Trading Signals: ERX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ERX: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Nov. 25, 2014

Trading Signals: ERX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 6, 2008 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Energy Bull 3X ETF)
ERX latest price $804.1000 (-5%) ($801.5000 - $856.0000) on Tue. Nov. 25, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.92% (three month average)
RSI   54
Latest Price   $804.1000(-5%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ERX advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ERX advances 0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ERX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLE(93%)    OIH(89%)    XOP(87%)    XLB(67%)    IWM(66%)
Factors Impacting ERX price   ERX will decline at least -1.96% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-29%)    TLT(-25%)    UUP(-13%)    SHY(-5%)    IGOV(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.96% (StdDev 3.92%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -5.8%

Resistance Level   $812.13
5 Day Moving Average   $830.44(-3.17%)
10 Day Moving Average   $813.5(-1.16%)
20 Day Moving Average   $812.13(-0.99%)
To recent high   -34.8%
To recent low   23.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.02%

$. ERX is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.02% a day on average for holding it.$. ERX price fluctuates within 3.22% (three month std-dev: 3.92%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 5.26%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 7.78%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 14.19%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20141225

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_25_2014	1016.68	812.13	813.5	830.44	842.49	840.79	804.1(-5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-158	30	-189	-66	0.18	35%	-0.47	50	3.92%	0	-0.3	54	0
2	Nov_24_2014	1021.46	811.8	816.32	827.66	834.33	860.62	846.4(-2.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	291	240	336	155	0.11	36%	-0.17	40.1	3.9%	0	1.2	67	0
3	Nov_21_2014	1023.23	806.83	813.73	815.88	819.01	844.2	865.2(3.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	534	230	624	263	0.2	36%	-0.44	31.5	3.9%	0	2	59	0
4	Nov_20_2014	1027.73	802.91	811.06	803.06	799.28	808.03	833.2(3.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	208	60	244	98	0.08	36%	-0.45	34.8	3.86%	0	1.2	48	0
5	Nov_19_2014	1032.42	801.19	809.41	793.4	792.44	793.82	803.3(1.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	59	10	71	23	0.11	36%	-0.49	41.8	3.83%	0	0.1	53	0

6	Nov_18_2014	1037.47	799.25	808.48	794.7	788.78	790.54	790.2(0.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-57	-10	-65	-32	0.1	36%	-0.49	61.1	3.84%	0	-0.3	50	0
7	Nov_17_2014	1042.63	800.01	805.35	803.32	795.56	791.06	787.5(-1.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-22	-70	-24	-14	0.1	36%	-0.49	88.7	3.84%	0	-0.4	51	0
8	Nov_14_2014	1047.79	797.9	806.94	810.86	804.7	787.03	801.1(2.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-238	-180	-284	-100	0.14	36%	-0.48	94	3.85%	0	0.1	60	0
9	Nov_13_2014	1052.81	794.19	810.7	820.28	818.69	800.06	784.9(-3.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-341	-170	-411	-131	0.25	36%	-0.49	86.1	3.84%	0	-0.2	51	0
10	Nov_12_2014	1057.95	790.49	812.07	827.32	833.49	822.38	809.8(-2.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-117	-70	-149	-19	0.23	36%	-0.43	68.6	3.83%	0	0.4	52	0

11	Nov_11_2014	1062.57	783.76	811.47	823.62	827.93	837.33	833.3(0.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	14	100	3	47	0.13	36%	-0.49	39.4	3.82%	0	0.9	60	0
12	Nov_10_2014	1067.79	775.04	807.5	807.12	816.75	844.61	825.2(-2.71%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	454	270	526	236	0.16	36%	-0.48	13.3	3.82%	0	0.9	53	0
13	Nov_7_2014	1072.97	767.73	799.79	802.24	793.68	818.53	848.2(3.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	355	190	411	186	0.16	38%	-0.42	-5.8	3.87%	0	1.5	62	0
14	Nov_6_2014	1077.51	762.2	793.65	800.9	790.11	788.89	820.1(3.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	203	-50	229	126	0.16	38%	-0.42	-18.9	3.84%	0	1.1	62	0
15	Nov_5_2014	1082.07	759.59	791.48	795.66	794.71	768.83	791.3(5.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-249	-230	-307	-74	0.17	37%	-0.42	-28.8	3.81%	0	0.6	62	0

16	Nov_4_2014	1086.61	763.01	788.7	797.94	796.03	791.34	750.8(-6.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-404	-50	-496	-126	0.16	36%	-0.46	-28.5	3.81%	0	-0.2	63	0
17	Nov_3_2014	1091.61	767.6	794.41	806.74	809.52	820.59	800.8(-4.84%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	348	110	375	265	0.22	38%	-0.39	-30.1	3.81%	0	0.5	70	0
18	Oct_31_2014	1095.87	771	788.56	795.38	795.96	800.73	841.5(6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	181	40	178	189	0.16	37%	-0.32	-39.9	3.78%	0	1	70	0
19	Oct_30_2014	1099.38	772.14	776.33	785.52	778.19	798.45	793.9(-1.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	104	150	91	141	0.11	34%	-0.35	-49.3	3.76%	0	0.3	56	0
20	Oct_29_2014	1103.25	776.09	767.49	787.24	778.73	791.2	802.7(0.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	421	80	467	281	0.16	34%	-0.33	-50.6	3.77%	0	0.4	52	0

21	Oct_28_2014	1106.89	780.15	754.24	778.78	776.16	757.94	794.8(6.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-112	-170	-145	-14	0.1	34%	-0.34	-53.8	3.76%	0	0.2	43	0
22	Oct_27_2014	1110.68	787.38	740.36	780.82	780.33	766.26	744(-6.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-396	-130	-468	-179	0.16	31%	-0.38	-49.9	3.64%	0	-0.5	41	0
23	Oct_24_2014	1114.93	799.22	734	779.54	790.35	766.26	792.2(-1.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	111	80	141	21	0.12	32%	-0.31	-47.7	3.59%	0	-0.1	41	0
24	Oct_23_2014	1118.4	808.77	728.41	764.9	774.7	794.39	802.5(5.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	213	220	274	28	0.18	32%	-0.28	-51.7	3.59%	0	-0.1	42	0
25	Oct_22_2014	1121.57	816.26	724.42	744.48	757.25	786.31	760.4(-5.54%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	582	320	723	160	0.2	30%		-56.6	3.52%	0	-0.5	37	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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