Trading Signals: ERX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ERX: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. May. 28, 2013

Trading Signals: ERX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 6, 2008 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Energy Bull 3X ETF)
ERX latest price $730.4000 (2.9%) ($721.0000 - $748.4000) on Tue. May. 28, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.07% (three month average)
RSI   63
Latest Price   $730.4000(2.9%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ERX declines -0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ERX advances 3.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ERX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
OIH(89%)    XOP(87%)    IWM(66%)    SPY(65%)    USO(62%)
Factors Impacting ERX price   ERX will decline at least -1.535% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    SHY(-5%)    IGOV(-5%)    GLD(4%)    TIP(7%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.535% (StdDev 3.07%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $725.6(0.66%)
10 Day Moving Average   $719.36(1.53%)
20 Day Moving Average   $690.5(5.78%)
To recent high   -3%
To recent low   36.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. ERX is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. ERX price fluctuates within 5.73% (three month std-dev: 3.07%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 0.54%(33%) Average negative next day return: -1.85%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 3.32%(67%) Average negative next three day return: -7.87%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 5.58%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.66%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130628

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_28_2013	627.92	690.5	719.36	725.6	720.34	719.31	730.4(2.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	180	-30	194	139	0.06	53%	0.49	79.9	3.07%	0	1	63	0
2	May_24_2013	624.86	685.14	714.11	730.1	724.83	704.46	709.8(-1.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-276	-220	-345	-69	0.06	52%	0.31	83.6	3.22%	0	0.6	63	0
3	May_23_2013	622.91	680.05	711.01	732.32	733.47	721.36	719(-0.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-298	-110	-373	-71	0.07	52%	0.33	88.7	3.24%	0	0.9	69	0
4	May_22_2013	620.87	674.46	707.78	725.64	734.62	745.19	720.9(-3.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	112	140	106	128	0.12	54%	0.17	89.2	3.27%	0	1	75	0
5	May_21_2013	619.83	668.68	704.41	720.96	722.81	745.58	747.9(-0.66%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	430	230	475	294	0.09	56%	0.44	91	3.25%	0	1.6	86	0

6	May_20_2013	617.12	660.28	697.56	712.04	708.07	724.05	752.9(4.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	447	140	494	304	0.08	52%	0.5	86.3	3.26%	0	1.9	74	0
7	May_17_2013	614.07	650.64	688.8	696.46	695.9	700.05	720.9(5.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	207	40	215	182	0.07	52%	0.41	78.5	3.33%	0	1.4	73	0
8	May_16_2013	611.59	641.84	682.15	687.18	686.2	692.1	685.6(-1.71%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	66	60	49	118	0.05	49%	0.34	63.9	3.3%	0	0.9	72	0
9	May_15_2013	609.5	635.13	676.36	687.14	681.39	691.75	697.5(-0.82%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	190	80	192	183	0.07	48%	0.15	50.8	3.32%	0	1.2	74	0
10	May_14_2013	608.59	627.07	666.91	685.04	679.4	680.3	703.3(4.19%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	159	-20	156	167	0.05	48%	0.37	40.4	3.34%	0	1.5	76	0

11	May_13_2013	606.35	620.28	659.3	680.96	677.9	671.03	675(0.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-86	-80	-135	61	0.03	46%	0.3	33	3.31%	0	1.1	77	0
12	May_10_2013	604.55	614.05	654.05	679.84	680.38	678.51	674.5(-1.59%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-34	-20	-80	104	0.05	46%	0.27	26.7	3.27%	0	1.2	80	0
13	May_9_2013	602.91	611.3	647.09	675.96	679.04	684.76	685.4(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	157	70	140	206	0.04	46%	0.31	26.5	3.29%	0	1.5	85	0
14	May_8_2013	601.04	609.26	638.92	663.36	669.12	682.25	687(0.6%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	301	160	310	273	0.04	47%	0.3	25.1	3.31%	0	1.7	83	0
15	May_7_2013	599.27	606.77	630.32	645.56	651.62	673.33	682.9(2.02%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	410	260	441	318	0.06	47%	0.33	19.3	3.33%	0	1.8	84	0

16	May_6_2013	597.27	603.99	619.9	634.6	632.76	656	669.4(2.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	460	250	503	331	0.05	47%	0.34	12.5	3.32%	0	1.6	68	0
17	May_3_2013	595.27	601.24	609.01	624.9	621.57	629.91	655.1(5.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	359	80	387	276	0.08	47%	0.3	1.9	3.29%	0	1.4	70	0
18	May_2_2013	593.49	598.77	597.81	614.42	614.29	609.51	622.4(4.08%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	3	-60	-21	73	0.08	44%	0.22	-12.2	3.25%	0	0.7	48	0
19	May_1_2013	592.17	597.92	590.47	610.84	610.75	613.23	598(-4.79%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-74	30	-100	4	0.09	42%	0.19	-22.4	3.23%	0	0	40	0
20	Apr_30_2013	591.06	598.53	584.45	612	611.62	619.08	628.1(1.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	207	80	239	109	0.07	44%	0.26	-27.1	3.17%	0	0.8	45	0

21	Apr_29_2013	589.54	599.04	578.32	602.46	605.48	608.27	620.9(3.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	150	50	183	49	0.06	47%	0.24	-32.5	3.18%	0	0.6	46	0
22	Apr_26_2013	588.11	600.49	570.96	590.48	594.31	604.17	602.7(-0.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	103	140	141	-11	0.07	47%	0.23	-39.2	3.2%	0	0.1	47	0
23	Apr_25_2013	586.78	603.14	572.58	578.42	583.13	602.69	604.5(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	349	260	435	90	0.08	47%	0.24	-42.4	3.22%	0	0	49	0
24	Apr_24_2013	585.39	606.01	576.76	566.96	568.23	584.45	603.8(4.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	373	210	465	95	0.08	47%	0.25	-45.3	3.24%	0	-0.1	50	0
25	Apr_23_2013	583.91	608.71	580.44	552.9	554.51	563.58	580.4(3.46%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.6	188	120	252	-5	0.1	45%		-49.5	3.21%	0	-0.6	46	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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