Trading Signals: ERX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ERX: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Aug. 12, 2011

Trading Signals: ERX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 6, 2008 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Energy Bull 3X ETF)
ERX latest price $478.9000 (2.46%) ($470.8000 - $497.3000) on Fri. Aug. 12, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   6.1% (three month average)
RSI   26
Latest Price   $478.9000(2.46%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ERX declines -2.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ERX declines -25.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ERX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
OIH(90%)    XOP(88%)    IWM(69%)    SPY(69%)    EEM(63%)
Factors Impacting ERX price   ERX will decline at least -3.05% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-32%)    SHY(-6%)    TIP(1%)    IGOV(2%)    GLD(7%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.05% (StdDev 6.1%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -3.6%

Resistance Level   $666.6
5 Day Moving Average   $441.68(8.43%)
10 Day Moving Average   $532.85(-10.12%)
20 Day Moving Average   $666.6(-28.16%)
To recent high   -44.6%
To recent low   19.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.04%

$. ERX is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.04% a day on average for holding it.$. ERX price fluctuates within 23.99% (three month std-dev: 6.1%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110912

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_12_2011	747.41	666.6	532.85	441.68	446.57	466.62	478.9(2.46%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.2	189	350	295	-131	0.41	43%	-0.48	-45.3	6.1%	0	-1.2	26	0
2	Aug_11_2011	751.01	682.47	558.91	451.9	434.88	436.69	467.4(14.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-90	-80	-33	-262	0.56	41%	-0.48	-46	6.09%	0	-1.4	24	0
3	Aug_10_2011	754.66	696.48	588.98	465.96	456.46	426.53	407(-10.59%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-318	-520	-300	-372	0.51	37%	-0.56	-48.8	5.85%	0	-2	15	0
4	Aug_9_2011	758.88	714.56	628.11	520.04	497.12	433.08	455.2(13.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-751	-1030	-819	-547	0.61	40%	-0.5	-46.8	5.73%	0	-2	23	0
5	Aug_8_2011	762.67	729.45	666.75	566.7	559.19	486.39	399.9(-24.55%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.5	-986	-950	-1103	-633	0.78	35%	-0.49	-45.1	5.48%	0	-2.9	11	0

6	Aug_5_2011	766.39	747.83	713.53	636.58	628.69	561.16	530(-1.43%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.2	-1044	-790	-1181	-631	0.55	40%	-0.32	-41.5	4.59%	0	-2.5	24	0
7	Aug_4_2011	768.84	761.38	747.89	681.26	686.91	632	537.7(-20.62%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-2	-864	-530	-985	-502	0.55	38%	-0.23	-32.2	4.65%	0	-3.1	24	0
8	Aug_3_2011	770.59	775.43	781.05	729.1	728.19	696.21	677.4(-1.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-697	-310	-803	-380	0.28	42%	-0.09	-13.1	3.94%	0	-1.9	48	0
9	Aug_2_2011	771.29	780.4	795.01	752.56	755.53	741.83	688.5(-8.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-359	-120	-415	-189	0.26	41%	-0.1	7.8	4.04%	0	-2	48	0
10	Aug_1_2011	772.05	785	808.52	782.84	778.26	760.16	749.3(-0.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-234	-180	-282	-89	0.28	43%	-0.01	44.4	3.95%	0	-0.8	59	0

11	Jul_29_2011	772.09	785.76	812.04	803.38	798.55	769.23	753.4(-3.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-437	-280	-530	-158	0.15	45%	0.05	75.4	3.98%	0	-0.8	58	0
12	Jul_28_2011	771.72	785.28	816.19	825.7	821.87	796.36	776.9(-2.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-437	-230	-538	-134	0.25	45%	-0.04	99.8	4.02%	0	-0.2	52	0
13	Jul_27_2011	772.01	782.15	812.39	840.92	840.21	827.88	794.7(-5.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-231	-110	-298	-31	0.28	45%	-0.03	107.3	4.01%	0	0.3	51	0
14	Jul_26_2011	772.28	776.81	807.59	843.2	847.33	847.38	839.9(-1.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	25	20	3	91	0.2	46%	0	99.4	3.95%	0	1.2	61	0
15	Jul_25_2011	772.26	766.6	796.23	837.58	838.83	852.55	852(-1.5%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	158	120	163	142	0.19	46%	-0.01	84	3.97%	0	1.5	62	0

16	Jul_22_2011	772.3	755.2	783.78	821.88	827.38	847.28	865(1.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	399	190	453	237	0.19	46%	-0.01	69.3	3.97%	0	1.8	65	0
17	Jul_21_2011	772.35	744.55	774.11	805.88	805.77	825.1	853(5.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	322	170	365	193	0.24	46%	0.03	65.2	3.99%	0	1.8	67	0
18	Jul_20_2011	772.15	735.45	767.21	780.32	788.76	807.49	806.1(-0.7%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	359	200	411	201	0.19	47%	-0.02	60.1	3.93%	0	1.3	67	0
19	Jul_19_2011	772.33	729.21	762.57	766.62	771.25	786.44	811.8(4.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	287	160	327	167	0.29	47%	-0.07	54.7	4.02%	0	1.5	71	0
20	Jul_18_2011	772.88	720.92	757.6	748.72	756.34	770.04	773.5(-1.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	235	160	263	149	0.25	43%	-0.1	46	3.99%	0	1	75	0

21	Jul_15_2011	773.66	714.45	755.81	739.66	745.51	756.06	785(8.25%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	209	120	228	151	0.37	43%	-0.04	37.5	4.03%	0	1.3	77	0
22	Jul_14_2011	774	707.42	750.69	738.32	737.32	742.64	725.2(-1.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	55	50	41	95	0.42	40%	-0.17	31.4	3.9%	0	0.3	64	0
23	Jul_13_2011	775.3	703.53	749.48	752.5	743.57	734.96	737.6(2.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-28	-120	-63	79	0.33	40%	-0.09	34.2	3.91%	0	0.6	60	0
24	Jul_12_2011	776.02	700.86	744.44	757.84	756.23	732	722.3(-0.81%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-250	-230	-327	-17	0.52	38%	-0.07	38	3.9%	0	0.4	57	0
25	Jul_11_2011	776.57	697.41	736.42	767.12	764.36	752.18	728.2(-6.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-314	-120	-405	-41	0.49	36%		39.6	4.06%	0	0.6	64	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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