Trading Signals: EMHY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ EMHY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Jun. 28, 2013

Trading Signals: EMHY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 3, 2012 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares Emerging Markets High Yield Bond ETF)
EMHY latest price $50.0000 (0.34%) ($49.8300 - $50.3000) on Fri. Jun. 28, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.9% (three month average)
RSI   41
Latest Price   $50.0000(0.34%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EMHY advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EMHY declines -2.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EMHY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PCY(85%)    JNK(70%)    EEM(59%)    EWG(59%)    SPY(59%)
Factors Impacting EMHY price   EMHY will decline at least -0.45% in a week (0% probabilities).
IGOV(0%)    TLT(3%)    SHY(8%)    GLD(15%)    BNDX(26%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.45% (StdDev 0.9%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.5%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $44.26(-11.48%)
Resistance Level   $50.6
5 Day Moving Average   $49.01(2.02%)
10 Day Moving Average   $49.74(0.52%)
20 Day Moving Average   $50.6(-1.19%)
To recent high   -9.9%
To recent low   5.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EMHY price fluctuates within 2.81% (three month std-dev: 0.9%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 3.68%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 5.77%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 5.97%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_28_2013	54.05	50.6	49.74	49.01	49.43	50.01	50(0.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	8	110	50	-120	0.02	37%	-0.09	-82.6	0.9%	0	-0.4	41	NAN
2	Jun_27_2013	54.1	50.76	49.9	48.86	48.83	49.6	49.83(1.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	3	110	48	-132	0.01	36%	-0.11	-84.3	0.9%	0	-0.6	40	NAN
3	Jun_26_2013	54.16	50.94	50.03	48.83	48.66	48.86	49.25(1.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-17	20	29	-154	0.02	34%	-0.09	-85.9	0.89%	0	-1.1	36	NAN
4	Jun_25_2013	54.21	51.15	50.16	49.14	48.72	48.06	48.5(2.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-104	-120	-72	-198	0.03	30%	-0.13	-82.5	0.86%	0	-1.6	31	NAN
5	Jun_24_2013	54.28	51.44	50.36	49.69	49.38	48.46	47.49(-3.53%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.4	-151	-150	-131	-211	0.05	25%	-0.15	-81.3	0.82%	0	-2.5	22	NAN

6	Jun_21_2013	54.36	51.8	50.81	50.55	50.29	49.39	49.23(-0.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-133	-140	-122	-167	0.04	28%	-0.13	-77.2	0.7%	0	-1.8	26	NAN
7	Jun_20_2013	54.43	52.07	51.06	51.08	50.92	50.31	49.7(-2.11%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-112	-90	-102	-142	0.05	29%	-0.11	-69.5	0.69%	0	-1.7	23	NAN
8	Jun_19_2013	54.49	52.34	51.29	51.39	51.41	51.19	50.77(-0.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-44	-30	-21	-114	0.06	32%	-0.09	-63.1	0.65%	0	-1.1	26	NAN
9	Jun_18_2013	54.54	52.55	51.41	51.32	51.39	51.53	51.24(-1.14%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-25	20	12	-135	0.02	32%	-0.09	-61.7	0.64%	0	-0.9	29	NAN
10	Jun_17_2013	54.59	52.74	51.48	51.14	51.21	51.63	51.83(-0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-10	60	47	-181	0.03	34%	-0.09	-62.3	0.63%	0	-0.6	27	NAN

11	Jun_14_2013	54.64	52.91	51.52	51.11	50.91	51.24	51.85(1.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-31	30	35	-229	0.1	34%	-0.07	-60.5	0.63%	0	-0.7	26	NAN
12	Jun_13_2013	54.68	53.07	51.66	51.08	50.98	50.78	51.25(1.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-70	-30	-0	-278	0.03	30%	-0.09	-61.4	0.61%	0	-1.1	18	NAN
13	Jun_12_2013	54.73	53.25	51.88	51.2	51.18	50.57	50.44(0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-156	-80	-90	-352	0.02	24%	-0.11	-62.1	0.57%	0	-1.7	6	NAN
14	Jun_11_2013	54.79	53.48	52.18	51.51	51.49	51.17	50.31(-2.73%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-162	-40	-97	-356	0.05	24%	-0.07	-63.7	0.57%	0	-2.1	4	NAN
15	Jun_10_2013	54.83	53.72	52.58	51.85	51.86	51.79	51.72(0.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-109	-10	-21	-372	0.02	28%	-0.09	-68.3	0.47%	0	-1.5	5	NAN

16	Jun_7_2013	54.88	53.9	52.86	51.97	51.98	51.82	51.66(-0.44%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-143	-20	-59	-393	0.01	27%	-0.07	-69.6	0.47%	0	-1.8	3	NAN
17	Jun_6_2013	54.92	54.1	53.17	52.34	52.26	51.92	51.89(-0.13%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-148	-50	-76	-365	0.02	26%	-0.07	-65.6	0.47%	0	-1.8	9	NAN
18	Jun_5_2013	54.96	54.29	53.48	52.67	52.66	52.14	51.96(-0.1%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-155	-70	-96	-332	0.03	26%	-0.09	-62.1	0.47%	0	-2.1	13	NAN
19	Jun_4_2013	55.01	54.47	53.8	52.97	53.03	52.59	52.01(-0.57%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-169	-50	-124	-305	0.1	26%	-0.07	-62	0.47%	0	-2.5	16	NAN
20	Jun_3_2013	55.05	54.65	54.12	53.43	53.4	53.19	52.31(-2.26%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.3	-126	-30	-91	-232	0.16	27%	-0.05	-58.6	0.47%	0	-2.8	17	NAN

21	May_31_2013	55.08	54.81	54.43	53.88	53.78	53.48	53.52(-0.09%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-95	-40	-61	-195	0.19	32%	-0.05	-55.6	0.38%	0	-2	21	NAN
22	May_30_2013	55.11	54.91	54.6	54.12	54.06	53.6	53.57(0.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-135	-60	-116	-193	0.02	32%	-0.04	-48.1	0.38%	0	-2.4	19	NAN
23	May_29_2013	55.13	54.99	54.74	54.42	54.38	54.07	53.45(-1.55%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-2.1	-127	-40	-117	-158	0.01	31%	-0.05	-41.2	0.39%	0	-3.3	18	NAN
24	May_28_2013	55.16	55.1	54.9	54.75	54.75	54.52	54.29(-0.55%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.5	-75	-30	-62	-113	0.11	35%	-0.05	-28.6	0.34%	0	-2.6	24	NAN
25	May_24_2013	55.19	55.14	54.96	54.93	54.93	54.7	54.59(-0.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-82	-30	-72	-111	0.03	36%		-13.3	0.32%	0	-2.2	27	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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