Trading Signals: ERX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ERX: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Sep. 3, 2013

Trading Signals: ERX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 6, 2008 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Energy Bull 3X ETF)
ERX latest price $715.3000 (2.38%) ($704.0000 - $727.0000) on Tue. Sep. 3, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.76% (three month average)
RSI   47
Latest Price   $715.3000(2.38%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ERX advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ERX advances 0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ERX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
OIH(89%)    XOP(87%)    IWM(65%)    SPY(64%)    USO(62%)
Factors Impacting ERX price   ERX will decline at least -1.38% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    SHY(-5%)    IGOV(-5%)    BNDX(-4%)    GLD(3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.38% (StdDev 2.76%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $705.06(1.45%)
10 Day Moving Average   $696.41(2.71%)
20 Day Moving Average   $703.82(1.63%)
To recent high   -6%
To recent low   20.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. ERX is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. ERX price fluctuates within 3.07% (three month std-dev: 2.76%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -0.03%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -1.58%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.9%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20131003

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_3_2013	680.91	703.82	696.41	705.06	709.77	709.4	715.3(2.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	122	20	139	70	0.03	54%	0.32	-36.5	2.76%	0	0.5	47	0
2	Aug_30_2013	678.72	705.01	690.98	702.38	703.27	705.8	698.7(-0.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-79	30	-91	-44	0.03	50%	0.06	-31.6	2.84%	0	-0.3	45	0
3	Aug_29_2013	678.31	707.38	690.34	703.76	704.51	710.14	700.4(-3.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	161	60	194	63	0.04	50%	0.07	-26.3	2.84%	0	-0.3	43	0
4	Aug_28_2013	677.81	710.18	690.32	701.84	701.99	700.74	723(5.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	99	-10	125	22	0.07	52%	0.12	-26.4	2.81%	0	0.5	45	0
5	Aug_27_2013	676.97	710.14	688.79	689.44	694.58	698.88	687.9(-1.99%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-21	70	-9	-56	0.04	49%	0.09	-40.4	2.76%	0	-0.8	40	0

6	Aug_26_2013	676.33	711.77	691.98	686.12	688.46	703.24	701.9(-0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	282	160	349	79	0.03	49%	0.13	-51.5	2.77%	0	-0.4	41	0
7	Aug_23_2013	675.43	712.84	693.37	677.72	678.62	690.28	705.6(2.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	292	120	368	65	0.03	49%	0.14	-64.6	2.78%	0	-0.3	38	0
8	Aug_22_2013	674.46	714.53	695.23	675.34	672.45	673.68	690.8(4.51%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.6	49	-0	85	-60	0.04	46%	0.12	-68.6	2.76%	0	-0.9	32	0
9	Aug_21_2013	673.66	717.36	699.35	677.74	675.62	666.96	661(-1.53%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-186	-100	-190	-175	0.05	43%	0.02	-65.4	2.74%	0	-2.1	17	0
10	Aug_20_2013	673.52	721.2	705.88	688.36	684.83	671.23	671.3(1.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-352	-150	-389	-239	0.04	46%	0.02	-56.5	2.73%	0	-2	37	0

11	Aug_19_2013	673.38	725.66	712.03	698.72	697.49	684.28	659.9(-4.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-351	-140	-394	-221	0.04	46%	-0.02	-39	2.78%	0	-2.9	36	0
12	Aug_16_2013	673.52	730.63	720.84	710.66	709.32	698.43	693.7(-1.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-261	-110	-296	-157	0.03	53%	0.05	-21.7	2.79%	0	-2	42	0
13	Aug_15_2013	673.2	734.06	726.52	717.72	715.74	710.71	702.8(-1.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-218	-60	-249	-125	0.04	53%	0.05	0.5	2.8%	0	-2	39	0
14	Aug_14_2013	672.85	734.06	732.3	724.18	722.59	720.21	714.1(-1.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-43	-30	-47	-31	0.04	56%	0.08	19	2.79%	0	-1.4	40	0
15	Aug_13_2013	672.33	735.64	733.69	726.12	725.83	720.78	723.1(0.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-72	-50	-81	-44	0.03	56%	0.12	27.3	2.83%	0	-0.8	48	0

16	Aug_12_2013	671.5	734.71	733.52	727.64	726.32	724.98	719.6(-1.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-136	-20	-154	-81	0.03	56%	0.11	29.6	2.83%	0	-0.9	40	0
17	Aug_9_2013	670.77	734.59	734.14	732.66	730.58	730.89	729(-0.83%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	14	-10	22	-11	0.02	56%	0.14	47	2.83%	0	-0.3	43	0
18	Aug_8_2013	669.8	734	735.35	736.84	733.55	727.66	735.11(1.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-85	-70	-95	-56	0.04	56%	0.14	64.3	2.83%	0	0.1	42	0
19	Aug_7_2013	668.88	732.7	736.51	742.02	737.7	730.26	723.8(-0.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-206	-90	-240	-102	0.03	56%	0.14	79.1	2.83%	0	-0.4	50	0
20	Aug_6_2013	667.96	731.13	737.58	742.24	745	739.44	730.7(-1.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-62	-40	-73	-29	0.03	56%	0.12	86.2	2.83%	0	-0	58	0

21	Aug_5_2013	667.17	729.71	740.22	739.8	742.65	745.14	744.7(-0.69%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	-23	40	-30	-0	0.02	56%	0.11	86.7	2.83%	0	0.6	63	0
22	Aug_2_2013	666.43	726.55	741	735.48	736.84	750.57	749.9(-1.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	205	140	237	110	0.04	60%	0.12	82.9	2.9%	0	0.9	60	0
23	Aug_1_2013	665.64	722.47	741.81	733.74	731.41	740.15	761(4.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	294	70	339	160	0.04	57%	0.18	88	2.92%	0	1.4	62	0
24	Jul_31_2013	664.47	716.74	738.62	731.12	727.1	723.11	724.9(0.89%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-10	-50	-20	20	0.05	55%	0.11	78.8	2.89%	0	0.3	57	0
25	Jul_30_2013	663.71	712.91	737.48	732.66	729.59	722.67	718.48(-0.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-174	-80	-215	-50	0.04	55%		75.5	2.96%	0	0.2	62	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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