Trading Signals: ERX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Sat. Oct. 20, 2012

Trading Signals: ERX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 6, 2008 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Energy Bull 3X ETF)
ERX latest price $540.3000 (-4.73%) ($534.2000 - $568.9000) on Sat. Oct. 20, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.02% (three month average)
RSI   49
Latest Price   $540.3000(-4.73%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ERX advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ERX advances 1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ERX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)
Factors Impacting ERX price   ERX will decline at least -1.51% in a week (0% probabilities).
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.51% (StdDev 3.02%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -4.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $548.32(-1.46%)
10 Day Moving Average   $537.5(0.52%)
20 Day Moving Average   $537.59(0.5%)
To recent high   -10.1%
To recent low   32%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. ERX is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. ERX price fluctuates within 2.87% (three month std-dev: 3.02%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 1.92%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 3.71%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 3.34%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20121120

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_19_2012	466.04	537.59	537.5	548.32	553.39	557.9	540.3(-4.73%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	48	80	49	43	0.08	71%	0.41	-24.4	3.02%	0	0.2	49	NAN
2	Oct_18_2012	464.12	538.56	537.16	543.14	543.91	560.99	567.1(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	290	220	337	148	0.07	76%	0.45	-42.5	2.95%	0	1.8	59	NAN
3	Oct_17_2012	462.03	538.01	534.17	534.24	532.08	548.89	566(3.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	396	210	467	181	0.08	76%	0.37	-65.3	2.96%	0	1.8	56	NAN
4	Oct_16_2012	460.31	537.28	529.71	523.12	524.2	526.83	547(4.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	200	40	243	69	0.08	74%	0.19	-80.5	2.96%	0	0.6	59	NAN
5	Oct_15_2012	459.43	538.28	529.11	521.82	519.68	515.28	521.2(1.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-168	-70	-189	-105	0.08	73%	0.32	-64.1	2.91%	0	-0.9	46	NAN

6	Oct_12_2012	457.98	541.35	531.31	525.46	527.06	521.58	514.4(-1.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-85	-60	-92	-62	0.07	75%	0.29	-38.5	2.97%	0	-1.2	39	NAN
7	Oct_11_2012	456.64	545.54	533.58	530.06	531.45	524.08	522.6(2.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-166	-90	-188	-100	0.08	75%	0.31	-19.1	2.97%	0	-1	38	NAN
8	Oct_10_2012	455.24	548.31	535.67	533.8	535.45	532.54	510.4(-5.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-134	-30	-150	-84	0.1	70%	0.29	0.5	2.99%	0	-1.8	35	NAN
9	Oct_9_2012	453.92	550.48	537.18	536.6	539.57	538.83	540.5(0.2%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.2	24	10	37	-16	0.06	76%	0.35	21.6	2.96%	0	-0.5	44	NAN
10	Oct_8_2012	452.33	550.56	536.77	537.4	536.61	538.37	539.4(0.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-66	20	-65	-67	0.03	76%	0.41	35.8	2.97%	0	-0.5	39	NAN

11	Oct_5_2012	450.5	550	538	538.22	539.74	540.32	537.4(-0.72%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	56	20	81	-18	0.06	76%	0.38	44.5	3%	0	-0.6	34	NAN
12	Oct_4_2012	448.78	549.8	540.3	537.82	540.81	534.84	541.3(3.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-69	-60	-62	-88	0.09	76%	0.38	51.1	3.05%	0	-0.4	31	NAN
13	Oct_3_2012	447.1	548.2	542.12	538.16	539.91	539.16	524.4(-3.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-134	0	-137	-123	0.11	77%	0.33	44.8	3.06%	0	-0.9	35	NAN
14	Oct_2_2012	445.63	546.26	545.43	537.46	541.3	546.77	544.5(0.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	113	90	152	-6	0.05	81%	0.34	36	3.13%	0	-0.1	50	NAN
15	Oct_1_2012	444.14	543.37	547.9	535.92	535.85	540.66	543.5(1.51%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	46	60	72	-33	0.08	81%	0.29	31.2	3.13%	0	0	53	NAN

16	Sep_28_2012	442.86	540.96	551.8	537.96	536.13	535.83	535.4(-1.4%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	11	-10	24	-29	0.09	83%	0.25	29.7	3.29%	0	-0.2	56	NAN
17	Sep_27_2012	441.75	538.4	558.1	543.44	540.76	531.04	543(4.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-137	-140	-159	-72	0.08	84%	0.28	30.3	3.28%	0	0.1	56	NAN
18	Sep_26_2012	440.5	536.13	561.67	547.18	548.68	536.43	520.9(-2.96%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-234	-150	-281	-92	0.1	83%	0.21	30.6	3.31%	0	-0.4	59	NAN
19	Sep_25_2012	439.56	535.43	565.13	554.32	555.37	550.48	536.8(-3.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-158	-60	-202	-24	0.09	77%	0.24	35.8	3.3%	0	0	69	NAN
20	Sep_24_2012	438.51	533.79	566.03	561.28	559.31	560.93	553.7(-1.62%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-14	10	-42	72	0.1	77%	0.28	39.8	3.38%	0	0.5	72	NAN

21	Sep_21_2012	437.3	531.22	563.61	567.64	564.36	560.27	562.8(0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	14	-70	-17	108	0.08	68%	0.22	43.5	3.37%	0	0.8	70	NAN
22	Sep_20_2012	436.32	527.71	560.64	575.3	569.7	557.69	561.7(0.92%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-172	-180	-242	40	0.1	68%	0.17	47.3	3.73%	0	0.9	72	NAN
23	Sep_19_2012	435.58	524.94	555.32	578.68	581.44	568.45	556.6(-2.62%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.6	-114	-140	-178	80	0.1	69%	0.1	52.4	3.73%	0	0.8	65	NAN
24	Sep_18_2012	435.15	522.24	547.94	577.18	581.59	581.71	571.6(-2.37%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.1	-62	20	-116	99	0.11	69%	0.18	52.9	3.74%	0	1.3	66	NAN
25	Sep_17_2012	434.35	518.88	539.07	570.8	575.62	594.43	585.5(-2.6%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	284	250	295	250	0.1	69%		51.5	3.74%	0	1.9	69	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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