Trading Signals: ERX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Nov. 29, 2012

Trading Signals: ERX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 6, 2008 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Energy Bull 3X ETF)
ERX latest price $476.6000 (0.48%) ($471.1000 - $487.5000) on Thu. Nov. 29, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.23% (three month average)
RSI   61
Latest Price   $476.6000(0.48%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ERX advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ERX advances 3.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ERX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
OIH(89%)    XOP(87%)    IWM(66%)    SPY(65%)    USO(62%)
Factors Impacting ERX price   ERX will decline at least -1.615% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    SHY(-5%)    IGOV(-4%)    GLD(5%)    TIP(6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.615% (StdDev 3.23%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1%

5 Day Moving Average   $474(0.55%)
10 Day Moving Average   $463.52(2.82%)
20 Day Moving Average   $465.14(2.46%)
To recent high   -20.7%
To recent low   11.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. ERX is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. ERX price fluctuates within 4.93% (three month std-dev: 3.23%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20121229

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_29_2012	495.67	465.14	463.52	474	468.92	469.64	476.6(0.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	109	-20	109	109	0.13	55%	0.18	-18.5	3.23%	0	0.5	61	NAN
2	Nov_28_2012	494.77	465.97	458.84	472.18	468.78	462.85	474.3(2.97%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-64	-110	-88	10	0.14	55%	0.21	-26.3	3.24%	0	0.3	49	NAN
3	Nov_27_2012	493.74	467.01	455.8	469.2	469.81	468.2	460.6(-2.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-71	-20	-87	-22	0.08	55%	0.14	-36.5	3.22%	0	-0.3	35	NAN
4	Nov_26_2012	493.03	468.71	454.71	470.06	468.23	474.7	472.6(-2.74%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	77	90	90	36	0.1	55%	0.16	-47.1	3.2%	0	0.2	45	NAN
5	Nov_23_2012	492.26	469.18	452.03	462.61	465.21	471.41	485.9(3.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	232	110	282	83	0.07	55%	0.16	-66.3	3.19%	0	0.6	51	NAN

6	Nov_21_2012	491.49	469.41	447.86	451.43	452.98	461.76	467.5(1.76%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	96	150	136	-23	0.07	53%	0.08	-86	3.15%	0	-0.1	40	NAN
7	Nov_20_2012	491.1	472.33	447.95	443.55	444.5	459	459.4(-1.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	221	230	290	12	0.09	53%	0.13	-90.8	3.15%	0	-0.5	41	NAN
8	Nov_19_2012	490.48	476.11	452.66	440.59	439.21	444.2	464.9(6.79%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.8	197	70	263	-2	0.13	53%	0.14	-81.2	3.14%	0	-0.4	41	NAN
9	Nov_16_2012	489.8	480.83	454.81	437.59	435.84	429.99	435.36(1.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-137	-110	-125	-171	0.13	49%	0.14	-71	3.02%	0	-1.4	33	NAN
10	Nov_15_2012	489.1	487.2	459.28	439.99	440.99	434.23	430(0.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-177	-100	-173	-187	0.1	49%	0.15	-56.7	3.04%	0	-1.5	37	NAN

11	Nov_14_2012	488.38	493.1	466.71	443.61	445.53	441.68	428.07(-3.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-172	-50	-171	-176	0.14	49%	0.18	-51.7	3.04%	0	-1.7	34	NAN
12	Nov_13_2012	487.48	498.01	473.9	452.68	451.43	447.75	444.6(-1.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-140	-70	-135	-156	0.09	51%	0.24	-49.8	3.01%	0	-1.4	30	NAN
13	Nov_12_2012	486.3	501.75	479.5	466.64	460.25	449.38	449.9(0.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-234	-210	-249	-187	0.07	51%	0.21	-45.6	3.01%	0	-1.5	29	NAN
14	Nov_9_2012	485.29	505.59	484.41	474.96	474.54	455.12	447.4(-0.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-334	-290	-365	-240	0.14	51%	0.22	-45	3.01%	0	-1.8	25	NAN
15	Nov_8_2012	484.24	509.07	488.52	481.45	483.55	471.12	448.1(-5.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-430	-170	-474	-298	0.13	51%	0.12	-46.1	3.02%	0	-2	25	NAN

16	Nov_7_2012	483.67	513.89	493.65	492.83	491.7	493.96	473.4(-7.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-102	30	-88	-142	0.19	55%	0.16	-42.5	2.95%	0	-1.5	35	NAN
17	Nov_6_2012	482.89	517.31	499.38	497.76	496.29	495.99	514.4(4.66%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.7	95	-10	140	-42	0.11	61%	0.29	-40.5	2.82%	0	-0.1	49	NAN
18	Nov_5_2012	481.51	518.38	501.39	494.74	494.46	489.44	491.5(2.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-168	-70	-168	-167	0.09	58%	0.22	-43	2.76%	0	-1	46	NAN
19	Nov_2_2012	480.45	520.91	508.44	495.82	497.88	496.59	479.84(-4.98%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-62	-10	-50	-99	0.14	59%	0.23	-43.4	2.87%	0	-1.6	41	NAN
20	Nov_1_2012	479.33	523.37	516.86	496.59	497.76	499.47	505(1.4%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	6	30	24	-50	0.06	63%	0.33	-45.2	2.86%	0	-0.8	51	NAN

21	Oct_31_2012	477.77	525.35	520.93	494.61	496.27	499.17	498.04(-0.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	28	50	51	-41	0.09	63%	0.79	-47.4	2.86%	0	-1.2	41	NAN
22	Oct_26_2012	474.03	527.7	523.56	501.4	495.71	496.05	499.3(0.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-61	-30	-56	-75	0.11	69%	0.28	-44.4	2.93%	0	-1.3	41	NAN
23	Oct_25_2012	472.69	529.63	525.48	509.6	504.54	493.38	496.9(2.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-173	-180	-191	-118	0.11	69%	0.28	-41.8	3.1%	0	-1.6	42	NAN
24	Oct_24_2012	471.35	532.06	528.45	523.64	519.14	495.38	483.7(-2.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-447	-350	-520	-229	0.13	66%	0.32	-29.6	3.09%	0	-2.4	37	NAN
25	Oct_23_2012	469.83	534.27	531.85	540.1	536.81	515.71	495.1(-6.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.7	-501	-290	-591	-229	0.21	66%		-18.1	3.13%	0	-2.4	45	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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