Trading Signals: ERX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ERX: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Mar. 26, 2014

Trading Signals: ERX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 6, 2008 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Energy Bull 3X ETF)
ERX latest price $861.5000 (-1.16%) ($859.5000 - $888.6000) on Wed. Mar. 26, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.54% (three month average)
RSI   48
Latest Price   $861.5000(-1.16%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ERX advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ERX declines -0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ERX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLE(93%)    OIH(89%)    XOP(87%)    XLB(67%)    IWM(65%)
Factors Impacting ERX price   ERX will decline at least -1.27% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    UUP(-13%)    SHY(-5%)    IGOV(-5%)    BNDX(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.27% (StdDev 2.54%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $857.62(0.45%)
10 Day Moving Average   $847.74(1.62%)
20 Day Moving Average   $853.24(0.97%)
To recent high   -4.1%
To recent low   21.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. ERX is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. ERX price fluctuates within 1.75% (three month std-dev: 2.54%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -0.83%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -2.4%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 2.8%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140426

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_26_2014	831.02	853.24	847.74	857.62	865.16	869.96	861.5(-1.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	212	70	250	97	0.03	48%	0.04	12	2.54%	0	0.6	48	0
2	Mar_25_2014	830.71	852.58	846.22	852.94	856.08	862.91	871.6(2.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	95	70	115	35	0.03	48%	0.02	8.5	2.55%	0	1.3	55	0
3	Mar_24_2014	830.54	852.07	843.42	850.38	850.7	860.37	850.3(-0.65%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	198	80	239	73	0.02	48%	0.03	15.1	2.55%	0	-0.1	44	0
4	Mar_21_2014	830.27	852.72	845.76	847.9	849.12	849.25	855.9(0.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	201	10	242	78	0.03	48%	0.03	23.5	2.54%	0	0.2	53	0
5	Mar_20_2014	830.05	851.43	847.25	841.72	842.84	841.03	848.8(1.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-102	-10	-112	-70	0.03	48%	0.01	25	2.56%	0	-0.2	47	0

6	Mar_19_2014	829.97	851.44	848.97	836.2	839.54	848.99	838.1(-2.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	87	90	111	15	0.04	48%	-0.03	35.3	2.56%	0	-0.8	49	0
7	Mar_18_2014	830.2	851.32	850.31	838.22	837.1	844.66	858.8(2.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	270	60	326	103	0.03	50%	0.02	51.8	2.54%	0	0.4	53	0
8	Mar_17_2014	830.03	849.89	851.4	835.84	833.94	830.09	837.9(1.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-70	-40	-74	-58	0.02	50%	-0	67.8	2.58%	0	-0.7	44	0
9	Mar_14_2014	830.05	849.08	852.5	843.86	840.57	829.54	825(0.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-266	-100	-307	-144	0.03	52%	-0	90.2	2.58%	0	-1.3	41	0
10	Mar_13_2014	830.07	847.55	856.51	853.84	852.44	837.79	821.2(-3.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-328	-130	-386	-153	0.04	52%	0.01	96.2	2.6%	0	-1.2	52	0

11	Mar_12_2014	830.01	845.8	859.89	863.22	862.11	851.6	848.2(0.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-303	-90	-361	-128	0.03	54%	-0.01	103.8	2.57%	0	0.1	51	0
12	Mar_11_2014	830.08	842.8	860.2	863.62	867.22	867.09	846.9(-3.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-75	10	-94	-16	0.04	51%	0.01	102.5	2.58%	0	0.1	55	0
13	Mar_10_2014	830.01	838.53	862.12	868.8	865.69	872.62	878(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	105	50	112	84	0.02	54%	0.03	97.9	2.59%	0	1.1	63	0
14	Mar_7_2014	829.73	832.95	860.51	862.52	865.29	867.36	874.9(0.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	210	30	234	136	0.03	54%	0.07	90.7	2.58%	0	1.1	65	0
15	Mar_6_2014	829.19	826.48	855.94	860.06	859.74	858.75	868.1(2.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	-52	-10	-76	19	0.04	54%	0.06	78.2	2.6%	0	1	70	0

16	Mar_5_2014	828.69	818.87	853.89	856.44	859.21	863.21	850.2(-2.59%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	83	40	79	96	0.04	54%	0.08	60.7	2.59%	0	0.7	70	0
17	Mar_4_2014	827.99	813.07	852.34	856.16	856.52	860.74	872.8(3.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	147	40	150	139	0.04	55%	0.1	52.4	2.57%	0	1.2	73	0
18	Mar_3_2014	827.16	805.06	847.89	854.6	852.99	855.21	846.6(-1.85%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	52	10	31	113	0.05	53%	0.09	44.6	2.54%	0	0.8	75	0
19	Feb_28_2014	826.43	800.17	845.23	858.1	854.95	852.3	862.6(1.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	72	-30	47	145	0.03	53%	0.14	44.3	2.49%	0	1.2	75	0
20	Feb_27_2014	825.29	795.67	837.84	851.14	854.17	850.76	850(0.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	-70	-20	-120	82	0.03	53%	0.17	38.1	2.51%	0	1.1	77	0

21	Feb_26_2014	823.86	791.48	830.85	850.82	852.84	857.6	848.8(-1.87%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	81	50	50	172	0.03	53%	0.16	31.3	2.52%	0	1.2	81	0
22	Feb_25_2014	822.53	787.89	824.4	847.48	848.91	857.57	865(0.1%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	274	80	273	277	0.03	52%	0.15	25	2.51%	0	1.7	77	0
23	Feb_24_2014	821.26	782.55	813.38	840.2	842.49	848.07	864.1(4.39%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	259	50	254	273	0.07	52%	0.13	16.2	2.53%	0	1.9	79	0
24	Feb_21_2014	820.21	777.66	803.15	830.76	834.84	840.25	827.8(-2.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	200	60	186	243	0.04	51%	0.11	5.1	2.48%	0	1.3	64	0
25	Feb_20_2014	819.33	777.04	794.76	822.2	825.69	836.91	848.4(1.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	343	110	361	290	0.03	51%		-1	2.49%	0	1.9	60	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.