Trading Signals: EL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. May. 14, 2020

Trading Signals: EL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Estee Lauder Companies Inc. Class A)
EL latest price $164.1900 (0.88%) ($158.2500 - $164.6850) on Thu. May. 14, 2020.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.22% (three month average)
RSI   50
Latest Price   $164.1900(0.88%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   EL declines -0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EL declines -1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(66%)    IVW(63%)    DIA(62%)    IWF(62%)    IWD(61%)
Factors Impacting EL price   EL will decline at least -2.11% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-39%)    UUP(-27%)    VXX(-16%)    TBT(-1%)    TLT(0%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.11% (StdDev 4.22%)
Hourly BBV -0.4 ()
Intraday Trend 2.6%

Inflection Point   Yes
Resistance Level   $169.15
5 Day Moving Average   $167.72(-2.1%)
10 Day Moving Average   $169.52(-3.14%)
20 Day Moving Average   $169.15(-2.93%)
To recent high   -23.6%
To recent low   13.7%
Market Cap   $59.106b

The EstÃ©e Lauder Companies, Inc. engages in the manufacturing of skin care, makeup, fragrance and hair care products. It sells products under the following brand names: EstÃ©e Lauder, Clinique, Origins, MÅ¾AÅ¾C, Bobbi Brown, La Mer, Jo Malone London, Aveda, and Too Faced. Its channels primarily consist of department stores, specialty multi-brand retailers, upscale perfumeries and pharmacies, and prestige salons and spas. The company was founded by EstÃ©e Lauder and Joseph Lauder in 1946 and is headquartered in New York, NY.

$. EL price fluctuates within 2.76% (three month std-dev: 4.22%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 2.72%(80%) Average negative next day return: -0.34%(20%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 3.64%(80%) Average negative next three day return: -4.94%(20%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 5.27%(80%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.8%(20%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20200614

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_14_2020	184.85	169.15	169.52	167.72	167.04	163.4	164.19(0.88%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-68	-160	-76	-45	1.71	42%	-0.12	24.6	4.22%	-0.4	-1.1	50	0.8
2	May_13_2020	185.07	169.1	170.74	169.27	170.14	167.61	162.76(-3.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-44	-90	-52	-18	1.74	42%	-0.24	27.9	4.22%	-1.9	-1.2	54	0.1
3	May_12_2020	185.51	168.95	172.19	170.62	171.86	170.67	168.55(-0.82%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.4	-17	-30	-25	7	1.24	43%	-0.21	31.4	4.2%	-1.6	-0.1	55	1.2
4	May_11_2020	185.9	168.79	172.3	170.9	171.96	172.68	169.95(-1.85%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-2	50	-10	21	1.34	43%	-0.2	36.1	4.21%	-1.1	0.2	63	2.3
5	May_8_2020	186.28	168.43	171.94	171.79	172.47	173.04	173.15(0.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	28	40	24	38	1.37	43%	-0.18	47.6	4.17%	0.3	0.9	56	2

6	May_7_2020	186.61	168	171.29	171.66	172.17	171.25	171.94(1.43%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-6	-30	-13	17	1.4	43%	-0.18	61.8	4.21%	0.1	0.7	47	1.4
7	May_6_2020	186.94	167.68	170.45	172.56	172.61	171.9	169.52(-0.25%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.6	-19	-30	-30	16	1.32	46%	-0.18	79.7	4.2%	-2.1	0.4	58	0.8
8	May_5_2020	187.28	167.37	170.15	174.02	174.23	173.09	169.94(-2.55%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	7	-40	-4	40	1.53	46%	-0.19	91.1	4.26%	-2.7	0.5	61	1.1
9	May_4_2020	187.64	166.92	169.35	173.82	174.56	173.31	174.38(1.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-1	-40	-12	34	1.35	46%	-0.16	84.6	4.25%	-0.2	1.4	57	0.5
10	May_1_2020	187.94	165.93	168.64	172	173.57	175.38	172.54(-2.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	19	100	12	40	2.19	46%	-0.15	65.7	4.22%	-2.2	1.1	58	0.4

11	Apr_30_2020	188.23	164.81	168.7	170.76	171.71	175.81	176.4(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	75	180	77	68	2.44	46%	-0.12	35.9	4.22%	0.6	1.8	58	1.3
12	Apr_29_2020	188.46	163.64	167.22	168.03	168.68	171.77	176.86(4.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	68	140	73	51	2.43	46%	-0.12	14.9	4.22%	1.4	2.1	58	1.7
13	Apr_28_2020	188.68	162.71	165.29	165.85	166.25	167.6	168.92(2.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	33	60	36	22	1.92	44%	-0.16	7.2	4.17%	1.2	1.1	55	1.2
14	Apr_27_2020	188.99	162.48	164.85	164.29	165.28	165.59	165.3(-0.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	11	30	12	9	2.08	43%	-0.18	16.6	4.16%	-0.2	0.5	55	1.4
15	Apr_24_2020	189.33	162.24	164.57	164.79	164.59	164.9	166.31(2.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	-9	10	-14	7	1.28	42%	-0.17	27.8	4.19%	0.9	0.7	61	0.9

16	Apr_23_2020	189.65	162.49	164.39	166.38	165.77	164.98	162.75(-1.95%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	7	-40	-2	33	1.98	42%	-0.19	46.4	4.18%	-0.4	0	63	0.4
17	Apr_22_2020	190.01	162.71	164.7	166.2	167.25	164.28	165.98(3.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	0	-110	-13	39	1.19	41%	-0.15	54.1	4.18%	0.2	0.5	61	0.3
18	Apr_21_2020	190.3	162.31	164.42	164.56	165.89	166.56	161.11(-3.98%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-23	50	-39	24	1.25	41%	-0.19	49.7	4.17%	-1.6	-0.2	53	-0.2
19	Apr_20_2020	190.66	161.57	164.43	165.34	164.89	170.21	167.79(-3.71%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	72	220	72	70	1.81	41%	-0.15	42.3	4.14%	0.2	0.9	51	0.6
20	Apr_17_2020	190.95	160.75	163.12	164.23	163.77	165.22	174.26(7.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	83	50	88	66	4.42	41%	-0.09	24.2	4.16%	2	1.8	59	1.2

21	Apr_16_2020	191.12	159.8	160.61	162.34	161.75	159.56	161.87(2.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-41	-110	-49	-17	3.3	38%	-0.19	18.4	4.03%	-0	0.3	42	1.1
22	Apr_15_2020	191.48	159.53	159.82	163.11	163.43	162.32	157.79(-4.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-30	-40	-34	-19	2.1	38%	-0.21	10.7	4.01%	-1.8	-0.3	44	1.1
23	Apr_14_2020	191.88	159.36	160	164.19	164.81	163.94	165(1.71%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-2	-30	-3	0	3.99	40%	-0.16	-7	3.99%	0.5	0.8	56	1.5
24	Apr_13_2020	192.19	158.58	159.9	163.29	164.59	164.54	162.22(-1.58%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	1	20	-3	13	1.94	40%	-0.17	-28.7	3.98%	-1.2	0.5	64	1.2
25	Apr_9_2020	192.52	158.99	159.71	161.66	163.8	165.68	164.83(-0.54%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	48	120	52	35	2.97	40%		-44.9	3.95%	-0	0.8	59	0.9
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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