Trading Signals: EMHY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ EMHY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Sep. 20, 2013

Trading Signals: EMHY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 3, 2012 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares Emerging Markets High Yield Bond ETF)
EMHY latest price $50.4800 (-0.04%) ($50.2600 - $50.7200) on Fri. Sep. 20, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.78% (three month average)
RSI   83
Latest Price   $50.4800(-0.04%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EMHY advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EMHY advances 1.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EMHY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PCY(86%)    JNK(70%)    EEM(60%)    EWG(60%)    SPY(59%)
Factors Impacting EMHY price   EMHY will decline at least -0.39% in a week (0% probabilities).
IGOV(-1%)    TLT(3%)    SHY(8%)    GLD(16%)    TIP(26%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.39% (StdDev 0.78%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $49.9(1.16%)
10 Day Moving Average   $49.36(2.27%)
20 Day Moving Average   $48.87(3.29%)
To recent high   -1.3%
To recent low   6.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EMHY price fluctuates within 1.45% (three month std-dev: 0.78%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 0.56%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 0.56%(33%) Average negative next three day return: -1.16%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.84%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20131020

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_20_2013	50.86	48.87	49.36	49.9	50.01	50.49	50.48(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	78	70	51	160	0.02	59%	-0.1	40	0.78%	0	2.3	83	NAN
2	Sep_19_2013	50.91	48.76	49.14	49.6	49.74	50.1	50.5(1.59%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.5	82	60	64	135	0.02	56%	-0.08	23.2	0.82%	0	2.9	81	NAN
3	Sep_18_2013	50.95	48.66	48.88	49.3	49.35	49.53	49.71(0.57%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	42	30	25	93	0.02	47%	-0.12	-1.1	0.81%	0	2.3	76	NAN
4	Sep_17_2013	51.01	48.61	48.71	49.11	49.17	49.39	49.43(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	42	30	31	73	0.03	47%	-0.12	-28.2	0.81%	0	2.2	68	NAN
5	Sep_16_2013	51.07	48.61	48.59	48.93	48.96	49.16	49.4(0.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	37	30	31	54	0.04	47%	-0.12	-55.4	0.81%	0	2.2	59	NAN

6	Sep_13_2013	51.13	48.59	48.48	48.73	48.76	48.94	48.98(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	23	30	21	29	0.02	53%	-0.12	-71.8	0.82%	0	1	54	NAN
7	Sep_12_2013	51.19	48.62	48.42	48.61	48.64	48.77	49(0.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	26	20	28	20	0.01	53%	-0.12	-69.9	0.85%	0	0.8	59	NAN
8	Sep_11_2013	51.25	48.67	48.34	48.39	48.47	48.58	48.72(0.35%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.6	10	20	16	-7	0.02	46%	-0.14	-66.4	0.84%	0	0.1	49	NAN
9	Sep_10_2013	51.32	48.72	48.31	48.24	48.34	48.51	48.55(0.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	5	30	14	-24	0.05	46%	-0.12	-67.2	0.9%	0	-0.3	41	NAN
10	Sep_9_2013	51.38	48.79	48.32	48.2	48.22	48.37	48.42(0.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	3	20	15	-32	0.02	46%	-0.14	-63.5	0.9%	0	-0.6	33	NAN

11	Sep_6_2013	51.45	48.86	48.34	48.19	48.1	48.18	48.34(0.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-9	10	5	-49	0.02	46%	-0.12	-60.7	0.9%	0	-0.7	26	NAN
12	Sep_5_2013	51.51	48.94	48.36	48.2	48.13	48.07	47.94(-0.06%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-20	-10	-4	-68	0.01	46%	-0.14	-59.1	0.9%	0	-1.4	15	NAN
13	Sep_4_2013	51.58	49.03	48.43	48.28	48.22	48.02	47.97(-0.79%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-34	-30	-16	-86	0.04	45%	-0.12	-60.7	0.9%	0	-1.5	13	NAN
14	Sep_3_2013	51.64	49.13	48.52	48.38	48.29	48.19	48.35(0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-41	-20	-22	-96	0.2	41%	-0.21	-63.8	0.89%	0	-1.1	20	NAN
15	Aug_30_2013	51.75	49.22	48.6	48.46	48.45	48.41	48.33(-0.19%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-28	-10	-6	-94	0.11	41%	-0.14	-66.2	0.92%	0	-1.3	18	NAN

16	Aug_29_2013	51.82	49.3	48.72	48.53	48.55	48.4	48.42(0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-29	-20	-7	-94	0.01	38%	-0.13	-70.5	0.93%	0	-1.4	22	NAN
17	Aug_28_2013	51.89	49.38	48.85	48.54	48.62	48.48	48.32(-0.33%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-37	-20	-16	-100	0.02	37%	-0.13	-78.1	0.94%	0	-1.7	22	NAN
18	Aug_27_2013	51.96	49.47	49.02	48.61	48.65	48.7	48.48(-0.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-28	10	-7	-90	0.01	37%	-0.13	-82.4	0.94%	0	-1.6	26	NAN
19	Aug_26_2013	52.03	49.57	49.16	48.69	48.69	48.75	48.74(0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-18	10	3	-80	0.02	37%	-0.12	-86.2	0.95%	0	-1.4	27	NAN
20	Aug_23_2013	52.09	49.67	49.29	48.77	48.73	48.61	48.67(0.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-30	-20	-13	-82	0.02	36%	-0.12	-84.6	0.95%	0	-1.6	24	NAN

21	Aug_22_2013	52.15	49.76	49.42	48.96	48.84	48.63	48.47(-0.43%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-43	-40	-31	-77	0.02	36%	-0.11	-80.7	0.95%	0	-2.2	22	NAN
22	Aug_21_2013	52.21	49.87	49.57	49.21	49.13	48.85	48.68(-0.39%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-38	-40	-31	-60	0.02	36%	-0.11	-77.8	0.95%	0	-2.2	24	NAN
23	Aug_20_2013	52.27	49.98	49.69	49.49	49.39	49.05	48.87(-0.59%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.2	-40	-50	-37	-48	0.02	36%	-0.1	-62.5	0.95%	0	-2.1	23	NAN
24	Aug_19_2013	52.32	50.1	49.81	49.71	49.67	49.4	49.16(-0.89%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.1	-33	-40	-32	-37	0.01	36%	-0.06	-45.8	0.94%	0	-2	22	NAN
25	Aug_16_2013	52.35	50.19	49.9	49.89	49.88	49.73	49.6(-0.26%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-19	-20	-16	-27	0.02	37%		-26.1	0.94%	0	-1.3	23	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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