Trading Signals: EMHY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. May. 7, 2012

Trading Signals: EMHY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 3, 2012 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares Emerging Markets High Yield Bond ETF)
EMHY latest price $51.7700 (0.23%) ($51.3000 - $51.9700) on Mon. May. 7, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.59% (three month average)
RSI   85
Latest Price   $51.7700(0.23%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EMHY advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EMHY advances 1.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EMHY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PCY(84%)    JNK(68%)    EEM(57%)    EWG(57%)    SPY(57%)
Factors Impacting EMHY price   EMHY will decline at least -0.295% in a week (0% probabilities).
IGOV(1%)    TLT(2%)    SHY(8%)    GLD(14%)    TIP(25%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.295% (StdDev 0.59%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $51.58(0.37%)
10 Day Moving Average   $51.23(1.05%)
20 Day Moving Average   $50.75(2.01%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   5.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EMHY price fluctuates within 1.16% (three month std-dev: 0.59%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_7_2012	50.58	50.75	51.23	51.58	51.71	51.75	51.77(0.23%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	31	10	-3	132	0	100%	0.12	0	0.59%	0	1.7	85	NAN
2	May_4_2012	50.52	50.67	51.1	51.46	51.88	51.78	51.65(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	51	10	23	135	0.01	100%	0.1	0	0.6%	0	1.8	85	NAN
3	May_3_2012	50.47	50.6	50.96	51.35	51.73	51.68	51.7(0.64%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.7	25	20	-3	107	0.03	100%	0.12	0	0.61%	0	2.2	70	NAN
4	May_2_2012	50.41	50.51	50.8	51.2	51.49	51.98	51.37(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	53	80	35	108	0	100%	0.08	0	0.62%	0	1.9	73	NAN
5	May_1_2012	50.37	50.39	50.69	51	51.36	51.78	51.41(0.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	103	80	99	114	0	100%	0.12	0	0.63%	0	2	75	NAN

6	Apr_30_2012	50.31	50.39	50.57	50.82	50.84	50.99	51.15(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	394	20	463	185	0	100%	0.08	0	0.64%	0	111.2	73	NAN
7	Apr_27_2012	50.27	50.39	50.46	50.69	41.21	50.94	51.11(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	28	1090	33	13	0	100%	0.1	0	0.66%	0	121.7	72	NAN
8	Apr_26_2012	50.22	50.39	50.4	50.51	41.13	50.69	50.98(1.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	1216	1070	1431	572	0	100%	0.1	0	0.68%	0	134.2	61	NAN
9	Apr_25_2012	50.17	50.39	50.32	50.35	40.92	31.48	50.35(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	366	-2180	430	172	0	100%	0.02	0	0.65%	0	148.1	58	NAN
10	Apr_24_2012	50.16	50.39	50.29	50.32	31.48	31.58	50.5(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-1570	-1100	-1847	-739	0	100%	0.06	0	0.66%	0	144.3	76	NAN

11	Apr_23_2012	50.13	50.39	50.25	50.27	40.87	50.37	50.5(0.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	1192	1070	1402	561	0	100%	0.06	0	0.68%	0	144.3	50	NAN
12	Apr_20_2012	50.1	50.39	50.2	50.21	40.83	31.38	50.2(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-2	-2180	-2	-1	0	100%	0	0	0.7%	0	143.4	50	NAN
13	Apr_19_2012	50.1	50.39	50.21	50.21	40.82	31.36	50.2(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-1434	-2190	-1687	-675	0	100%	0.02	0	0.73%	0	139.4	50	NAN
14	Apr_18_2012	50.09	50.39	50.2	50.28	50.32	50.29	50.2(-0.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	1	-0	1	0	0.01	100%	0.04	0	0.76%	0	135.7	50	NAN
15	Apr_17_2012	50.07	50.39	50.09	50.26	50.35	50.27	50.26(0.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	1	-10	1	0	0	100%	0.04	0	0.79%	0	128.9	50	NAN

16	Apr_16_2012	50.05	50.39	50.09	50.21	50.27	50.35	50.18(-0.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-3	10	-3	-1	0	100%	0.02	0	0.84%	0	122.4	50	NAN
17	Apr_13_2012	50.04	50.39	50.09	50.19	50.25	50.43	50.57(0.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	18	30	21	8	0	100%	0.16	0	0.79%	0	117.6	50	NAN
18	Apr_12_2012	49.96	50.39	50.09	50.14	50.18	50.18	50.19(0.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	8	0	9	4	0	100%	0.08	0	0.84%	0	125.5	50	NAN
19	Apr_11_2012	49.92	50.39	50.09	50.11	50.17	50.06	50.08(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	4	-10	4	2	0	100%	0.06	0	0.91%	0	116.5	50	NAN
20	Apr_10_2012	49.89	50.39	50.09	49.89	50.15	50.18	50.03(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	429	20	505	202	0.01	100%	0.06	0	1%	0	108.8	50	NAN

21	Apr_9_2012	49.86	50.39	50.09	39.89	49.88	50.27	50.06(-0.54%)	UD	OpenLong	75	19.9	524	810	616	246	0	100%	0.14	0	1.09%	0	98.2	50	NAN
22	Apr_5_2012	49.79	50.39	50.09	29.87	49.88	50.27	50.33(0.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	35.9	1121	NAN	1319	528	0	100%	0.55	0	0.77%	0	88.3	50	NAN
23	Apr_4_2012	49.52	50.39	50.09	19.81	49.88	50.27	50.04(2.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	58.1	NAN	NAN	INF	NAN	0	100%	1.06	0	0%	0	96.2	50	NAN
24	Apr_3_2012	49	50.39	50.09	9.8	49.88	50.27	49(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	INF	NAN	NAN	NAN	NAN	0	0%		NAN	0%	0	INF	50	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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