Trading Signals: ENPH Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ENPH: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Feb. 20, 2020

Trading Signals: ENPH Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Mar. 27, 2018 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Enphase Energy, Inc.)
ENPH latest price $58.7400 (2.66%) ($54.1400 - $58.9500) on Thu. Feb. 20, 2020.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   6.4% (three month average)
RSI   87
Latest Price   $58.7400(2.66%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ENPH advances 7.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ENPH advances 18.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock sell-off for large cap. Value stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ENPH advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
ICLN(79%)    TAN(71%)    ACES(65%)    IWO(59%)    IBUY(55%)
Factors Impacting ENPH price   ENPH will decline at least -3.2% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-32%)    VXX(-12%)    UUP(-6%)    TLT(-1%)    TBT(0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.2% (StdDev 6.4%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 4%

5 Day Moving Average   $47.71(23.12%)
10 Day Moving Average   $43.84(33.99%)
20 Day Moving Average   $38.7(51.78%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   224.2%
Market Cap   $7.4b

Enphase Energy, Inc. engages in the design, development, manufacture, and sale of microinverter systems for the solar photovoltaic industry. Its products include IQ 7 Microinverter Series, IQ Battery, IQ Envoy, IQ Microinverter Accessories, IQ Envoy Accessories, and Enlighten & Apps. The company was founded by Raghuveer R. Belur and Martin Fornage in March 2006 and is headquartered in Fremont, CA.

$. ENPH price fluctuates within 19.33% (three month std-dev: 6.4%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 6 Average positive next day return: 5.58%(33%) Average negative next day return: -5.96%(67%) Sample size 6 Average positive next three day return: 17.98%(33%) Average negative next three day return: -7.92%(67%) Sample size 6 Average positive next weekly return: 15.79%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -15.38%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20200320

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_20_2020	27.16	38.7	43.84	47.71	47.82	54.74	58.74(2.66%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.5	136	1020	109	218	21.84	82%	1.46	65.7	6.4%	0	2.7	87	0.4
2	Feb_19_2020	26.77	37.26	41.54	44.26	43.68	46.4	57.22(42.44%)	UT	HoldLong	65	2.2	106	400	83	174	35.44	82%	1.4	64.9	6.47%	0	3.3	87	1
3	Feb_18_2020	26.4	35.88	39.36	40.75	40.76	40.9	40.17(-2.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	49	20	5	181	7.45	73%	0.88	72.2	3.83%	0	1.1	77	0.8
4	Feb_14_2020	26.17	35.44	38.68	40.44	40.53	40.96	41.09(-0.6%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	64	80	19	200	4.91	73%	0.69	72.6	3.82%	0	1.5	84	0.9
5	Feb_13_2020	25.99	34.92	37.76	39.83	39.73	40.62	41.34(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	61	150	19	187	6.96	73%	0.66	69.6	3.82%	0	1.7	71	0.6

6	Feb_12_2020	25.82	34.34	36.97	39.24	39.14	40.09	41.5(4.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	74	160	35	191	5.72	73%	0.66	68.1	3.82%	0	2.1	72	1
7	Feb_11_2020	25.65	33.75	36.06	38.32	38.37	38.85	39.66(2.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	59	90	21	173	5.55	72%	0.51	67.5	3.8%	0	1.9	71	0.1
8	Feb_10_2020	25.52	33.29	35.31	37.77	37.75	38.19	38.61(1.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	62	80	26	171	4.55	72%	0.43	70.9	3.8%	0	1.9	71	0.2
9	Feb_7_2020	25.41	32.87	34.46	36.63	37	37.9	38.05(-0.89%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	65	200	39	142	4.4	72%	0.43	67.6	3.8%	0	2	69	-0.1
10	Feb_6_2020	25.3	32.53	33.89	35.33	35.55	37.31	38.39(4.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	60	370	41	117	5.83	72%	0.56	64.8	3.8%	0	2.5	71	0.2

11	Feb_5_2020	25.16	32.13	33.22	34.35	34.23	36.1	36.91(0.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	66	370	52	106	6.72	71%	0.48	77.3	3.81%	0	2.6	71	0.1
12	Feb_4_2020	25.04	31.77	32.66	33.48	33.18	33.79	36.9(12.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.2	51	100	39	85	9.83	71%	0.56	91.8	3.82%	0	3.3	70	-0.7
13	Feb_3_2020	24.9	31.38	32.06	32.55	32.49	32.37	32.92(4.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	21	-30	10	53	5.51	66%	0.44	122.5	3.63%	0	1.5	59	-1.4
14	Jan_31_2020	24.79	31.2	31.91	31.95	32.23	32.57	31.52(-5.88%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	8	100	-1	36	5.1	64%	0.41	113.9	3.63%	0	0.3	56	-2.4
15	Jan_30_2020	24.69	31.1	31.86	32.19	31.8	32.61	33.49(2.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	24	140	16	48	4.29	49%	0.37	124.1	3.55%	0	2.1	58	-0.4

16	Jan_29_2020	24.6	30.75	31.52	31.9	31.75	31.9	32.56(0.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	17	20	13	27	4.34	49%	0.41	129	4.86%	0	1.8	58	-0.7
17	Jan_28_2020	24.5	30.4	31.28	31.72	31.56	30.98	32.24(7.65%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	1	-140	-4	17	4.24	49%	0.33	88.7	4.87%	0	1.3	62	-0.7
18	Jan_27_2020	24.42	30.14	31.13	31.52	31.66	31.6	29.95(-8.41%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-5	0	-11	15	6.83	45%	0.21	70.4	4.8%	0	-0.1	55	-1.9
19	Jan_24_2020	24.37	30.02	31.22	31.83	31.82	32.15	32.7(1.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	19	70	12	38	5.1	54%	0.33	74.3	4.71%	0	1.4	74	0
20	Jan_23_2020	24.29	29.74	31.09	31.46	31.5	31.72	32.07(1.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	17	50	10	38	2.68	54%	0.16	72.9	4.71%	0	1.2	72	1.2

21	Jan_22_2020	24.25	29.47	30.97	31.07	31.19	31.49	31.62(1.15%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	19	80	9	48	3.61	48%	0.17	71.6	4.71%	0	1.1	83	1.1
22	Jan_21_2020	24.21	29.2	30.81	30.79	30.75	31.28	31.26(-0.76%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	20	120	7	58	3.34	48%	0.08	70.2	4.85%	0	1.1	84	1.4
23	Jan_17_2020	24.19	28.93	30.65	30.7	30.52	30.88	31.5(2.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	25	60	10	70	3.81	48%	0	71.2	4.84%	0	1.3	73	1.9
24	Jan_16_2020	24.19	28.65	30.44	30.53	30.46	30.21	30.83(2.22%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	16	-60	-3	71	3.21	48%	-0.08	73	4.85%	0	1.1	67	2.2
25	Jan_15_2020	24.21	28.4	30.29	30.68	30.63	30.16	30.16(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	13	-110	-11	84	4.24	48%		79.6	4.85%	0	0.9	67	2
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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