Trading Signals: EMHY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ EMHY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Jun. 14, 2013

Trading Signals: EMHY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 3, 2012 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares Emerging Markets High Yield Bond ETF)
EMHY latest price $51.8500 (1.17%) ($51.0100 - $52.0900) on Fri. Jun. 14, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.63% (three month average)
RSI   26
Latest Price   $51.8500(1.17%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EMHY advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EMHY declines -2.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EMHY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PCY(85%)    JNK(69%)    EEM(59%)    EWG(59%)    SPY(59%)
Factors Impacting EMHY price   EMHY will decline at least -0.315% in a week (0% probabilities).
IGOV(0%)    TLT(3%)    SHY(8%)    GLD(16%)    BNDX(26%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.315% (StdDev 0.63%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.6%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $45.85(-11.57%)
Resistance Level   $52.91
5 Day Moving Average   $51.11(1.45%)
10 Day Moving Average   $51.52(0.64%)
20 Day Moving Average   $52.91(-2%)
To recent high   -6.6%
To recent low   3.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EMHY price fluctuates within 3.04% (three month std-dev: 0.63%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 0.85%(75%) Average negative next day return: -1.84%(25%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 1.74%(75%) Average negative next three day return: -10.58%(25%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 2.1%(75%) Average negative next weekly return: -6.9%(25%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_14_2013	54.64	52.91	51.52	51.11	50.91	51.24	51.85(1.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-31	30	35	-229	0.1	34%	-0.07	-60.5	0.63%	0	-0.7	26	NAN
2	Jun_13_2013	54.68	53.07	51.66	51.08	50.98	50.78	51.25(1.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-70	-30	-0	-278	0.03	30%	-0.09	-61.4	0.61%	0	-1.1	18	NAN
3	Jun_12_2013	54.73	53.25	51.88	51.2	51.18	50.57	50.44(0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-156	-80	-90	-352	0.02	24%	-0.11	-62.1	0.57%	0	-1.7	6	NAN
4	Jun_11_2013	54.79	53.48	52.18	51.51	51.49	51.17	50.31(-2.73%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-162	-40	-97	-356	0.05	24%	-0.07	-63.7	0.57%	0	-2.1	4	NAN
5	Jun_10_2013	54.83	53.72	52.58	51.85	51.86	51.79	51.72(0.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-109	-10	-21	-372	0.02	28%	-0.09	-68.3	0.47%	0	-1.5	5	NAN

6	Jun_7_2013	54.88	53.9	52.86	51.97	51.98	51.82	51.66(-0.44%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-143	-20	-59	-393	0.01	27%	-0.07	-69.6	0.47%	0	-1.8	3	NAN
7	Jun_6_2013	54.92	54.1	53.17	52.34	52.26	51.92	51.89(-0.13%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-148	-50	-76	-365	0.02	26%	-0.07	-65.6	0.47%	0	-1.8	9	NAN
8	Jun_5_2013	54.96	54.29	53.48	52.67	52.66	52.14	51.96(-0.1%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-155	-70	-96	-332	0.03	26%	-0.09	-62.1	0.47%	0	-2.1	13	NAN
9	Jun_4_2013	55.01	54.47	53.8	52.97	53.03	52.59	52.01(-0.57%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-169	-50	-124	-305	0.1	26%	-0.07	-62	0.47%	0	-2.5	16	NAN
10	Jun_3_2013	55.05	54.65	54.12	53.43	53.4	53.19	52.31(-2.26%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.3	-126	-30	-91	-232	0.16	27%	-0.05	-58.6	0.47%	0	-2.8	17	NAN

11	May_31_2013	55.08	54.81	54.43	53.88	53.78	53.48	53.52(-0.09%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-95	-40	-61	-195	0.19	32%	-0.05	-55.6	0.38%	0	-2	21	NAN
12	May_30_2013	55.11	54.91	54.6	54.12	54.06	53.6	53.57(0.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-135	-60	-116	-193	0.02	32%	-0.04	-48.1	0.38%	0	-2.4	19	NAN
13	May_29_2013	55.13	54.99	54.74	54.42	54.38	54.07	53.45(-1.55%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-2.1	-127	-40	-117	-158	0.01	31%	-0.05	-41.2	0.39%	0	-3.3	18	NAN
14	May_28_2013	55.16	55.1	54.9	54.75	54.75	54.52	54.29(-0.55%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.5	-75	-30	-62	-113	0.11	35%	-0.05	-28.6	0.34%	0	-2.6	24	NAN
15	May_24_2013	55.19	55.14	54.96	54.93	54.93	54.7	54.59(-0.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-82	-30	-72	-111	0.03	36%	-0.04	-13.3	0.32%	0	-2.2	27	NAN

16	May_23_2013	55.21	55.17	55.03	55.07	55.08	54.97	54.72(-0.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-53	-10	-46	-75	0.03	36%	-0.02	7.5	0.33%	0	-2	37	NAN
17	May_22_2013	55.22	55.17	55.11	55.14	55.17	55.17	55.07(-0.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-10	0	-0	-41	0.06	38%	-0.02	25	0.32%	0	-0.5	42	NAN
18	May_21_2013	55.23	55.17	55.14	55.12	55.15	55.2	55.1(-0.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	3	10	14	-32	0.02	37%	0	38.9	0.32%	0	-0.4	49	NAN
19	May_20_2013	55.23	55.18	55.18	55.07	55.09	55.18	55.16(-0.24%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	12	10	27	-32	0.02	37%	-0.02	41.7	0.32%	0	-0.1	45	NAN
20	May_17_2013	55.24	55.17	55.21	55.01	55.01	55.1	55.29(0.38%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	6	10	20	-37	0.02	37%	0	27.5	0.32%	0	0.5	54	NAN

21	May_16_2013	55.24	55.15	55.2	55	54.98	55	55.08(0.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-12	0	-2	-42	0.02	35%	0	15.6	0.32%	0	-0.3	53	NAN
22	May_15_2013	55.24	55.13	55.23	55.08	55.03	54.92	54.95(0.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-31	-20	-33	-26	0.03	35%	-0.02	7.5	0.32%	0	-0.6	54	NAN
23	May_14_2013	55.25	55.11	55.25	55.18	55.2	54.96	54.85(-0.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-45	-30	-55	-15	0.04	37%	-0.02	1.9	0.32%	0	-0.9	46	NAN
24	May_13_2013	55.26	55.1	55.31	55.3	55.34	55.14	54.87(-0.65%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.4	-51	-20	-71	11	0.02	37%	0	3.7	0.32%	0	-0.8	47	NAN
25	May_10_2013	55.26	55.11	55.34	55.42	55.45	55.44	55.23(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	1	0	-20	64	0.02	37%		11.1	0.31%	0	0.4	59	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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