Trading Signals: ERX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ERX: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Jun. 2, 2015

Trading Signals: ERX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 6, 2008 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Energy Bull 3X ETF)
ERX latest price $569.0000 (1.7%) ($554.6000 - $578.0000) on Tue. Jun. 2, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.05% (three month average)
RSI   31
Latest Price   $569.0000(1.7%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ERX declines -0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ERX declines -4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ERX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLE(93%)    OIH(89%)    XOP(87%)    IVE(73%)    VYM(70%)
Factors Impacting ERX price   ERX will decline at least -1.525% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-28%)    TLT(-25%)    UUP(-13%)    IGOV(-7%)    SHY(-5%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.525% (StdDev 3.05%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1%

Resistance Level   $598.27
5 Day Moving Average   $565.56(0.61%)
10 Day Moving Average   $579.04(-1.73%)
20 Day Moving Average   $598.27(-4.89%)
To recent high   -15.2%
To recent low   17%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. ERX is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. ERX price fluctuates within 4.16% (three month std-dev: 3.05%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0.52%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -1.01%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.41%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150702

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_2_2015	581.43	598.27	579.04	565.56	564.11	564.4	569(1.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-26	-0	-7	-81	0.17	59%	0.14	-95.4	3.05%	0	-1.2	31	INF
2	Jun_1_2015	580.63	602.86	583.53	566.68	566.03	563.59	559.5(-0.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-69	-30	-59	-97	0.12	59%	0.04	-83.6	3.05%	0	-1.6	33	INF
3	May_29_2015	580.41	608.26	589.14	575.42	570.65	563.83	562.8(-0.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-168	-110	-178	-137	0.15	59%	0.02	-69.4	3.07%	0	-1.6	25	INF
4	May_28_2015	580.29	613.35	593.93	584.88	580.01	568.47	564.9(-1.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-230	-160	-256	-153	0.14	59%	0.08	-60.3	3.1%	0	-1.7	39	INF
5	May_27_2015	579.8	618.66	598.51	590.48	590.78	577.48	571.6(-0.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-246	-160	-275	-158	0.14	59%	0.11	-51.9	3.12%	0	-1.6	35	INF

6	May_26_2015	579.19	622.98	602.92	594.24	595.56	591.55	574.6(-4.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-223	-40	-248	-149	0.17	59%	0.01	-48	3.12%	0	-1.7	35	INF
7	May_22_2015	579.15	626.71	606.26	602.56	599.54	604.09	603.2(-1.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	24	40	44	-36	0.07	63%	0.04	-46.1	3.08%	0	-0.9	34	INF
8	May_21_2015	578.9	628.97	609.77	605.04	602.26	599.58	610.1(2.9%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.2	44	-40	69	-30	0.11	63%	0.01	-43.6	3.1%	0	-0.7	34	INF
9	May_20_2015	578.85	631.4	609.97	604.88	602.85	594.99	592.9(0.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-201	-100	-215	-159	0.11	63%	-0.04	-45.3	3.1%	0	-1.5	30	INF
10	May_19_2015	579.1	634.23	614	607.98	608.11	604.95	590.4(-4.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-146	-40	-148	-138	0.16	63%	-0.08	-48.9	3.1%	0	-1.9	28	INF

11	May_18_2015	579.54	636.68	619.02	612.66	613.34	610.71	616.2(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-19	-30	1	-77	0.09	67%	-0.02	-45.6	3.06%	0	-0.9	39	INF
12	May_15_2015	579.64	638.63	623.39	610.34	612.57	611.27	615.6(1.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-120	-0	-118	-125	0.1	67%	0.06	-37	3.07%	0	-1.1	43	INF
13	May_14_2015	579.27	640.29	628.39	615.48	616.3	615.97	609.3(0.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-18	0	-2	-65	0.1	67%	-0.03	-23	3.09%	0	-1.5	41	INF
14	May_13_2015	579.44	643.02	633.85	616.08	619.96	613.87	608.4(-0.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-56	-50	-47	-81	0.15	70%	-0.06	-9.6	3.12%	0	-1.7	37	INF
15	May_12_2015	579.79	645.97	640.11	621.08	619.71	616.64	613.8(1.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-209	-40	-232	-140	0.1	70%	-0.01	18.9	3.22%	0	-1.7	43	INF

16	May_11_2015	579.84	646.69	644.52	626.36	628.35	626.05	604.6(-5.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-50	-20	-49	-53	0.24	70%	-0.05	31.3	3.25%	0	-2	45	INF
17	May_8_2015	580.15	646.54	649.12	638.22	637.83	622.78	641.3(4.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-197	-170	-226	-109	0.22	76%	0.1	49.5	3.13%	0	-0.2	47	INF
18	May_7_2015	579.57	645.1	649.88	643.76	647.68	630.65	612.3(-3.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-416	-170	-486	-204	0.24	74%	0.11	63.2	3.1%	0	-1.4	42	INF
19	May_6_2015	578.94	644.92	654.95	654.28	659.8	652.88	633.4(-1.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-219	-50	-260	-97	0.2	78%	0.26	75.4	3.09%	0	-0.4	42	INF
20	May_5_2015	577.45	642.36	656.59	661.86	666.08	664.72	640.2(-3.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-23	0	-31	2	0.25	78%	0.3	82.3	3.09%	0	-0.1	42	INF

21	May_4_2015	575.75	640.03	656.39	665.02	665.65	666.72	663.9(-0.76%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	37	10	36	38	0.26	82%	0.31	84.6	3.09%	0	0.8	64	INF
22	May_1_2015	573.95	636.21	655.37	661.36	661.15	667.44	669(0.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	71	70	74	61	0.28	87%	0.27	90.2	3.45%	0	1	72	INF
23	Apr_30_2015	572.39	630.78	653.05	657.1	657.81	664.59	664.9(-0.95%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	166	80	185	110	0.3	87%	0.26	80.8	3.48%	0	1	65	INF
24	Apr_29_2015	570.9	625.36	652.56	655.98	652.64	654.86	671.3(2.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	66	10	63	75	0.23	87%	0.18	76.2	3.48%	0	1.2	68	INF
25	Apr_28_2015	569.89	619.33	651.64	650.98	652.18	651.03	656(1.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	44	-10	32	80	0.17	75%		73	3.47%	0	0.9	71	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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