Trading Signals: EMHY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Aug. 2, 2012

Trading Signals: EMHY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 3, 2012 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares Emerging Markets High Yield Bond ETF)
EMHY latest price $52.0000 (0.5%) ($51.3600 - $52.3900) on Thu. Aug. 2, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.6% (three month average)
RSI   57
Latest Price   $52.0000(0.5%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EMHY advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EMHY advances 0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EMHY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PCY(85%)    JNK(69%)    EEM(58%)    SPY(58%)    EWG(57%)
Factors Impacting EMHY price   EMHY will decline at least -0.3% in a week (0% probabilities).
IGOV(0%)    TLT(3%)    SHY(8%)    GLD(15%)    TIP(26%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.3% (StdDev 0.6%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $51.76(0.46%)
10 Day Moving Average   $51.47(1.03%)
20 Day Moving Average   $51.43(1.11%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   8.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EMHY price fluctuates within 0.72% (three month std-dev: 0.6%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120902

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_2_2012	50.35	51.43	51.47	51.76	51.8	51.79	52(0.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	15	0	12	22	0.04	48%	0.04	68.1	0.6%	0	1.5	57	0
2	Aug_1_2012	50.33	51.38	51.44	51.62	51.76	51.78	51.74(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	20	10	19	21	0	48%	0.04	70.6	0.6%	0	1	59	0
3	Jul_31_2012	50.31	51.34	51.42	51.44	51.57	51.81	51.86(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	24	40	28	13	0	48%	0.04	73.5	0.61%	0	1.5	62	0
4	Jul_30_2012	50.29	51.29	51.4	51.23	51.41	51.73	51.66(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	40	50	49	14	0	48%	0.02	70.6	0.61%	0	1.1	63	0
5	Jul_27_2012	50.28	51.25	51.39	51.13	51.19	51.34	51.55(0.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	21	20	26	7	0	48%	0.04	72.1	0.61%	0	0.9	62	0

6	Jul_26_2012	50.26	51.18	51.39	51.14	51.08	51.08	51.28(0.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-19	-0	-21	-12	0	51%	0.02	62.5	0.6%	0	0.2	45	0
7	Jul_25_2012	50.25	51.13	51.38	51.26	51.41	51.04	50.86(0.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-17	-40	-23	2	0	49%	0.02	68.2	0.61%	0	-0.6	50	0
8	Jul_24_2012	50.24	51.09	51.41	51.4	51.63	51.08	50.82(-0.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-58	-60	-76	-3	0	49%	0.02	64.2	0.62%	0	-0.5	49	0
9	Jul_23_2012	50.23	51.04	51.43	51.58	51.8	51.78	51.16(-0.83%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.7	-30	10	-50	31	0.01	51%	0.02	65	0.61%	0	0.2	58	0
10	Jul_20_2012	50.22	51	51.41	51.68	52	52.19	51.59(-0.5%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	50	40	40	80	0	54%	0.04	70.4	0.6%	0	0.9	63	0

11	Jul_19_2012	50.2	50.92	51.4	51.65	51.85	51.83	51.85(0.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	34	10	14	95	0.03	54%	0.04	74.6	0.6%	0	1.5	74	0
12	Jul_18_2012	50.18	50.83	51.32	51.52	51.75	51.82	51.56(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	29	20	8	92	0	54%	0.04	75	0.6%	0	1.2	68	0
13	Jul_17_2012	50.16	50.74	51.26	51.42	51.61	51.88	51.74(0.19%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	58	50	37	119	0	54%	0.04	73	0.6%	0	1.6	76	0
14	Jul_16_2012	50.14	50.64	51.16	51.26	51.41	51.68	51.64(0.33%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	69	50	50	126	0	54%	0.04	71.8	0.6%	0	1.6	76	0
15	Jul_13_2012	50.12	50.55	51.08	51.1	51.21	51.33	51.47(0.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	38	20	15	108	0	54%	0.04	73.9	0.6%	0	1.5	65	0

16	Jul_12_2012	50.1	50.45	50.95	51.13	51.18	51.15	51.18(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	31	-0	5	107	0.01	54%	0.04	79	0.61%	0	1.2	63	0
17	Jul_11_2012	50.08	50.36	50.87	51.09	51.22	51.1	51.09(0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	19	-10	-10	106	0.01	54%	0.02	79.7	0.61%	0	1.2	65	0
18	Jul_10_2012	50.07	50.28	50.74	51.08	51.25	51.21	50.9(0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	20	0	-10	108	0.01	54%	0.02	90.2	0.6%	0	1	65	0
19	Jul_9_2012	50.06	50.2	50.63	51.05	51.28	51.34	50.86(-1.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	41	20	15	117	0.02	54%	0.04	95.3	0.6%	0	1	65	0
20	Jul_6_2012	50.04	50.11	50.56	51.04	51.08	51.29	51.61(1.18%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	60	30	35	136	0	59%	0.04	100	0.58%	0	2.3	76	0

21	Jul_5_2012	50.02	49.98	50.41	50.75	50.92	51.21	51.01(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	73	50	55	128	0.02	55%	0.04	99.2	0.57%	0	1.7	76	0
22	Jul_3_2012	50	49.87	50.3	50.6	50.63	50.88	51.02(0.53%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	66	40	49	115	0	62%	0.02	80.1	0.62%	0	1.7	77	0
23	Jul_2_2012	49.99	49.73	50.18	50.35	50.37	50.63	50.75(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	57	40	45	93	0.01	62%	0.02	63.1	0.62%	0	1.5	71	0
24	Jun_29_2012	49.98	49.6	50.08	50.15	50.15	50.37	50.8(1.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	50	30	40	80	0.01	62%	0.04	49	0.63%	0	1.7	75	0
25	Jun_28_2012	49.96	49.47	49.97	50.02	49.94	50.1	50.15(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	28	20	13	72	0.04	58%		41.4	0.61%	0	1	70	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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