Trading Signals: ERX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ERX: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. May. 7, 2015

Trading Signals: ERX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 6, 2008 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Energy Bull 3X ETF)
ERX latest price $612.3000 (-3.33%) ($597.8000 - $629.1000) on Thu. May. 7, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.1% (three month average)
RSI   42
Latest Price   $612.3000(-3.33%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ERX declines -1.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ERX declines -0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ERX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLE(93%)    OIH(89%)    XOP(87%)    IVE(73%)    VYM(70%)
Factors Impacting ERX price   ERX will decline at least -1.55% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-28%)    TLT(-25%)    UUP(-13%)    IGOV(-6%)    SHY(-5%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.55% (StdDev 3.1%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.5%

Resistance Level   $645.1
5 Day Moving Average   $643.76(-4.89%)
10 Day Moving Average   $649.88(-5.78%)
20 Day Moving Average   $645.1(-5.08%)
To recent high   -8.8%
To recent low   25.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. ERX is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. ERX price fluctuates within 3.59% (three month std-dev: 3.1%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 1.47%(75%) Average negative next day return: -3.44%(25%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 3.76%(75%) Average negative next three day return: -2.2%(25%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 4.76%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.74%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150607

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_7_2015	579.57	645.1	649.88	643.76	647.68	630.65	612.3(-3.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-416	-170	-486	-204	0.24	74%	0.11	63.2	3.1%	0	-1.4	42	0
2	May_6_2015	578.94	644.92	654.95	654.28	659.8	652.88	633.4(-1.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-219	-50	-260	-97	0.2	78%	0.26	75.4	3.09%	0	-0.4	42	0
3	May_5_2015	577.45	642.36	656.59	661.86	666.08	664.72	640.2(-3.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-23	0	-31	2	0.25	78%	0.3	82.3	3.09%	0	-0.1	42	0
4	May_4_2015	575.75	640.03	656.39	665.02	665.65	666.72	663.9(-0.76%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	37	10	36	38	0.26	82%	0.31	84.6	3.09%	0	0.8	64	0
5	May_1_2015	573.95	636.21	655.37	661.36	661.15	667.44	669(0.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	71	70	74	61	0.28	87%	0.27	90.2	3.45%	0	1	72	0

6	Apr_30_2015	572.39	630.78	653.05	657.1	657.81	664.59	664.9(-0.95%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	166	80	185	110	0.3	87%	0.26	80.8	3.48%	0	1	65	0
7	Apr_29_2015	570.9	625.36	652.56	655.98	652.64	654.86	671.3(2.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	66	10	63	75	0.23	87%	0.18	76.2	3.48%	0	1.2	68	0
8	Apr_28_2015	569.89	619.33	651.64	650.98	652.18	651.03	656(1.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	44	-10	32	80	0.17	75%	0.18	73	3.47%	0	0.9	71	0
9	Apr_27_2015	568.85	614.69	648.45	646.58	649.98	650.43	645.6(-0.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	-6	20	-26	55	0.14	75%	0.02	72.4	3.79%	0	0.8	64	0
10	Apr_24_2015	568.72	609.16	643.57	648.36	648.27	653.33	647.7(-1.76%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	46	50	33	84	0.23	75%	-0.02	68.1	3.79%	0	0.9	65	0

11	Apr_23_2015	568.82	604	639.88	648.16	650.4	649.53	659.3(2.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	110	0	104	127	0.2	75%	-0.03	69.8	3.81%	0	1.3	73	0
12	Apr_22_2015	568.98	598.22	634.12	648.8	647.59	643.22	646.3(1.94%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-102	-50	-149	41	0.14	75%	-0.01	72	3.82%	0	1.1	72	0
13	Apr_21_2015	569.05	592.16	627.26	652.68	652.8	651.27	634(-3.13%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	16	-20	-16	111	0.2	77%	0	76.4	3.82%	0	0.9	72	0
14	Apr_20_2015	569.03	587.25	622.94	650.2	653.9	651.97	654.5(1.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	89	-0	68	150	0.18	77%	0.06	78.4	3.85%	0	1.5	71	0
15	Apr_17_2015	568.71	581.42	615.93	637.46	642.56	654.33	646.7(-2.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	91	150	72	149	0.18	77%	0.15	80.3	3.85%	0	1.5	75	0

16	Apr_16_2015	567.88	574.9	607.06	629.7	631.66	655.84	662.5(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	406	280	444	293	0.27	79%	-0.21	80.5	3.87%	0	2.1	74	0
17	Apr_15_2015	569.05	568.62	595.9	617.28	617.53	630.78	665.7(7.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	377	150	415	264	0.27	79%	-0.26	88.3	4.04%	0	2.7	74	0
18	Apr_14_2015	570.51	560.09	583.75	598.82	602.56	607.49	621.6(5.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	102	80	96	118	0.19	77%	-0.41	85.6	4%	0	2	73	0
19	Apr_13_2015	572.88	554.22	577.52	592.1	595.82	604.29	590.8(-2.81%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	117	120	114	125	0.16	76%	-0.5	82.2	3.95%	0	1.2	65	0
20	Apr_10_2015	575.77	549.13	571.75	590.92	592.06	597.64	607.9(1.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	180	70	190	151	0.11	69%	-0.41	70.1	4.08%	0	1.8	67	0

21	Apr_9_2015	578.14	543.28	565.02	580.58	584.61	587.35	600.4(4.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	91	50	87	101	0.15	69%	-0.37	52.6	4.11%	0	1.9	70	0
22	Apr_8_2015	580.27	538.23	559.17	571.02	575.28	586.48	573.4(-2.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	109	160	112	99	0.15	70%	-0.39	35.8	4.08%	0	1.2	57	0
23	Apr_7_2015	582.56	534.41	554.34	566	568.26	581.87	588(0.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	257	180	287	168	0.14	70%	-0.36	18.9	4.15%	0	1.9	69	0
24	Apr_6_2015	584.66	530.73	548.83	560.8	558.77	564.08	584.9(5.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	151	60	162	119	0.21	70%	-0.74	7	4.15%	0	2.1	67	0
25	Apr_2_2015	588.99	527.71	544.1	549.88	553.41	554.64	556.2(0.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	53	30	48	68	0.13	60%		-14.6	4.42%	0	1.2	67	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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