Trading Signals: ERX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ERX: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Jun. 18, 2012

Trading Signals: ERX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 6, 2008 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Energy Bull 3X ETF)
ERX latest price $380.3000 (-2.31%) ($373.2900 - $383.4000) on Mon. Jun. 18, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.62% (three month average)
RSI   45
Latest Price   $380.3000(-2.31%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ERX advances 1.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ERX advances 3.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ERX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
OIH(89%)    XOP(87%)    IWM(66%)    SPY(66%)    USO(62%)
Factors Impacting ERX price   ERX will decline at least -1.81% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-26%)    SHY(-5%)    IGOV(-3%)    TIP(6%)    GLD(7%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.81% (StdDev 3.62%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $371.9(2.26%)
10 Day Moving Average   $364.8(4.25%)
20 Day Moving Average   $365.42(4.07%)
To recent high   -35.2%
To recent low   16.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. ERX is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. ERX price fluctuates within 5.45% (three month std-dev: 3.62%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120718

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_18_2012	478.1	365.42	364.8	371.9	370.54	380.54	380.3(-2.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	145	180	155	113	0.2	41%	-0.27	-3.7	3.62%	0	0.7	45	NAN
2	Jun_15_2012	479.39	364.37	359.5	366.34	366.12	372.58	389.3(4.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	178	120	205	97	0.21	42%	-0.26	-24.6	3.65%	0	1.3	52	NAN
3	Jun_14_2012	480.63	363.19	353.19	361.66	362.05	360.55	370.9(4.92%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.5	13	-30	21	-13	0.17	39%	-0.34	-45.6	3.59%	0	0.4	47	NAN
4	Jun_13_2012	482.28	363.35	350.94	360.7	361.23	359.66	353.5(-3.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-87	-30	-91	-76	0.14	39%	-0.34	-57	3.54%	0	-0.5	42	NAN
5	Jun_12_2012	483.93	364.66	351.47	362.86	365.05	363.54	365.5(3.69%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.1	20	-10	36	-28	0.15	39%	-0.32	-64.8	3.56%	0	0	46	NAN

6	Jun_11_2012	485.5	366.16	353.86	356.38	363.22	362.81	352.5(-3.66%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	13	50	32	-43	0.18	37%	-0.33	-76.3	3.52%	0	-0.7	40	NAN
7	Jun_8_2012	487.09	369.26	356.33	350.96	354.17	366.57	365.9(-0.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	95	270	130	-11	0.17	38%	-0.3	-77.8	3.5%	0	-0.1	53	NAN
8	Jun_7_2012	488.54	372.01	357.72	343.14	345.45	363.63	366.1(0.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	330	390	411	87	0.27	38%	-0.28	-83.3	3.51%	0	-0.2	50	NAN
9	Jun_6_2012	489.93	374.52	359.23	340	334.4	341.76	364.3(9.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	159	100	211	2	0.3	37%	-0.24	-91	3.53%	0	-0.4	48	NAN
10	Jun_5_2012	491.12	377.55	360.63	339.18	333.91	327.27	333.1(2.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-114	-190	-107	-134	0.26	32%	-0.33	-96.9	3.34%	0	-1.5	36	NAN

11	Jun_4_2012	492.75	382.54	365.92	351.66	343.89	327.04	325.4(-0.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-337	-410	-377	-217	0.21	32%	-0.31	-95.1	3.32%	0	-1.9	29	NAN
12	Jun_1_2012	494.26	388.13	369.99	362.5	361.06	340.55	326.8(-6.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-389	-410	-439	-238	0.31	32%	-0.31	-98	3.33%	0	-2.1	26	NAN
13	May_31_2012	495.82	395.07	374.76	373.84	374.07	360.74	350.4(-2.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-356	-250	-402	-219	0.28	34%	-0.29	-90.2	3.28%	0	-1.5	28	NAN
14	May_30_2012	497.26	401.8	377.62	380.7	382.12	381.58	360.2(-8.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-104	0	-105	-102	0.27	34%	-0.31	-73.6	3.29%	0	-1.2	32	NAN
15	May_29_2012	498.81	409.16	379.81	384.82	383.23	387.4	395.5(4.19%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.3	64	60	97	-35	0.15	37%	-0.2	-55.7	3.15%	0	-0.3	37	NAN

16	May_25_2012	499.79	413.73	379.78	382.69	381.27	382.67	379.6(-1.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	46	10	83	-64	0.09	34%	-0.25	-47.6	3.06%	0	-0.8	28	NAN
17	May_24_2012	501.03	418.97	383.27	378.83	379.51	379.06	383.5(-0.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-4	-0	29	-103	0.15	34%	-0.25	-46.1	3.08%	0	-0.8	28	NAN
18	May_23_2012	502.31	424.09	387.13	375.95	375.66	379.88	384.7(1.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-37	80	-2	-140	0.22	34%	-0.24	-45.1	3.09%	0	-0.8	23	NAN
19	May_22_2012	503.53	428.68	390.42	374.25	375.99	379.96	380.8(-1.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	77	90	140	-114	0.19	34%	-0.25	-45.7	3.1%	0	-1	18	NAN
20	May_21_2012	504.79	432.92	395.01	374.13	375.71	371.45	384.84(6.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-97	-70	-54	-224	0.15	34%	-0.17	-47.7	3.1%	0	-1.1	16	NAN

21	May_18_2012	505.66	436.58	399.62	376.98	379.79	372.03	360.3(-2.38%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-259	-120	-237	-323	0.21	30%	-0.22	-46.8	2.98%	0	-1.7	14	NAN
22	May_17_2012	506.78	441.7	407.32	388.58	388.04	379.98	369.1(-1.89%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-280	-150	-264	-327	0.25	30%	-0.18	-43.3	2.99%	0	-1.8	18	NAN
23	May_16_2012	507.67	446.47	416.95	400.02	399.81	387.55	376.2(-1.05%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-283	-220	-273	-312	0.23	30%	-0.21	-41.3	3%	0	-1.9	19	NAN
24	May_15_2012	508.76	451.05	428.08	408.86	411.44	396.1	380.2(-4.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-334	-240	-341	-312	0.24	30%	-0.26	-36.7	3.05%	0	-2.2	25	NAN
25	May_14_2012	510.1	455.59	441.22	418.64	417.93	412.06	399.1(-4.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-296	-100	-307	-262	0.2	31%		-29.8	3%	0	-2	34	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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