Trading Signals: ERX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ERX: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Aug. 5, 2011

Trading Signals: ERX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 6, 2008 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Energy Bull 3X ETF)
ERX latest price $530.0000 (-1.43%) ($468.0000 - $572.4800) on Fri. Aug. 5, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.59% (three month average)
RSI   24
Latest Price   $530.0000(-1.43%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ERX declines -6.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ERX declines -12.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ERX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
OIH(90%)    XOP(88%)    IWM(69%)    SPY(69%)    EEM(63%)
Factors Impacting ERX price   ERX will decline at least -2.295% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-32%)    SHY(-6%)    TIP(1%)    IGOV(2%)    LQD(7%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.295% (StdDev 4.59%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -6%

Resistance Level   $747.83
5 Day Moving Average   $636.58(-16.74%)
10 Day Moving Average   $713.53(-25.72%)
20 Day Moving Average   $747.83(-29.13%)
To recent high   -38.7%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.02%

$. ERX is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.02% a day on average for holding it.$. ERX price fluctuates within 11.64% (three month std-dev: 4.59%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110905

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_5_2011	766.39	747.83	713.53	636.58	628.69	561.16	530(-1.43%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.2	-1044	-790	-1181	-631	0.55	40%	-0.32	-41.5	4.59%	0	-2.5	24	0
2	Aug_4_2011	768.84	761.38	747.89	681.26	686.91	632	537.7(-20.62%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-2	-864	-530	-985	-502	0.55	38%	-0.23	-32.2	4.65%	0	-3.1	24	0
3	Aug_3_2011	770.59	775.43	781.05	729.1	728.19	696.21	677.4(-1.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-697	-310	-803	-380	0.28	42%	-0.09	-13.1	3.94%	0	-1.9	48	0
4	Aug_2_2011	771.29	780.4	795.01	752.56	755.53	741.83	688.5(-8.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-359	-120	-415	-189	0.26	41%	-0.1	7.8	4.04%	0	-2	48	0
5	Aug_1_2011	772.05	785	808.52	782.84	778.26	760.16	749.3(-0.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-234	-180	-282	-89	0.28	43%	-0.01	44.4	3.95%	0	-0.8	59	0

6	Jul_29_2011	772.09	785.76	812.04	803.38	798.55	769.23	753.4(-3.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-437	-280	-530	-158	0.15	45%	0.05	75.4	3.98%	0	-0.8	58	0
7	Jul_28_2011	771.72	785.28	816.19	825.7	821.87	796.36	776.9(-2.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-437	-230	-538	-134	0.25	45%	-0.04	99.8	4.02%	0	-0.2	52	0
8	Jul_27_2011	772.01	782.15	812.39	840.92	840.21	827.88	794.7(-5.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-231	-110	-298	-31	0.28	45%	-0.03	107.3	4.01%	0	0.3	51	0
9	Jul_26_2011	772.28	776.81	807.59	843.2	847.33	847.38	839.9(-1.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	25	20	3	91	0.2	46%	0	99.4	3.95%	0	1.2	61	0
10	Jul_25_2011	772.26	766.6	796.23	837.58	838.83	852.55	852(-1.5%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	158	120	163	142	0.19	46%	-0.01	84	3.97%	0	1.5	62	0

11	Jul_22_2011	772.3	755.2	783.78	821.88	827.38	847.28	865(1.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	399	190	453	237	0.19	46%	-0.01	69.3	3.97%	0	1.8	65	0
12	Jul_21_2011	772.35	744.55	774.11	805.88	805.77	825.1	853(5.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	322	170	365	193	0.24	46%	0.03	65.2	3.99%	0	1.8	67	0
13	Jul_20_2011	772.15	735.45	767.21	780.32	788.76	807.49	806.1(-0.7%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	359	200	411	201	0.19	47%	-0.02	60.1	3.93%	0	1.3	67	0
14	Jul_19_2011	772.33	729.21	762.57	766.62	771.25	786.44	811.8(4.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	287	160	327	167	0.29	47%	-0.07	54.7	4.02%	0	1.5	71	0
15	Jul_18_2011	772.88	720.92	757.6	748.72	756.34	770.04	773.5(-1.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	235	160	263	149	0.25	43%	-0.1	46	3.99%	0	1	75	0

16	Jul_15_2011	773.66	714.45	755.81	739.66	745.51	756.06	785(8.25%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	209	120	228	151	0.37	43%	-0.04	37.5	4.03%	0	1.3	77	0
17	Jul_14_2011	774	707.42	750.69	738.32	737.32	742.64	725.2(-1.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	55	50	41	95	0.42	40%	-0.17	31.4	3.9%	0	0.3	64	0
18	Jul_13_2011	775.3	703.53	749.48	752.5	743.57	734.96	737.6(2.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-28	-120	-63	79	0.33	40%	-0.09	34.2	3.91%	0	0.6	60	0
19	Jul_12_2011	776.02	700.86	744.44	757.84	756.23	732	722.3(-0.81%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-250	-230	-327	-17	0.52	38%	-0.07	38	3.9%	0	0.4	57	0
20	Jul_11_2011	776.57	697.41	736.42	767.12	764.36	752.18	728.2(-6.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-314	-120	-405	-41	0.49	36%	-0.14	39.6	4.06%	0	0.6	64	0

21	Jul_8_2011	777.62	694.88	726.71	772.98	771.54	780.45	778.3(-2.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	123	80	106	172	0.4	38%	-0.06	38.8	4.04%	0	1.6	72	0
22	Jul_7_2011	778.05	691.25	714.39	764.34	764.54	776.55	796.1(4.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	297	110	312	250	0.38	38%	-0	35.4	4.03%	0	2.1	74	0
23	Jul_6_2011	778.06	685.52	701.8	746.2	747.5	762.63	764.3(-0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	247	150	257	217	0.41	36%	-0.01	24.3	4%	0	1.8	72	0
24	Jul_5_2011	778.11	681.12	693.18	729.12	731.69	752.53	768.7(1.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	419	210	465	279	0.44	36%	0.01	2.7	4.01%	0	2.2	61	0
25	Jul_1_2011	778.02	676.55	680.58	701	705.87	732.37	757.5(3.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	453	280	515	265	0.34	36%		-28.3	3.98%	0	2.2	65	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.