Trading Signals: ERX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ERX: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Jan. 20, 2010

Trading Signals: ERX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 6, 2008 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Energy Bull 3X ETF)
ERX latest price $429.7000 (-4.57%) ($419.0000 - $436.0000) on Wed. Jan. 20, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.01% (three month average)
RSI   59
Latest Price   $429.7000(-4.57%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ERX declines -0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ERX advances 2.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ERX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
OIH(90%)    XOP(88%)    IWM(71%)    SPY(71%)    EEM(65%)
Factors Impacting ERX price   ERX will decline at least -2.005% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-34%)    SHY(-9%)    TIP(-1%)    IGOV(5%)    LQD(6%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.005% (StdDev 4.01%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.2%

Resistance Level   $432.17
5 Day Moving Average   $443.38(-3.09%)
10 Day Moving Average   $449.09(-4.32%)
20 Day Moving Average   $432.17(-0.57%)
To recent high   -16.9%
To recent low   19.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.02%

$. ERX is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.02% a day on average for holding it.$. ERX price fluctuates within 4.67% (three month std-dev: 4.01%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100220

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_20_2010	421.22	432.17	449.09	443.38	440.71	436.21	429.7(-4.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-76	-90	-100	-2	0.3	32%	0.28	73.4	4.01%	0	-0.1	59	NAN
2	Jan_19_2010	420.03	430.13	450.63	445.84	443.64	442.26	450.3(2.64%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	-23	-40	-42	35	0.18	33%	0.45	74.6	3.98%	0	0.9	62	NAN
3	Jan_15_2010	418.14	426.77	448.99	448.08	443.92	445.2	438.7(-2.75%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.4	-25	-10	-48	45	0.2	37%	0.2	71.3	3.95%	0	0.5	61	NAN
4	Jan_14_2010	417.29	424.37	445.44	452.78	449.82	445.01	451.1(0.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	31	-90	16	77	0.13	39%	0.22	77.1	4.03%	0	1	67	NAN
5	Jan_13_2010	416.36	421.03	441.47	453.56	451.52	442.64	447.1(1.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-124	-150	-168	9	0.2	39%	0.23	82	4.06%	0	1	69	NAN

6	Jan_12_2010	415.41	417.84	438.01	453.56	454	454.64	442(-4.23%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.5	-48	-0	-82	56	0.2	39%	0.18	84.8	4.06%	0	0.9	70	NAN
7	Jan_11_2010	414.67	414.55	435.72	455.74	455.46	460.4	461.5(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	151	70	147	162	0.17	41%	0.26	83.5	4.05%	0	1.7	81	NAN
8	Jan_8_2010	413.58	410.02	430.83	449.84	448.26	453.36	462.2(1.58%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	118	70	108	149	0.18	44%	0.33	78.3	4.05%	0	1.9	82	NAN
9	Jan_7_2010	412.22	404.88	425.32	436.76	440.35	450.53	455(-0.66%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	178	190	184	159	0.17	44%	0.34	61.2	4.14%	0	2	75	NAN
10	Jan_6_2010	410.84	400.07	419.74	427.48	428.63	443.16	458(3.62%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.3	228	250	246	173	0.21	47%	0.39	43.8	4.14%	0	2.4	77	NAN

11	Jan_5_2010	409.25	395.83	413.28	417.94	417.83	430.18	442(2.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	216	210	236	156	0.16	50%	0.37	33.3	4.19%	0	2.1	75	NAN
12	Jan_4_2010	407.76	392.49	407.4	413.1	412.45	414.1	432(8.87%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	110	20	113	101	0.2	50%	0.42	28.2	4.26%	0	2.1	76	NAN
13	Dec_31_2009	406.04	389.94	402.19	409.48	411.29	405.49	396.8(-2.89%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.8	-57	-90	-83	21	0.09	44%	0.16	17.5	4.13%	0	0.4	68	NAN
14	Dec_30_2009	405.38	389.99	401.55	411.9	413.4	410.81	408.6(-0.41%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.2	-46	-30	-74	40	0.08	44%	0.22	19.3	4.22%	0	1.1	81	NAN
15	Dec_29_2009	404.5	389.72	399.11	410.3	413.65	417.09	410.3(-1.8%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	56	80	43	93	0.14	44%	0.19	17.9	4.23%	0	1.2	83	NAN

16	Dec_28_2009	403.75	388.66	396.36	407.4	409.9	416	417.8(0.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	120	120	119	121	0.09	44%	0.39	14.7	4.22%	0	1.8	69	NAN
17	Dec_24_2009	402.19	387.14	391.99	400.62	403.95	410.22	413.9(1.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	127	130	132	112	0.07	42%	0.18	-13	4.22%	0	1.9	67	NAN
18	Dec_23_2009	401.46	387.08	387.75	393.92	397.28	403.8	408.9(2.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	113	140	121	90	0.14	40%	0.14	-41	4.26%	0	1.5	61	NAN
19	Dec_22_2009	400.89	386.82	382.92	389.84	390.93	397.69	400.6(1.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	91	130	101	61	0.21	42%	0.12	-69.5	4.3%	0	0.9	48	NAN
20	Dec_21_2009	400.42	386.77	378.88	386.4	388.63	390.76	395.8(3.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	84	60	99	38	0.31	42%	0.17	-98.2	4.34%	0	0.6	42	NAN

21	Dec_18_2009	399.75	386.35	376.88	383.78	385.74	384.18	383.9(0.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-22	-10	-22	-21	0.18	42%	0.15	-122.2	4.33%	0	-0.2	46	NAN
22	Dec_17_2009	399.14	389	376.29	381.94	385.33	386.5	380.4(-2.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	0	50	6	-18	0.26	42%	0.17	-99	4.33%	0	-0.5	45	NAN
23	Dec_16_2009	398.46	393.24	376.6	380.32	383.47	387.31	388.5(1.33%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	59	90	80	-3	0.31	45%	0.14	-74.8	4.33%	0	-0.2	36	NAN
24	Dec_15_2009	397.92	397.39	377.37	374.76	378.15	384.15	383.4(0.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	69	140	95	-10	0.2	45%	0.08	-65.6	4.42%	0	-0.4	40	NAN
25	Dec_14_2009	397.59	402	379.39	370.12	372.53	379.63	382.7(2.14%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.3	88	150	120	-8	0.26	45%		-60.3	4.43%	0	-0.5	43	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.