Trading Signals: ERX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ERX: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Dec. 26, 2012

Trading Signals: ERX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 6, 2008 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Energy Bull 3X ETF)
ERX latest price $483.1000 (-1.23%) ($481.0000 - $498.9000) on Wed. Dec. 26, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.01% (three month average)
RSI   57
Latest Price   $483.1000(-1.23%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ERX declines -1.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ERX advances 1.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ERX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
OIH(89%)    XOP(87%)    IWM(66%)    SPY(65%)    USO(62%)
Factors Impacting ERX price   ERX will decline at least -1.505% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    SHY(-5%)    IGOV(-5%)    GLD(5%)    TIP(6%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.505% (StdDev 3.01%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -3%

Resistance Level   $486.7
5 Day Moving Average   $499.32(-3.25%)
10 Day Moving Average   $496.35(-2.67%)
20 Day Moving Average   $486.7(-0.74%)
To recent high   -14.8%
To recent low   12.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. ERX is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. ERX price fluctuates within 3.07% (three month std-dev: 3.01%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130126

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_26_2012	505.03	486.7	496.35	499.32	498.73	492.24	483.1(-1.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-111	-90	-141	-20	0.05	48%	0.04	51.8	3.01%	0	-0.2	57	0
2	Dec_24_2012	504.83	485.73	497.38	506.16	504.52	496.7	489.1(-2.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-125	-120	-166	-2	0.03	48%	0.04	60.6	3.02%	0	0.2	62	0
3	Dec_21_2012	504.65	484.94	496.96	506.56	506.95	505.23	501.8(-2.94%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.3	-49	-20	-79	41	0.11	48%	0.12	73.2	3.01%	0	1.1	64	0
4	Dec_20_2012	504.02	484.04	495.2	501.64	503.66	512.34	517(2.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	153	130	160	131	0.05	48%	0.11	82.4	2.99%	0	2.1	65	0
5	Dec_19_2012	503.45	481.45	490.94	495.02	494.69	508.67	505.6(-2.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	266	200	297	171	0.08	48%	0.1	92.7	2.98%	0	1.7	62	0

6	Dec_18_2012	502.93	479.11	487.48	493.14	488.23	494.99	517.3(5.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	233	70	260	152	0.09	48%	0.09	98.2	2.98%	0	2.8	68	0
7	Dec_17_2012	502.47	476.33	481.8	487.94	486.87	480.71	491.1(2.91%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	-10	-100	-23	29	0.05	44%	0.05	120.6	2.91%	0	1.4	66	0
8	Dec_14_2012	502.24	473.67	479.46	486.22	488.01	481.48	477.2(-1.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-181	-80	-222	-56	0.04	45%	0.07	88.8	2.9%	0	0.3	53	0
9	Dec_13_2012	501.9	471.51	479.28	487.5	490.06	493.03	483.9(-2.48%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	3	60	-6	30	0.07	49%	0.15	70.3	2.95%	0	0.8	48	0
10	Dec_12_2012	501.13	468.87	478.51	485.76	488.33	494.55	496.2(1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	177	110	199	111	0.08	49%	0.18	48.2	3.01%	0	1.5	62	0

11	Dec_11_2012	500.24	466.25	476.14	480.7	481.53	487.09	491.3(1.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	128	90	143	83	0.07	49%	0.13	24	3.02%	0	1.4	64	0
12	Dec_10_2012	499.59	464.11	473.03	474.78	476.28	482.1	482.5(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	129	100	148	70	0.05	49%	0.08	4.1	3.04%	0	1.1	58	0
13	Dec_7_2012	499.17	462.33	471.93	471.78	471.91	475.96	483.6(1.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	92	60	103	59	0.08	52%	0.09	-9.4	3.04%	0	1.3	69	0
14	Dec_6_2012	498.71	460.49	471.87	470.02	470.9	470.46	475.2(0.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	34	-0	30	47	0.06	55%	0.08	-28.6	3.11%	0	0.9	69	0
15	Dec_5_2012	498.29	460.24	471.11	470.3	472.11	467.85	470.9(1.99%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-54	-50	-78	19	0.11	55%	0.1	-35.3	3.19%	0	0.7	69	0

16	Dec_4_2012	497.8	462.07	470.08	470.98	474.49	471.34	461.7(-1.24%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-41	-20	-65	33	0.08	55%	0.11	-24.7	3.18%	0	-0	58	0
17	Dec_3_2012	497.26	463.4	470.55	470.76	473.01	476.38	467.5(-1.54%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	21	60	5	67	0.09	55%	0.13	-25.1	3.19%	0	0.2	57	0
18	Nov_30_2012	496.61	463.91	467.72	471.78	470.25	477.65	474.8(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	131	100	135	119	0.06	55%	0.19	-24.5	3.2%	0	0.5	60	0
19	Nov_29_2012	495.67	465.14	463.52	474	468.92	469.64	476.6(0.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	109	-20	109	109	0.13	55%	0.18	-18.5	3.23%	0	0.5	61	0
20	Nov_28_2012	494.77	465.97	458.84	472.18	468.78	462.85	474.3(2.97%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-64	-110	-88	10	0.14	55%	0.21	-26.3	3.24%	0	0.3	49	0

21	Nov_27_2012	493.74	467.01	455.8	469.2	469.81	468.2	460.6(-2.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-71	-20	-87	-22	0.08	55%	0.14	-36.5	3.22%	0	-0.3	35	0
22	Nov_26_2012	493.03	468.71	454.71	470.06	468.23	474.7	472.6(-2.74%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	77	90	90	36	0.1	55%	0.16	-47.1	3.2%	0	0.2	45	0
23	Nov_23_2012	492.26	469.18	452.03	462.61	465.21	471.41	485.9(3.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	232	110	282	83	0.07	55%	0.16	-66.3	3.19%	0	0.6	51	0
24	Nov_21_2012	491.49	469.41	447.86	451.43	452.98	461.76	467.5(1.76%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	96	150	136	-23	0.07	53%	0.08	-86	3.15%	0	-0.1	40	0
25	Nov_20_2012	491.1	472.33	447.95	443.55	444.5	459	459.4(-1.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	221	230	290	12	0.09	53%		-90.8	3.15%	0	-0.5	41	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.