Trading Signals: ERX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Apr. 15, 2015

Trading Signals: ERX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 6, 2008 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Energy Bull 3X ETF)
ERX latest price $665.7000 (7.09%) ($629.4000 - $670.6000) on Wed. Apr. 15, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.04% (three month average)
RSI   74
Latest Price   $665.7000(7.09%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ERX advances 3.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ERX advances 6.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ERX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLE(93%)    OIH(89%)    XOP(87%)    IVE(73%)    VYM(70%)
Factors Impacting ERX price   ERX will decline at least -2.02% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-28%)    TLT(-25%)    UUP(-13%)    IGOV(-6%)    SHY(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.02% (StdDev 4.04%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 5.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $617.28(7.84%)
10 Day Moving Average   $595.9(11.71%)
20 Day Moving Average   $568.62(17.07%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   43.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.02%

$. ERX is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.02% a day on average for holding it.$. ERX price fluctuates within 6.4% (three month std-dev: 4.04%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -2.65%(100%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 10.96%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -8.77%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 15.97%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -7.12%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150515

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_15_2015	569.05	568.62	595.9	617.28	617.53	630.78	665.7(7.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	377	150	415	264	0.27	79%	-0.26	88.3	4.04%	0	2.7	74	INF
2	Apr_14_2015	570.51	560.09	583.75	598.82	602.56	607.49	621.6(5.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	102	80	96	118	0.19	77%	-0.41	85.6	4%	0	2	73	INF
3	Apr_13_2015	572.88	554.22	577.52	592.1	595.82	604.29	590.8(-2.81%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	117	120	114	125	0.16	76%	-0.5	82.2	3.95%	0	1.2	65	INF
4	Apr_10_2015	575.77	549.13	571.75	590.92	592.06	597.64	607.9(1.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	180	70	190	151	0.11	69%	-0.41	70.1	4.08%	0	1.8	67	INF
5	Apr_9_2015	578.14	543.28	565.02	580.58	584.61	587.35	600.4(4.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	91	50	87	101	0.15	69%	-0.37	52.6	4.11%	0	1.9	70	INF

6	Apr_8_2015	580.27	538.23	559.17	571.02	575.28	586.48	573.4(-2.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	109	160	112	99	0.15	70%	-0.39	35.8	4.08%	0	1.2	57	INF
7	Apr_7_2015	582.56	534.41	554.34	566	568.26	581.87	588(0.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	257	180	287	168	0.14	70%	-0.36	18.9	4.15%	0	1.9	69	INF
8	Apr_6_2015	584.66	530.73	548.83	560.8	558.77	564.08	584.9(5.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	151	60	162	119	0.21	70%	-0.74	7	4.15%	0	2.1	67	INF
9	Apr_2_2015	588.99	527.71	544.1	549.88	553.41	554.64	556.2(0.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	53	30	48	68	0.13	60%	-0.45	-14.6	4.42%	0	1.2	67	INF
10	Apr_1_2015	591.63	527.61	540.37	547.12	548.67	553.46	552.6(0.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	33	70	23	62	0.12	60%	-0.49	-22.3	4.42%	0	1	65	INF

11	Mar_31_2015	594.56	528.16	539.34	545.48	547.6	552.18	548.3(-2.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	110	70	111	106	0.08	60%	-0.48	-31.7	4.45%	0	0.8	61	INF
12	Mar_30_2015	597.44	529.06	534.74	540.52	545.64	543.88	562(5.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	58	10	52	77	0.21	60%	-0.5	-42.4	4.45%	0	1.2	65	INF
13	Mar_27_2015	600.42	528.95	529.1	535.18	539.99	543.03	530.3(-2.23%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-45	70	-67	21	0.09	58%	-0.5	-52.4	4.36%	0	0	53	INF
14	Mar_26_2015	603.44	531.14	525.11	537.4	542.16	547.4	542.4(-0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	136	90	148	100	0.13	58%	-0.43	-51.8	4.39%	0	0.4	52	INF
15	Mar_25_2015	606.04	533.03	520.19	532.5	538.59	536.95	544.4(3.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	34	10	35	32	0.17	58%	-0.35	-52.6	4.39%	0	0.3	46	INF

16	Mar_24_2015	608.19	536.35	515.81	532.46	533.49	536.91	523.5(-2.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-9	50	-11	-3	0.13	58%	-0.47	-49.9	4.39%	0	-0.3	39	INF
17	Mar_23_2015	611.07	540.49	513.24	527.68	530.22	540.23	535.3(-1.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	161	150	196	55	0.13	58%	-0.52	-55	4.39%	0	-0.1	41	INF
18	Mar_20_2015	614.26	543.84	511.31	521.86	519.26	530.06	541.4(4.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	161	130	202	37	0.19	58%	-0.43	-59.8	4.39%	0	-0.1	43	INF
19	Mar_19_2015	616.89	547.19	509.71	510.86	507.6	520.21	517.9(-4.83%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	158	150	207	12	0.2	60%	-0.48	-62.7	4.38%	0	-0.6	35	INF
20	Mar_18_2015	619.86	552.27	513.43	505.74	497.66	508.46	544.2(8.93%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.8	140	100	189	-7	0.32	65%	-0.42	-60.1	4.48%	0	-0.2	37	INF

21	Mar_17_2015	622.47	556.38	515.21	497.3	493.05	494.98	499.6(-1.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	49	0	89	-71	0.14	66%	-0.41	-57.7	4.4%	0	-1.1	17	INF
22	Mar_16_2015	625.02	564.03	522.23	496.8	493.63	486.86	506.2(4.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-84	-120	-67	-135	0.14	66%	-0.47	-55.3	4.69%	0	-1.1	21	INF
23	Mar_13_2015	628	571.17	528.17	499.46	496.66	491.11	486.4(-1.2%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-184	-100	-182	-188	0.22	66%	-0.52	-49.6	4.65%	0	-1.6	14	INF
24	Mar_12_2015	631.29	577.74	537.51	508.4	508.24	500.4	492.3(-1.93%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-109	-110	-96	-149	0.12	63%	-0.44	-48.2	4.69%	0	-1.7	14	INF
25	Mar_11_2015	634.08	583.07	547.11	522.18	518.46	502.2	502(0.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-245	-240	-258	-205	0.22	63%		-44.1	4.74%	0	-1.8	14	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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