Trading Signals: EMHY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Aug. 30, 2012

Trading Signals: EMHY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 3, 2012 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares Emerging Markets High Yield Bond ETF)
EMHY latest price $52.9200 (0.25%) ($52.8800 - $53.1100) on Thu. Aug. 30, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.53% (three month average)
RSI   80
Latest Price   $52.9200(0.25%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EMHY advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EMHY advances 0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EMHY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PCY(85%)    JNK(69%)    EEM(58%)    SPY(58%)    EWG(57%)
Factors Impacting EMHY price   EMHY will decline at least -0.265% in a week (0% probabilities).
IGOV(0%)    TLT(3%)    SHY(8%)    GLD(15%)    TIP(26%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.265% (StdDev 0.53%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $52.82(0.19%)
10 Day Moving Average   $52.66(0.49%)
20 Day Moving Average   $52.44(0.92%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   10%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EMHY price fluctuates within 0.57% (three month std-dev: 0.53%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_30_2012	50.79	52.44	52.66	52.82	52.87	52.93	52.92(0.25%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	30	10	14	77	0.02	54%	0.06	87.7	0.53%	0	1.6	80	NAN
2	Aug_29_2012	50.76	52.39	52.59	52.75	52.8	52.88	52.79(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	23	10	10	63	0.01	54%	0.04	91.5	0.53%	0	1.3	59	NAN
3	Aug_28_2012	50.74	52.34	52.53	52.73	52.76	52.81	52.89(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	28	10	15	65	0.01	54%	0.06	103.4	0.53%	0	1.8	68	NAN
4	Aug_27_2012	50.71	52.29	52.46	52.68	52.71	52.72	52.88(0.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	22	0	11	56	0.02	54%	0.04	115.3	0.54%	0	1.9	66	NAN
5	Aug_24_2012	50.69	52.22	52.38	52.57	52.66	52.71	52.6(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	23	10	16	45	0	51%	0.06	113.6	0.54%	0	1.2	60	NAN

6	Aug_23_2012	50.66	52.17	52.33	52.48	52.51	52.7	52.57(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	489	30	566	256	0.01	51%	0.04	94	0.54%	0	1.1	66	NAN
7	Aug_22_2012	50.64	52.11	52.32	52.4	42.59	52.6	52.73(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	40	1080	38	45	0.01	53%	0.08	66.7	0.55%	0	1.5	71	NAN
8	Aug_21_2012	50.6	52.02	52.26	52.29	42.5	52.32	52.62(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	1541	1060	1806	747	0.01	53%	0.04	47.8	0.55%	0	1.3	75	NAN
9	Aug_20_2012	50.58	51.93	52.21	52.2	42.41	32.58	52.35(0.38%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	-1	-2190	-8	19	0.01	53%	0.04	34.1	0.55%	0	0.9	65	NAN
10	Aug_17_2012	50.56	51.87	52.2	52.17	42.45	32.67	52.15(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-1960	-2170	-2314	-896	0	53%	0.04	28.1	0.55%	0	0.6	67	NAN

11	Aug_16_2012	50.54	51.85	52.19	52.16	52.25	52.25	52.15(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	10	10	-0	38	0	49%	0.02	29.9	0.55%	0	0.7	69	NAN
12	Aug_15_2012	50.53	51.83	52.18	52.16	52.23	52.22	52.18(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	10	-0	-5	56	0	49%	0.04	40.2	0.57%	0	0.8	75	NAN
13	Aug_14_2012	50.51	51.8	52.14	52.22	52.28	52.25	52.18(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	19	-0	-0	74	0.01	46%	0.04	47.1	0.58%	0	0.9	80	NAN
14	Aug_13_2012	50.49	51.77	52.11	52.23	52.29	52.24	52.18(0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	17	-0	-8	91	0.01	46%	0.04	57.8	0.59%	0	1	80	NAN
15	Aug_10_2012	50.47	51.74	52.06	52.24	52.33	52.3	52.1(-0.67%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	25	0	-2	106	0	46%	0.04	67.5	0.59%	0	0.8	68	NAN

16	Aug_9_2012	50.45	51.71	52.01	52.22	52.32	52.35	52.45(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	38	10	13	112	0.04	46%	0.04	66.3	0.59%	0	1.7	63	NAN
17	Aug_8_2012	50.43	51.65	51.89	52.13	52.17	52.36	52.18(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	36	30	17	94	0	46%	0.04	65.8	0.6%	0	1.3	54	NAN
18	Aug_7_2012	50.41	51.59	51.77	52.04	52.04	52.3	52.23(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	49	30	38	82	0	46%	0.04	59.3	0.6%	0	1.5	59	NAN
19	Aug_6_2012	50.39	51.52	51.63	51.97	51.89	51.99	52.24(0.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	39	10	32	58	0	46%	0.04	57.5	0.6%	0	1.8	56	NAN
20	Aug_3_2012	50.37	51.45	51.52	51.85	51.78	51.77	52.01(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	9	-10	3	25	0	48%	0.04	55.4	0.6%	0	1.5	55	NAN

21	Aug_2_2012	50.35	51.43	51.47	51.76	51.8	51.79	52(0.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	15	0	12	22	0.04	48%	0.04	68.1	0.6%	0	1.5	57	NAN
22	Aug_1_2012	50.33	51.38	51.44	51.62	51.76	51.78	51.74(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	20	10	19	21	0	48%	0.04	70.6	0.6%	0	1	59	NAN
23	Jul_31_2012	50.31	51.34	51.42	51.44	51.57	51.81	51.86(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	24	40	28	13	0	48%	0.04	73.5	0.61%	0	1.5	62	NAN
24	Jul_30_2012	50.29	51.29	51.4	51.23	51.41	51.73	51.66(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	40	50	49	14	0	48%	0.02	70.6	0.61%	0	1.1	63	NAN
25	Jul_27_2012	50.28	51.25	51.39	51.13	51.19	51.34	51.55(0.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	21	20	26	7	0	48%		72.1	0.61%	0	0.9	62	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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