Trading Signals: EMHY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jul. 20, 2012

Trading Signals: EMHY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 3, 2012 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares Emerging Markets High Yield Bond ETF)
EMHY latest price $51.5900 (-0.5%) ($51.5900 - $53.2000) on Fri. Jul. 20, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.6% (three month average)
RSI   63
Latest Price   $51.5900(-0.5%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EMHY advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EMHY advances 0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EMHY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PCY(85%)    JNK(69%)    EEM(58%)    SPY(58%)    EWG(57%)
Factors Impacting EMHY price   EMHY will decline at least -0.3% in a week (0% probabilities).
IGOV(1%)    TLT(3%)    SHY(8%)    GLD(15%)    TIP(26%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.3% (StdDev 0.6%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -3%

5 Day Moving Average   $51.68(-0.17%)
10 Day Moving Average   $51.41(0.35%)
20 Day Moving Average   $51(1.16%)
To recent high   -0.5%
To recent low   7.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EMHY price fluctuates within 1.25% (three month std-dev: 0.6%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0.04%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.12%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 1.17%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 2.14%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.21%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120820

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_20_2012	50.22	51	51.41	51.68	52	52.19	51.59(-0.5%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	50	40	40	80	0	54%	0.04	70.4	0.6%	0	0.9	63	NAN
2	Jul_19_2012	50.2	50.92	51.4	51.65	51.85	51.83	51.85(0.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	34	10	14	95	0.03	54%	0.04	74.6	0.6%	0	1.5	74	NAN
3	Jul_18_2012	50.18	50.83	51.32	51.52	51.75	51.82	51.56(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	29	20	8	92	0	54%	0.04	75	0.6%	0	1.2	68	NAN
4	Jul_17_2012	50.16	50.74	51.26	51.42	51.61	51.88	51.74(0.19%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	58	50	37	119	0	54%	0.04	73	0.6%	0	1.6	76	NAN
5	Jul_16_2012	50.14	50.64	51.16	51.26	51.41	51.68	51.64(0.33%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	69	50	50	126	0	54%	0.04	71.8	0.6%	0	1.6	76	NAN

6	Jul_13_2012	50.12	50.55	51.08	51.1	51.21	51.33	51.47(0.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	38	20	15	108	0	54%	0.04	73.9	0.6%	0	1.5	65	NAN
7	Jul_12_2012	50.1	50.45	50.95	51.13	51.18	51.15	51.18(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	31	-0	5	107	0.01	54%	0.04	79	0.61%	0	1.2	63	NAN
8	Jul_11_2012	50.08	50.36	50.87	51.09	51.22	51.1	51.09(0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	19	-10	-10	106	0.01	54%	0.02	79.7	0.61%	0	1.2	65	NAN
9	Jul_10_2012	50.07	50.28	50.74	51.08	51.25	51.21	50.9(0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	20	0	-10	108	0.01	54%	0.02	90.2	0.6%	0	1	65	NAN
10	Jul_9_2012	50.06	50.2	50.63	51.05	51.28	51.34	50.86(-1.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	41	20	15	117	0.02	54%	0.04	95.3	0.6%	0	1	65	NAN

11	Jul_6_2012	50.04	50.11	50.56	51.04	51.08	51.29	51.61(1.18%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	60	30	35	136	0	59%	0.04	100	0.58%	0	2.3	76	NAN
12	Jul_5_2012	50.02	49.98	50.41	50.75	50.92	51.21	51.01(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	73	50	55	128	0.02	55%	0.04	99.2	0.57%	0	1.7	76	NAN
13	Jul_3_2012	50	49.87	50.3	50.6	50.63	50.88	51.02(0.53%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	66	40	49	115	0	62%	0.02	80.1	0.62%	0	1.7	77	NAN
14	Jul_2_2012	49.99	49.73	50.18	50.35	50.37	50.63	50.75(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	57	40	45	93	0.01	62%	0.02	63.1	0.62%	0	1.5	71	NAN
15	Jun_29_2012	49.98	49.6	50.08	50.15	50.15	50.37	50.8(1.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	50	30	40	80	0.01	62%	0.04	49	0.63%	0	1.7	75	NAN

16	Jun_28_2012	49.96	49.47	49.97	50.15	49.94	50.1	50.15(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	28	20	13	72	0.04	58%	0	41.4	0.61%	0	1	70	NAN
17	Jun_27_2012	49.96	49.4	49.91	50.02	49.97	49.92	50.3(1.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	30	-10	13	79	0.02	58%	0.02	36.4	0.62%	0	1.4	75	NAN
18	Jun_26_2012	49.95	49.33	49.81	49.96	50.02	49.78	49.74(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-1	-30	-24	70	0	54%	-0.02	34.1	0.61%	0	0.7	73	NAN
19	Jun_25_2012	49.96	49.29	49.79	49.97	50.09	50.02	49.74(-0.9%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	8	-0	-22	98	0.01	54%	0	33.3	0.61%	0	0.7	80	NAN
20	Jun_22_2012	49.96	49.26	49.74	49.98	50.12	50.26	50.19(0.08%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	50	30	19	141	0	58%	0	34.7	0.6%	0	1.5	92	NAN

21	Jun_21_2012	49.96	49.2	49.64	49.91	50	50.16	50.15(0.36%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	62	30	30	156	0	58%	0.02	33.6	0.61%	0	1.7	86	NAN
22	Jun_20_2012	49.95	49.17	49.53	49.77	49.9	49.97	49.97(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	58	20	28	146	0	58%	0	29.1	0.61%	0	1.5	67	NAN
23	Jun_19_2012	49.95	49.13	49.41	49.64	49.7	49.85	49.8(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	40	20	12	123	0	58%	-0.02	17.6	0.62%	0	1.3	61	NAN
24	Jun_18_2012	49.96	49.08	49.25	49.58	49.57	49.83	49.8(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	55	40	35	116	0	58%	0	4.1	0.62%	0	1.5	63	NAN
25	Jun_15_2012	49.96	49.04	49.09	49.46	49.46	49.56	49.85(0.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	49	10	36	86	0.01	58%		-19.6	0.63%	0	1.8	58	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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