Trading Signals: EL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. May. 23, 2022

Trading Signals: EL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Estee Lauder Companies Inc. Class A)
EL latest price $236.6000 (-0.26%) ($231.3100 - $240.3500) on Mon. May. 23, 2022.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.86% (three month average)
RSI   45
Latest Price   $236.6000(-0.26%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   EL advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EL declines -1.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Value stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(63%)    IVW(63%)    SPY(63%)    FIVG(62%)    IWF(62%)
Factors Impacting EL price   EL will decline at least -1.43% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-28%)    VIXM(-22%)    TBT(-11%)    VXX(-5%)    UNG(0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.43% (StdDev 2.86%)
Hourly BBV 0.5 ()
Intraday Trend -1.5%

Resistance Level   $243.22
5 Day Moving Average   $236.18(0.18%)
10 Day Moving Average   $234.81(0.76%)
20 Day Moving Average   $243.22(-2.72%)
To recent high   -21.2%
To recent low   3.3%
Market Cap   $85.173b

The EstÃ©e Lauder Companies, Inc. engages in the manufacturing of skin care, makeup, fragrance and hair care products. It sells products under the following brand names: EstÃ©e Lauder, Clinique, Origins, MÅ¾AÅ¾C, Bobbi Brown, La Mer, Jo Malone London, Aveda, and Too Faced. Its channels primarily consist of department stores, specialty multi-brand retailers, upscale perfumeries and pharmacies, and prestige salons and spas. The company was founded by EstÃ©e Lauder and Joseph Lauder in 1946 and is headquartered in New York, NY.

$. EL price fluctuates within 5.52% (three month std-dev: 2.86%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 32 Average positive next day return: 1.19%(44%) Average negative next day return: -1.96%(56%) Sample size 32 Average positive next three day return: 4.61%(44%) Average negative next three day return: -4.65%(56%) Sample size 32 Average positive next weekly return: 4.98%(47%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.35%(53%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20220623

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_23_2022	284.02	243.22	234.81	236.18	234.71	236.4	236.6(-0.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	20	30	32	-16	1.5	41%	-0.48	-61.1	2.86%	0.5	-0.5	45	2.2
2	May_20_2022	285.39	244.72	234.49	235.94	235.52	234.12	237.21(0.78%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-2	-50	13	-47	1.75	40%	-0.46	-58.9	2.85%	-0	-0.5	38	2
3	May_19_2022	286.71	246.01	234.71	236.57	235.89	233.03	235.38(2.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-83	-90	-78	-99	2.18	40%	-0.48	-54.9	2.87%	0.3	-0.7	36	1.7
4	May_18_2022	288.09	247.77	235.27	235.7	237.16	236.91	229.13(-5.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-43	10	-22	-105	2.13	40%	-0.49	-52	2.87%	-2.1	-1.2	29	2
5	May_17_2022	289.5	250.18	237.95	235.77	236.2	238.76	242.58(3.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	20	80	53	-80	2.16	43%	-0.45	-47.9	2.79%	1.9	-0.5	42	1.8

6	May_16_2022	290.8	251.71	238.11	233.19	234.24	237.41	235.38(-2.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	37	110	80	-91	1.56	41%	-0.2	-49.3	2.76%	0.1	-1	41	2.4
7	May_13_2022	291.37	253.19	240.46	232.83	233.24	233.65	240.39(4.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	13	20	54	-112	1.78	41%	-0.44	-51.4	2.72%	1.1	-0.8	38	1.6
8	May_12_2022	292.66	254.39	242.6	232.81	232.64	231.08	231(0.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-91	-50	-66	-164	2.15	38%	-0.46	-53.6	2.68%	-0.9	-1.5	35	1.6
9	May_11_2022	294.01	256.25	246.6	234.98	235.03	232.83	229.49(-0.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-100	-60	-80	-159	1.72	36%	-0.43	-52.8	2.7%	-1.1	-1.8	32	1.8
10	May_10_2022	295.28	258.04	249.71	240.53	238.38	234.21	229.68(-1.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-126	-150	-114	-160	2.24	36%	-0.4	-51.2	2.75%	-1.5	-2.1	30	2.4

11	May_9_2022	296.47	259.82	252.43	243.7	242.91	237.23	233.58(-2.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-133	-170	-122	-165	1.98	36%	-0.39	-58.3	2.75%	-1.6	-2.3	33	2
12	May_6_2022	297.63	261.59	255.98	249.11	243.78	242.54	240.3(-0.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-178	-100	-182	-164	1.83	37%	-0.42	-57.9	2.71%	-0.8	-2.2	42	1.4
13	May_5_2022	298.89	263.03	258.47	253.86	248.88	248.59	241.83(-6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-26	-70	-10	-75	2.57	37%	-0.43	-55	2.73%	-1.7	-2.5	43	1.7
14	May_4_2022	300.17	264.29	261.56	259.96	254.15	245.03	257.26(4.78%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-118	-320	-126	-92	2.2	42%	-0.34	-53.4	2.65%	1	-1	47	1
15	May_3_2022	301.19	265.06	263.55	260.44	258.28	249.18	245.52(-5.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-288	-270	-330	-160	4.8	37%	-0.39	-59.8	2.62%	-1.2	-2.8	43	-0.9

16	May_2_2022	302.37	266.76	266.57	262.29	263.17	263.27	260.63(-1.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-77	10	-87	-45	2.71	39%	-0.34	-61.2	2.59%	-1.1	-1	51	-0.1
17	Apr_29_2022	303.41	267.44	267.02	262.29	263.41	267.38	264.06(-3.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	76	100	91	31	1.51	41%	-0.31	-55.5	2.58%	-0.2	-0.6	49	0.2
18	Apr_28_2022	304.36	267.85	267.07	263.8	262.78	263.07	272.33(4.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	54	-0	66	18	1.48	43%	-0.28	-58.8	2.58%	2	0.7	54	0.8
19	Apr_27_2022	305.22	268.11	266.44	263.72	263.14	259.45	259.64(1.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-110	-100	-127	-58	1.44	39%	-0.32	-52.3	2.51%	-0.2	-1.3	48	0.4
20	Apr_26_2022	306.19	269.34	266.87	267.45	267.79	262.49	254.77(-5.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-135	-130	-160	-61	1.35	39%	-0.29	-32.1	2.51%	-1.6	-2	38	1.4

21	Apr_25_2022	307.09	270.52	267.82	271.41	272.96	266.83	268.22(1.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-117	-140	-140	-46	1.4	41%	-0.22	-16.3	2.43%	-0.3	-0.4	40	1.9
22	Apr_22_2022	307.78	270.85	267.66	270.59	274.07	273.08	264.04(-2.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-91	10	-107	-43	1.5	41%	-0.24	-21.3	2.43%	-1.6	-1	42	1.1
23	Apr_21_2022	308.51	271.49	268.01	270.55	272.76	279.08	271.95(-2.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	100	190	119	43	0.95	42%	-0.18	-19.1	2.43%	-0.9	0.1	49	1.3
24	Apr_20_2022	309.06	271.56	267.26	269.48	270.11	275.07	278.26(1.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	197	140	238	73	1.57	41%	-0.18	-22.5	2.42%	1	1	47	0.7
25	Apr_19_2022	309.61	271.65	266.51	266.37	266.08	266.43	274.56(3.95%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.2	28	10	47	-30	1.78	41%		-19.3	2.43%	2.2	0.4	39	0.8
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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