Trading Signals: ERX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Apr. 2, 2015

Trading Signals: ERX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 6, 2008 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Energy Bull 3X ETF)
ERX latest price $556.2000 (0.65%) ($541.2900 - $565.7300) on Thu. Apr. 2, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.42% (three month average)
RSI   67
Latest Price   $556.2000(0.65%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ERX advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ERX advances 3.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ERX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLE(93%)    OIH(89%)    XOP(87%)    IVE(73%)    VYM(70%)
Factors Impacting ERX price   ERX will decline at least -2.21% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-28%)    TLT(-25%)    UUP(-13%)    IGOV(-6%)    SHY(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.21% (StdDev 4.42%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $549.88(1.15%)
10 Day Moving Average   $544.1(2.22%)
20 Day Moving Average   $527.71(5.4%)
To recent high   -15.2%
To recent low   19.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.02%

$. ERX is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.02% a day on average for holding it.$. ERX price fluctuates within 4.37% (three month std-dev: 4.42%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150502

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_2_2015	588.99	527.71	544.1	549.88	553.41	554.64	556.2(0.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	53	30	48	68	0.13	60%	-0.45	-14.6	4.42%	0	1.2	67	0
2	Apr_1_2015	591.63	527.61	540.37	547.12	548.67	553.46	552.6(0.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	33	70	23	62	0.12	60%	-0.49	-22.3	4.42%	0	1	65	0
3	Mar_31_2015	594.56	528.16	539.34	545.48	547.6	552.18	548.3(-2.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	110	70	111	106	0.08	60%	-0.48	-31.7	4.45%	0	0.8	61	0
4	Mar_30_2015	597.44	529.06	534.74	540.52	545.64	543.88	562(5.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	58	10	52	77	0.21	60%	-0.5	-42.4	4.45%	0	1.2	65	0
5	Mar_27_2015	600.42	528.95	529.1	535.18	539.99	543.03	530.3(-2.23%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-45	70	-67	21	0.09	58%	-0.5	-52.4	4.36%	0	0	53	0

6	Mar_26_2015	603.44	531.14	525.11	537.4	542.16	547.4	542.4(-0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	136	90	148	100	0.13	58%	-0.43	-51.8	4.39%	0	0.4	52	0
7	Mar_25_2015	606.04	533.03	520.19	532.5	538.59	536.95	544.4(3.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	34	10	35	32	0.17	58%	-0.35	-52.6	4.39%	0	0.3	46	0
8	Mar_24_2015	608.19	536.35	515.81	532.46	533.49	536.91	523.5(-2.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-9	50	-11	-3	0.13	58%	-0.47	-49.9	4.39%	0	-0.3	39	0
9	Mar_23_2015	611.07	540.49	513.24	527.68	530.22	540.23	535.3(-1.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	161	150	196	55	0.13	58%	-0.52	-55	4.39%	0	-0.1	41	0
10	Mar_20_2015	614.26	543.84	511.31	521.86	519.26	530.06	541.4(4.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	161	130	202	37	0.19	58%	-0.43	-59.8	4.39%	0	-0.1	43	0

11	Mar_19_2015	616.89	547.19	509.71	510.86	507.6	520.21	517.9(-4.83%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	158	150	207	12	0.2	60%	-0.48	-62.7	4.38%	0	-0.6	35	0
12	Mar_18_2015	619.86	552.27	513.43	505.74	497.66	508.46	544.2(8.93%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.8	140	100	189	-7	0.32	65%	-0.42	-60.1	4.48%	0	-0.2	37	0
13	Mar_17_2015	622.47	556.38	515.21	497.3	493.05	494.98	499.6(-1.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	49	0	89	-71	0.14	66%	-0.41	-57.7	4.4%	0	-1.1	17	0
14	Mar_16_2015	625.02	564.03	522.23	496.8	493.63	486.86	506.2(4.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-84	-120	-67	-135	0.14	66%	-0.47	-55.3	4.69%	0	-1.1	21	0
15	Mar_13_2015	628	571.17	528.17	499.46	496.66	491.11	486.4(-1.2%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-184	-100	-182	-188	0.22	66%	-0.52	-49.6	4.65%	0	-1.6	14	0

16	Mar_12_2015	631.29	577.74	537.51	508.4	508.24	500.4	492.3(-1.93%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-109	-110	-96	-149	0.12	63%	-0.44	-48.2	4.69%	0	-1.7	14	0
17	Mar_11_2015	634.08	583.07	547.11	522.18	518.46	502.2	502(0.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-245	-240	-258	-205	0.22	63%	-0.5	-44.1	4.74%	0	-1.8	14	0
18	Mar_10_2015	637.24	588.44	558.87	536.04	534.29	516.09	497.1(-4.31%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-286	-250	-310	-213	0.24	58%	-0.39	-40.6	4.74%	0	-2.2	11	0
19	Mar_9_2015	639.74	594.21	570.68	551.3	550.31	534.73	519.5(-2.18%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-238	-200	-257	-181	0.22	58%	-0.32	-31.2	4.85%	0	-2.2	11	0
20	Mar_6_2015	641.82	598.62	579.86	560.94	561.12	552.49	531.1(-5.36%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-170	-110	-179	-144	0.33	53%	-0.27	-15	5.06%	0	-2.3	15	0

21	Mar_5_2015	643.58	602.48	588.53	570.6	567.91	565.89	561.2(-1.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-80	-40	-76	-93	0.09	55%	-0.17	10.4	5.05%	0	-1.6	38	0
22	Mar_4_2015	644.66	603.6	594.78	575.82	573.58	569.75	571.3(-0.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-56	-60	-51	-72	0.16	55%	-0.13	32.1	5.07%	0	-1.3	48	0
23	Mar_3_2015	645.49	605.48	600.91	585.78	580.79	569.94	573.4(1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-132	-160	-144	-95	0.17	55%	-0.16	55.2	5.08%	0	-1.4	46	0
24	Mar_2_2015	646.55	605.22	608.97	593.62	591.84	577.4	567.7(-2.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-184	-180	-210	-104	0.28	55%	-0.29	62.3	5.1%	0	-1.5	44	0
25	Feb_27_2015	648.4	603.14	617.39	601.76	602.96	591.65	579.4(-1.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-137	-130	-160	-67	0.14	48%		53.6	5.59%	0	-0.8	48	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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