	536.8(-0.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-45	0	-27	-100	0.1	61%	-0.08	-73.3	3.01%	0	-1.4	31	INF

11	Jun_8_2015	583.9	580.56	557.09	548.96	547.02	540.68	537.2(-1.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-99	-90	-90	-126	0.1	61%	0.05	-80.4	3.03%	0	-1.6	26	INF
12	Jun_5_2015	583.62	585.71	563.49	553.42	553.43	541.98	546.4(2.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-226	-140	-241	-181	0.19	57%	0.14	-78.8	3.09%	0	-1.4	27	INF
13	Jun_4_2015	582.78	589.12	569.62	556.7	558.88	553.36	535.6(-3.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-228	-60	-245	-177	0.22	57%	0.09	-88.2	3.09%	0	-2	26	INF
14	Jun_3_2015	582.24	594.1	575.56	562.56	564.24	564.89	556.6(-2.18%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-14	20	6	-73	0.12	59%	0.14	-95.2	3.06%	0	-1.5	30	INF
15	Jun_2_2015	581.43	598.27	579.04	565.56	564.11	564.4	569(1.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-26	-0	-7	-81	0.17	59%	0.14	-95.4	3.05%	0	-1.2	31	INF

16	Jun_1_2015	580.63	602.86	583.53	566.68	566.03	563.59	559.5(-0.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-69	-30	-59	-97	0.12	59%	0.04	-83.6	3.05%	0	-1.6	33	INF
17	May_29_2015	580.41	608.26	589.14	575.42	570.65	563.83	562.8(-0.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-168	-110	-178	-137	0.15	59%	0.02	-69.4	3.07%	0	-1.6	25	INF
18	May_28_2015	580.29	613.35	593.93	584.88	580.01	568.47	564.9(-1.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-230	-160	-256	-153	0.14	59%	0.08	-60.3	3.1%	0	-1.7	39	INF
19	May_27_2015	579.8	618.66	598.51	590.48	590.78	577.48	571.6(-0.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-246	-160	-275	-158	0.14	59%	0.11	-51.9	3.12%	0	-1.6	35	INF
20	May_26_2015	579.19	622.98	602.92	594.24	595.56	591.55	574.6(-4.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-223	-40	-248	-149	0.17	59%	0.01	-48	3.12%	0	-1.7	35	INF

21	May_22_2015	579.15	626.71	606.26	602.56	599.54	604.09	603.2(-1.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	24	40	44	-36	0.07	63%	0.04	-46.1	3.08%	0	-0.9	34	INF
22	May_21_2015	578.9	628.97	609.77	605.04	602.26	599.58	610.1(2.9%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.2	44	-40	69	-30	0.11	63%	0.01	-43.6	3.1%	0	-0.7	34	INF
23	May_20_2015	578.85	631.4	609.97	604.88	602.85	594.99	592.9(0.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-201	-100	-215	-159	0.11	63%	-0.04	-45.3	3.1%	0	-1.5	30	INF
24	May_19_2015	579.1	634.23	614	607.98	608.11	604.95	590.4(-4.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-146	-40	-148	-138	0.16	63%	-0.08	-48.9	3.1%	0	-1.9	28	INF
25	May_18_2015	579.54	636.68	619.02	612.66	613.34	610.71	616.2(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-19	-30	1	-77	0.09	67%		-45.6	3.06%	0	-0.9	39	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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