Trading Signals: ERX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ERX: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Mar. 26, 2012

Trading Signals: ERX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 6, 2008 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Energy Bull 3X ETF)
ERX latest price $539.0000 (2.47%) ($530.7000 - $540.4000) on Mon. Mar. 26, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.79% (three month average)
RSI   52
Latest Price   $539.0000(2.47%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ERX declines -1.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ERX declines -1.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ERX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
OIH(89%)    XOP(88%)    IWM(67%)    SPY(66%)    USO(62%)
Factors Impacting ERX price   ERX will decline at least -1.395% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-27%)    SHY(-5%)    IGOV(-2%)    TIP(5%)    GLD(7%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.395% (StdDev 2.79%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

Resistance Level   $557.76
5 Day Moving Average   $535.77(0.6%)
10 Day Moving Average   $551.11(-2.2%)
20 Day Moving Average   $557.76(-3.36%)
To recent high   -11%
To recent low   18.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. ERX is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. ERX price fluctuates within 4.03% (three month std-dev: 2.79%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 1.82%(60%) Average negative next day return: -1.52%(40%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 4.58%(60%) Average negative next three day return: -3.6%(40%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 6.36%(40%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.3%(60%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120426

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_26_2012	506.9	557.76	551.11	535.77	530.96	527.83	539(2.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	68	-70	90	3	0.18	52%	0.06	-65	2.79%	0	-0.8	52	0
2	Mar_23_2012	506.59	560.7	552.38	545.33	537.99	517.91	526(3.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-407	-300	-473	-208	0.26	52%	0.03	-46.2	2.79%	0	-1.5	42	0
3	Mar_22_2012	506.42	564.66	555.73	555.25	553.83	534.1	510(-6.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-499	-260	-586	-238	0.23	49%	0.07	-29	2.78%	0	-2.3	37	0
4	Mar_21_2012	506.06	569.22	561.01	564.25	567.1	558.07	543.2(-3.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-255	-100	-301	-116	0.16	57%	0.22	-10.3	2.7%	0	-1.3	38	0
5	Mar_20_2012	504.96	571.51	561.88	566.25	568.12	573.57	560.64(-4.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-34	80	-39	-17	0.14	72%	0.16	1.8	2.69%	0	-0.6	47	0

6	Mar_19_2012	504.17	572.74	559.81	568.27	567.06	576.14	586.8(1.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	241	110	288	99	0.18	80%	0.06	14.7	2.96%	0	0.7	46	0
7	Mar_16_2012	503.88	571.94	557.28	560.89	561.94	562.67	575.63(3.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	101	10	131	11	0.22	80%	0.06	14.3	3.03%	0	0.2	42	0
8	Mar_15_2012	503.59	571.51	556.61	557.08	556.96	557.99	555(0.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-72	10	-67	-86	0.22	78%	0.13	13.1	3.02%	0	-0.9	35	0
9	Mar_14_2012	502.92	571.25	560	557.54	558.25	561.21	553.2(-3.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	72	40	102	-20	0.13	63%	0.19	12.7	3.03%	0	-0.9	37	0
10	Mar_13_2012	501.95	571.18	562.17	556.6	556.84	555.93	570.7(3.78%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.7	33	-10	58	-41	0.19	68%	0.17	9.9	3.2%	0	-0	45	0

11	Mar_12_2012	501.12	569.91	564.24	549.96	552.55	555.29	549.9(-1.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-27	50	-10	-78	0.12	65%	0.16	0.3	3.19%	0	-0.9	39	0
12	Mar_9_2012	500.31	569.23	569.08	553.08	549.08	557.76	556.6(-0.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	79	90	110	-16	0.13	65%	0.23	4.8	3.32%	0	-0.6	47	0
13	Mar_8_2012	499.18	569	573.79	556.3	549.71	549.82	557.3(1.6%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	58	-30	81	-11	0.11	54%	0.24	18.5	3.41%	0	-0.5	49	0
14	Mar_7_2012	497.98	568.73	577.86	563.28	555.39	540.41	548.5(2.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-195	-230	-224	-107	0.18	54%	0.2	37.9	3.57%	0	-0.9	55	0
15	Mar_6_2012	496.98	569.19	582.08	568.7	566.1	549.6	537.5(-4.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-347	-220	-409	-162	0.18	54%	0.25	59.5	3.57%	0	-1.4	51	0

16	Mar_5_2012	495.72	569.86	587.39	580.32	578.83	570.36	565.5(-1.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-210	-110	-256	-70	0.09	60%	0.27	86.3	3.51%	0	-0.2	62	0
17	Mar_2_2012	494.39	568.16	588.49	587.2	587.57	582.6	572.7(-3.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-83	-60	-114	11	0.21	60%	0.38	93.2	3.53%	0	0.2	69	0
18	Mar_1_2012	492.53	564.84	588.29	593.78	592.46	587.3	592.2(2.88%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-79	-70	-115	29	0.16	60%	0.42	86.4	3.5%	0	1	66	0
19	Feb_29_2012	490.49	560.09	583.94	594.96	597.03	592.54	575.6(-3.36%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.6	-45	-40	-73	40	0.19	71%	0.4	74	3.97%	0	0.5	62	0
20	Feb_28_2012	488.54	555.91	581.53	597.42	597.96	597.63	595.6(-0.72%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-11	-0	-34	60	0.23	76%	0.45	65.7	3.98%	0	1.1	67	0

21	Feb_27_2012	486.36	551.13	576.37	595.36	596.22	601.51	599.9(-0.94%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	73	70	65	95	0.16	76%	0.56	60.7	4.16%	0	1.4	72	0
22	Feb_24_2012	483.66	546.4	569.5	589.82	593.16	598.3	605.6(1.25%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	143	80	150	123	0.12	76%	0.54	57.8	4.18%	0	1.7	79	0
23	Feb_23_2012	481.04	541.46	563.51	582.04	585.39	590.93	598.1(1.73%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	107	80	107	107	0.13	67%	0.57	55.8	4.21%	0	1.8	83	0
24	Feb_22_2012	478.32	537.9	558.25	571.4	576.42	588.03	587.9(0.44%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	162	170	172	130	0.19	67%	0.62	56.4	4.38%	0	1.7	83	0
25	Feb_21_2012	475.38	534.09	554.52	563.22	565.88	579.86	585.3(2.29%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	230	190	251	167	0.24	67%		58.6	4.4%	0	1.9	83	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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