Trading Signals: ERX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ERX: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Mar. 23, 2012

Trading Signals: ERX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 6, 2008 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Energy Bull 3X ETF)
ERX latest price $526.0000 (3.14%) ($504.6000 - $529.8000) on Fri. Mar. 23, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.79% (three month average)
RSI   42
Latest Price   $526.0000(3.14%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ERX declines -1.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ERX declines -0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ERX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
OIH(89%)    XOP(88%)    IWM(67%)    SPY(66%)    USO(62%)
Factors Impacting ERX price   ERX will decline at least -1.395% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-27%)    SHY(-5%)    IGOV(-2%)    TIP(5%)    GLD(7%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.395% (StdDev 2.79%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.6%

Resistance Level   $560.7
5 Day Moving Average   $545.33(-3.54%)
10 Day Moving Average   $552.38(-4.78%)
20 Day Moving Average   $560.7(-6.19%)
To recent high   -13.1%
To recent low   15.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. ERX is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. ERX price fluctuates within 4.26% (three month std-dev: 2.79%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -0.78%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -1.93%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0.53%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120423

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_23_2012	506.59	560.7	552.38	545.33	537.99	517.91	526(3.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-407	-300	-473	-208	0.26	52%	0.03	-46.2	2.79%	0	-1.5	42	NAN
2	Mar_22_2012	506.42	564.66	555.73	555.25	553.83	534.1	510(-6.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-499	-260	-586	-238	0.23	49%	0.07	-29	2.78%	0	-2.3	37	NAN
3	Mar_21_2012	506.06	569.22	561.01	564.25	567.1	558.07	543.2(-3.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-255	-100	-301	-116	0.16	57%	0.22	-10.3	2.7%	0	-1.3	38	NAN
4	Mar_20_2012	504.96	571.51	561.88	566.25	568.12	573.57	560.64(-4.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-34	80	-39	-17	0.14	72%	0.16	1.8	2.69%	0	-0.6	47	NAN
5	Mar_19_2012	504.17	572.74	559.81	568.27	567.06	576.14	586.8(1.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	241	110	288	99	0.18	80%	0.06	14.7	2.96%	0	0.7	46	NAN

6	Mar_16_2012	503.88	571.94	557.28	560.89	561.94	562.67	575.63(3.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	101	10	131	11	0.22	80%	0.06	14.3	3.03%	0	0.2	42	NAN
7	Mar_15_2012	503.59	571.51	556.61	557.08	556.96	557.99	555(0.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-72	10	-67	-86	0.22	78%	0.13	13.1	3.02%	0	-0.9	35	NAN
8	Mar_14_2012	502.92	571.25	560	557.54	558.25	561.21	553.2(-3.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	72	40	102	-20	0.13	63%	0.19	12.7	3.03%	0	-0.9	37	NAN
9	Mar_13_2012	501.95	571.18	562.17	556.6	556.84	555.93	570.7(3.78%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.7	33	-10	58	-41	0.19	68%	0.17	9.9	3.2%	0	-0	45	NAN
10	Mar_12_2012	501.12	569.91	564.24	549.96	552.55	555.29	549.9(-1.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-27	50	-10	-78	0.12	65%	0.16	0.3	3.19%	0	-0.9	39	NAN

11	Mar_9_2012	500.31	569.23	569.08	553.08	549.08	557.76	556.6(-0.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	79	90	110	-16	0.13	65%	0.23	4.8	3.32%	0	-0.6	47	NAN
12	Mar_8_2012	499.18	569	573.79	556.3	549.71	549.82	557.3(1.6%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	58	-30	81	-11	0.11	54%	0.24	18.5	3.41%	0	-0.5	49	NAN
13	Mar_7_2012	497.98	568.73	577.86	563.28	555.39	540.41	548.5(2.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-195	-230	-224	-107	0.18	54%	0.2	37.9	3.57%	0	-0.9	55	NAN
14	Mar_6_2012	496.98	569.19	582.08	568.7	566.1	549.6	537.5(-4.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-347	-220	-409	-162	0.18	54%	0.25	59.5	3.57%	0	-1.4	51	NAN
15	Mar_5_2012	495.72	569.86	587.39	580.32	578.83	570.36	565.5(-1.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-210	-110	-256	-70	0.09	60%	0.27	86.3	3.51%	0	-0.2	62	NAN

16	Mar_2_2012	494.39	568.16	588.49	587.2	587.57	582.6	572.7(-3.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-83	-60	-114	11	0.21	60%	0.38	93.2	3.53%	0	0.2	69	NAN
17	Mar_1_2012	492.53	564.84	588.29	593.78	592.46	587.3	592.2(2.88%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-79	-70	-115	29	0.16	60%	0.42	86.4	3.5%	0	1	66	NAN
18	Feb_29_2012	490.49	560.09	583.94	594.96	597.03	592.54	575.6(-3.36%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.6	-45	-40	-73	40	0.19	71%	0.4	74	3.97%	0	0.5	62	NAN
19	Feb_28_2012	488.54	555.91	581.53	597.42	597.96	597.63	595.6(-0.72%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-11	-0	-34	60	0.23	76%	0.45	65.7	3.98%	0	1.1	67	NAN
20	Feb_27_2012	486.36	551.13	576.37	595.36	596.22	601.51	599.9(-0.94%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	73	70	65	95	0.16	76%	0.56	60.7	4.16%	0	1.4	72	NAN

21	Feb_24_2012	483.66	546.4	569.5	589.82	593.16	598.3	605.6(1.25%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	143	80	150	123	0.12	76%	0.54	57.8	4.18%	0	1.7	79	NAN
22	Feb_23_2012	481.04	541.46	563.51	582.04	585.39	590.93	598.1(1.73%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	107	80	107	107	0.13	67%	0.57	55.8	4.21%	0	1.8	83	NAN
23	Feb_22_2012	478.32	537.9	558.25	571.4	576.42	588.03	587.9(0.44%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	162	170	172	130	0.19	67%	0.62	56.4	4.38%	0	1.7	83	NAN
24	Feb_21_2012	475.38	534.09	554.52	563.22	565.88	579.86	585.3(2.29%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	230	190	251	167	0.24	67%	1.02	58.6	4.4%	0	1.9	83	NAN
25	Feb_17_2012	470.59	530.55	550.18	554.58	555.18	564.81	572.2(0.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	194	120	208	150	0.16	67%		65.4	4.43%	0	1.7	74	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.