Trading Signals: ERX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ERX: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Sun. Aug. 3, 2014

Trading Signals: ERX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 6, 2008 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Energy Bull 3X ETF)
ERX latest price $1135.0000 (-2.42%) ($1104.7000 - $1162.6000) on Sun. Aug. 3, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.12% (three month average)
RSI   36
Latest Price   $1135.0000(-2.42%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ERX declines -2.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ERX declines -2.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ERX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)
Factors Impacting ERX price   ERX will decline at least -1.06% in a week (0% probabilities).
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.06% (StdDev 2.12%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.3%

Resistance Level   $1259.17
5 Day Moving Average   $1216.34(-6.69%)
10 Day Moving Average   $1250.99(-9.27%)
20 Day Moving Average   $1259.17(-9.86%)
To recent high   -15.9%
To recent low   8.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0%

$. ERX is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0% a day on average for holding it.$. ERX price fluctuates within 3.45% (three month std-dev: 2.12%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 6 Average positive next day return: 2.64%(50%) Average negative next day return: -2.66%(50%) Sample size 6 Average positive next three day return: 3.98%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -4.97%(50%) Sample size 6 Average positive next weekly return: 7.23%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.84%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140903

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_1_2014	1107.76	1259.17	1250.99	1216.34	1218.26	1169.11	1135(-2.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-1707	-280	-1991	-856	0.05	48%	0.29	-50.4	2.12%	0	-2.9	36	INF
2	Jul_31_2014	1104.55	1268.42	1264.26	1246.5	1252.36	1232.09	1163.2(-6.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.5	-1022	-100	-1196	-498	0.05	50%	0.29	-39.6	2.11%	0	-3.1	44	INF
3	Jul_30_2014	1101.34	1275.62	1273.76	1276.82	1276.02	1267.4	1243.6(-1.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-288	-50	-343	-122	0.06	55%	0.37	-21.1	1.94%	0	-1.3	49	INF
4	Jul_29_2014	1097.29	1278.63	1279.94	1290.12	1288.8	1272.63	1265(-0.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-355	-90	-428	-136	0.03	55%	0.36	0.5	1.93%	0	-0.6	45	INF
5	Jul_28_2014	1093.34	1280.4	1278.82	1294.28	1296.08	1284.65	1274.9(-0.85%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-464	-60	-556	-187	0.02	55%	0.37	-3.7	1.93%	0	-0.2	51	INF

6	Jul_25_2014	1089.26	1281.53	1278.06	1291.06	1298.16	1304.98	1285.8(-2.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	96	50	105	70	0.02	55%	0.39	-14.8	1.92%	0	0.2	51	INF
7	Jul_24_2014	1085	1282.02	1273.21	1284.56	1287.58	1307.51	1314.8(0.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	587	120	690	279	0.02	57%	0.44	-22	1.91%	0	1.3	49	INF
8	Jul_23_2014	1080.26	1280.73	1267.61	1270.34	1271.32	1291.35	1310.1(1.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	604	110	718	263	0.02	57%	0.41	-35.9	1.91%	0	1.2	51	INF
9	Jul_22_2014	1075.8	1278.5	1265.75	1269.28	1265.18	1267.64	1285.8(2.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	355	0	426	143	0.02	57%	0.42	-33.1	1.91%	0	0.3	47	INF
10	Jul_21_2014	1071.31	1281.31	1264.29	1261.92	1265.68	1251.29	1258.8(0.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-256	-70	-288	-159	0.02	56%	0.38	-18.6	1.9%	0	-0.8	44	INF

11	Jul_18_2014	1067.27	1285.08	1266.49	1263.3	1264.77	1262.73	1253.3(0.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-424	-10	-485	-240	0.02	56%	0.39	1.3	1.91%	0	-1.1	44	INF
12	Jul_17_2014	1063.16	1287.46	1271.96	1259.46	1266.9	1280.08	1243.7(-4.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	382	90	464	137	0.04	58%	0.38	14.9	1.93%	0	-1.5	42	INF
13	Jul_16_2014	1059.13	1289.17	1277.48	1263.34	1258.95	1266.81	1304.8(4.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	364	30	442	131	0.03	65%	0.43	35.9	1.84%	0	0.6	52	INF
14	Jul_15_2014	1054.64	1286.14	1276.73	1262.38	1253.72	1253.73	1249(-1.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-95	-20	-100	-81	0.03	64%	0.37	45.3	1.81%	0	-1.3	48	INF
15	Jul_14_2014	1050.71	1286.42	1282.07	1267.48	1263.86	1251.09	1265.7(2.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-126	-80	-135	-98	0.02	67%	0.43	62.7	1.85%	0	-0.7	36	INF

16	Jul_11_2014	1046.24	1284.75	1285.42	1270.68	1267.63	1253.71	1234.1(-2.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-707	-80	-817	-375	0.04	65%	0.38	69	1.89%	0	-1.6	33	INF
17	Jul_10_2014	1042.31	1283.29	1292.31	1286	1280.12	1276.63	1263.1(-2.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-272	-30	-311	-154	0.04	63%	0.42	79.6	1.86%	0	-0.6	46	INF
18	Jul_9_2014	1037.91	1279.62	1295.74	1292.96	1290.86	1281.54	1300(2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-82	-60	-92	-52	0.02	66%	0.47	79.8	1.91%	0	0.5	57	INF
19	Jul_8_2014	1033.1	1273.28	1292.71	1293.54	1293.25	1283.62	1274.5(-0.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-491	-50	-575	-238	0.02	67%	0.24	75.3	1.91%	0	0	59	INF
20	Jul_7_2014	1030.61	1268.57	1299.94	1298.9	1301.96	1300.18	1281.7(-2.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-67	-0	-85	-12	0.02	62%	0.71	78.2	1.92%	0	0.2	59	INF

21	Jul_3_2014	1023.36	1263.16	1305.35	1302.28	1302.74	1302.88	1310.7(0.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	46	0	40	65	0.01	64%	0.54	74	2.01%	0	0.8	68	INF
22	Jul_2_2014	1017.9	1254.76	1304.12	1299.68	1298.77	1303.74	1297.9(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	71	20	62	96	0.02	64%	0.52	69.4	2.01%	0	0.6	71	INF
23	Jul_1_2014	1012.64	1246.11	1301.83	1298.9	1296.52	1302.61	1302.9(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	330	30	361	236	0.02	64%	0.56	68.1	2.01%	0	0.8	74	INF
24	Jun_30_2014	1007.03	1237.19	1296.21	1291.78	1287.38	1293.81	1301.3(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	63	20	44	120	0.02	64%	0.55	65.3	2%	0	0.9	75	INF
25	Jun_27_2014	1001.54	1227.72	1291.08	1301.58	1289.54	1290.44	1298.6(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	44	-20	12	138	0.02	66%		70.4	2.04%	0	0.9	73	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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